Nicolas Köhler-Suzuki

@nks.bsky.social

Advisor for Trade and Economic Security @DelorsInstitute

🦆🎈 In July the European Commission opened an anti-dumping investigation into Pekin duck from China. The next day Beijing announced a temporary ban on exports of helium, a gas Europe's chipmakers cannot do without. 🧵

The global trading system hasn't stalled. It has ruptured. As WTO members meets in Cameroon tomorrow, the harder question will go unanswered: what do open economies do when the multilateral engine can't keep pace with geopolitical reality?

My 2c on the US-India ‘deal’ in the FT: “It seems highly doubtful that India has agreed to reduce tariffs to zero, particularly on agricultural goods, given India’s long-standing approach to trade negotiations going right back to the Doha Round" www.ft.com/content/72f1...

Trump to slash India tariffs after Modi ‘agrees’ to stop buying Russian oil

Levies will drop from 50% to 18% as US president claims New Delhi will buy more than $500bn of American goods

ft.com

[Trade] The lack of effective European governance structures for economic security is an institutional weakness that hinders the development of long-term thinking Analysis of EU, China, United States & Japan by Elvire Fabry, @nks.bsky.social, Marco Sibona & Pascal Lamy

Shields Up: How China, Europe, Japan and the United States Shape the World through Economic Security - Institut Jacques Delors

Shields Up: How China, Europe, Japan and the United States Shape the World through Economic Security

institutdelors.eu

An excellent new report that illustrates that much has been overblown in the debate about decoupling and de-risking. Yes, there are significant costs associated with a hard-decoupling scenario, but overall, economic interdependence is a source of Western strength, not weakness. 👇

Kiel Institut@kiel.institute · 3y ago

An abrupt halt to 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗮 would cause Germany's economy to shrink by 5% in the short run, comparable to the slum following the financial or COVID crisis. In the longer term, the loss will stabilize at around 1.5% annually. Gradual reduction would avoid the high initial costs. This is...1/2