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Chris Arnold

@chrisguarnold.bsky.social

Associate Professor in Government and Artificial Intelligence at the University of Birmingham. Data addict. Visualisation enthusiast. I ♥ institutions.

85 Posts337 Follower211 Folgt
Chris Arnold@chrisguarnold.bsky.social · 2mo ago

1/3 A minimum participation rule in a multilateral treaty does not just set a ratification bar — it actively pulls countries across it. New paper out with Carsten Schulz (Cambridge) in Journal of Conflict Resolution 70(6), pp. 1018–1043.

Reaching for the Threshold: How Minimum Participation Rules Facilitate Multilateral Treaty Ratification - Christian Arnold, Carsten-Andreas Schulz, 2026

Uncertainty about other states’ willingness to cooperate often impedes collective action. Many multilateral agreements address this by incorporating Minimum Par...

doi.org

Andreas Küpfer@ankuepfer.bsky.social · 3mo ago

I just presented recent research (with @chrisguarnold.bsky.social) on the benefits of integrating workflow management systems in computational social science studies at @parliview.bsky.social workshop at UCD in Dublin! #multimodaldata #replication #researchinfrastructure #CSS

ParliView project@parliview.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Andreas Kupfer bringing order and replicability to computational social science pipelines with snakemake with application to 30k parliamentary speech videos in Germany @ankuepfer.bsky.social

Chris Arnold@chrisguarnold.bsky.social · 4mo ago

You must all be en route to @comptext.bsky.social now. Excited to welcome you all to campus. Workshops look 💯. Panels 💯 +1. We could not ask for more from the weather. Really looking forward to welcoming you all. Bon voyage! #sciencerocks #comptext2026 www.comptextconference.org/8th-annual-c...

8th Annual Conference 2026 - The COMPTEXT Association

8th ANNUAL COMPTEXT Conference 2026 Welcome to COMPTEXT 2026 — the Eighth International and Interdisciplinary Conference on the Quantitative and Computational Analysis of Text, Image, Audio, and Video...

comptextconference.org

Chris Arnold@chrisguarnold.bsky.social · 4mo ago

Final countdown to COMPTEXT 2026 April 23–25 at the University of Birmingham. Great workshops, sessions & conversations ahead. We will shamelessly show off our Teaching & Learning building. Safe travels! www.comptextconference.org/8th-annual-c... #COMPTEXT2026 #TextAnalysis @comptext.bsky.social

8th Annual Conference 2026 - The COMPTEXT Association

8th ANNUAL COMPTEXT Conference 2026 Welcome to COMPTEXT 2026 — the Eighth International and Interdisciplinary Conference on the Quantitative and Computational Analysis of Text, Image, Audio, and Video...

comptextconference.org

Andreas Küpfer@ankuepfer.bsky.social · 5mo ago

⏬📽️Excited to talk about (1) studying videos from complex local meetings (w/ @mirya.bsky.social + @simko.bsky.social), (2) substantively using eye contact seeking in legislative debate videos, and (3) workflow managers to process video data (w/ @chrisguarnold.bsky.social + @pluggedchris.bsky.social)!

MZES Social Science Data Lab@mzes-ssdl.bsky.social · 5mo ago

🚨 Upcoming: "Politics in Action: Studying Multimodal Data from Local Meetings to National Parliaments" 👤 @ankuepfer.bsky.social (TU Darmstadt & University of Birmingham) 🗓️ Wed, March 11, 13:45-15:15 CET 📺 Register for the live stream: us02web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...

2026-03-11 | Input talk | Andreas Küpfer (TU Darmstadt & University of Birmingham) Politics in Action: Studying Multimodal Data from Local Meetings to National Parliaments Hybrid event [A5, 6, Room A231 + Zoom] März 11, 2026, 13:45-15:15 Abstract The analysis of multimodal political communication enables political scientists to study how politicians and parties behave in previously untapped ways. While large volumes of audiovisual data are increasingly available, these data are typically unstructured and vary substantially in quality, requiring robust and carefully designed processing pipelines. This talk guides through the challenges and opportunities of analysing political video data across institutional contexts. Analysing videos from local political meetings, including US school boards and state supreme courts, allows the generation of features such as transcriptions, gendered speech shares, and agenda items. However, the often semi-professional production quality of such recordings limits the systematic use of visual information. By contrast, legislative debate recordings are typically standardised and post-edited, enabling the leverage of visual features such as eye contact seeking to study the emergence of dominant behaviour during parliamentary speech. Scaling multimodal processing and feature extraction workflows across heterogeneous institutional contexts is, therefore, crucial. It enables the systematic study of political communication across levels of government and over longer time periods. Presenter Andreas Küpfer is a Postdoctoral Researcher in the DFG-funded project "Analysing Legislative Politics with Aligned Text, Audio and Image Data" at the Institute for Political Science of the Technical University of Darmstadt, holding a Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of Mannheim. He works at the intersection of Data Science and Political Science. His research focuses on (multimodal) political communication, combining computational with tradi…
Florian G. Kern@floriangkern.bsky.social · 5mo ago

I feel these takes are often narrow regarding what includes social science. I am sympathetic to the idea of qualitative research and fieldwork becoming rel more weighty as AI improves. ATM, these changes seem most drastic for quant analysis. What really changed for qualitative inquiry, yet?(1/2)

Alexander Kustov@akoustov.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Sorry, Bluesky, but I have to say it: AI can already do social science research better than most professors with PhDs. And, for the first time in my life, I really have no idea what happens in five years. Things are changing already, we just need to wake up.

Chris Arnold@chrisguarnold.bsky.social · 7mo ago

The submission deadline for papers and workshop proposals to #COMPTEXT2026 is this Friday, January 16th. We are looking forward to receiving your proposals. Feel free to share the news and circulate shorturl.at/gRg0p #sharingiscaring #sciencerocks See you in Brum, 23–25 April 2026!

8th Annual Conference 2026 - The COMPTEXT Association

8th ANNUAL COMPTEXT Conference 2026                     Call for papers: 8th ANNUAL COMPTEXT Conference 2026 Welcome to COMPTEXT 2026 — the Eighth International and Interdisciplinary Conference on the...

shorturl.at

Alexander Wuttke@kunkakom.bsky.social · 7mo ago

🧵 PhD position (75%) in Political Behavior / Political Communication / CSS 📍 LMU Munich | ⏳ 3 years | 🗓 start March–May 2026 We’re hiring for DemocraGPT, a @bidt.bsky.social-funded project developing an AI-based training for difficult conversations in times of growing polarization

Chris Arnold@chrisguarnold.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Really looking forward to helping build bridges between what was formerly known as 'qualitative' and 'quantitative' research. Couldn't think of a better colleague than @floriangkern.bsky.social to pull this off. Xtra happy to see this happening in the current dire times of UK HE #sciencerocks

Florian G. Kern@floriangkern.bsky.social · 7mo ago

🚨Excited to announce that @chrisguarnold.bsky.social and I learned that the ESRC has awarded funding for our project "Exploring the Re-Analysis and Recycling of Qualitative Data with Machine Learning". 🚨 In the current climate of UK higher ed, we feel particularly fortunate to be supported. 1/5

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