Jason Reifler

@jasonreifler.bsky.social

Political Science Prof at University of Southampton. I study misperceptions, fact-checking, and foreign policy attitudes. American in the UK. he/his/y’all. Spurs #COYS.

I mostly don't believe the AI existential risk hype (and am modestly upbeat that AI is a net positive). But, it sure would be nice if the framing of that debate could not so subtly shift from: "AI might kill us all" to "The people building AI might kill us all"

Just for the record, I went to at least one Hawks game when I lived in Atlanta. My favorite NBA team (San Antonio Spurs) was in town. Not exactly sure what year though. If I’m ever asked during a Congressional hearing, I’m more apt to answer correctly if framed as a Spurs game.

I just want to brag that I have seen the impossible -- someone replying to an academic listserv asking to be removed from said listserv without it turning into a reply-all free for all. Not a single additional reply! There is hope for us yet.

While @faineg.com is obviously right that this is not the group ideally suited for supervising teenagers, I want to push back on an additional fundamental point. My strong view is that the SF techbro billionaire space is not in any way reflective of “real life” practically or intellectually.

Faine Greenwood@faineg.com · 3w ago

Big names in AI and Silicon Valley tech announced yesterday that they're launching a boarding academy for 16 to 22 year olds. (Would you trust the people in this scene with keeping an eye on minors?) theacademysf.com

We are hiring at LMU Munich: two PhD positions and one postdoc on democracy, political psychology and computational social science. Start: January 2027 or as soon as possible. We review applications on a rolling basis until October 20. Details below. Reposts very welcome! 1/7

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How bad are the Spurs so this season? 20th in the table is, understatement, not great. But, are they relegation candidates? Probably not. For xG/xGA/xPTS, rank is ~15th. If Brentford game was an outlier (I think/hope it was), then considerably better for xGA (5th best) and xPTS (12th). xG ~16th

My line-up for Spurs vs Villa, knowing I’m always wrong. Kinsky Porro JPvH VdV Udogie Bentancur Tonali Kudus Marmoush Savio Solanke Subs at 60’: Fernandes -> Bentancur Maddison -> Solanke (OM to 9) Subs at 75’: Robbo -> Udogie Gallagher -> Tonali Sub at 85’: Tel -> Kudus (Savio to rt)

My Slack message to coauthors this morning: Rage Against the Machine school of experimental design: Take the Power Back! The [pub] is relentless We need a [study] with a quickness You are the witness of change And to counteract We gotta take the power back

AI apocalypse by movie analogy: What movie best represents your view of the AI overlord future? -Terminator -Matrix -I, Robot -2001 (HAL goes a little crazy) -Dr Strangelove (but with human errors replicated in AI systems and oops there goes the doomsday machine) -Other

Ben Collins@bencollins.bsky.social · 4w ago

TIL even the guy who wrote the book called "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" that everyone keeps talking about also isn't really sure what an AI apocalypse entails. It's the No. 1 news story in the country and no one can even detail what it is!

This is bad enough at face value. But, there is an even worse interpretation that would keep the unionists happy (and actually seems more in keeping with Trump’s general worldview). Of course, it doesn’t mean either — it is someone who knows nothing just saying stuff.

Richard Chambers@newschambers.bsky.social · 4w ago

Breaking: Donald Trump says “I’d love to see Ireland unified…. I think it would be a great thing. How could it be bad?” Oh my word.

I am going to Exeter FC vs Spurs U21 tonight. For those who know the youth teams better than I do, what/who should I look for? I’m aware of the players on the fringe of the first team — what else, if anything, should I pay attention to?

To all my political science friends (and future friends) in Boston -- I'm not going to be at APSA this year, so hello from a distance. Hopefully our paths will cross soon. I do have a question about the conference. Well, I guess it's actually more of a comment...

I like Brice’s thread. I have no idea how well these transfers are going to work out in 3 weeks, 3 months, and 3 years. Is Van Hecke better than peak Romero? Probably not. But, good chance Spurs will have Van Hecke for 30+ PL games. How many — between injury and suspension — would Romero get?

Brice Ezell@briceezell.bsky.social · last mo.

Anyone who thinks that Spurs had anything lower than a B-tier transfer window is an unserious person, sorry not sorry.

I have no idea how good/bad Adarabioyo is. But, data profile suggests positives (aerial, athleticism) that Spurs lack. £7m for backup seems reasonable. Mudryk on loan seems fine? xG+xA ~.45/90, albeit 3 years ago. He'll probably be a bust, but maybe not? He will have Spurs most punchable face.

Here are my thoughts on Spurs yesterday, in no particular order: 1) Losing sucks, but a 0-2 loss is not reflective of the game as a whole. Spurs held a slight advantage in xG (and that edge was probably more decisive in first half). A 1-1 draw would have fair.

Well done to the university currently currently antagonizing their two main constituencies — staff (through financially unnecessary redundancies, primarily targeted at humanities, arts, and social sciences) and students (by accepting more students than there is housing for). 10/10, no notes.

If the Playboy article linked somewhere in repost is remotely true (and different from how real women behaved in the past—color me skeptical)…please fellow men, for the love of god, do not let the take home message be “I can score hot chicks so I will ‘up my game’” and become a scummy creep.

Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò@olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 2mo ago

look young men I know you are not on this website but in case someone for whatever it's worth: dating people who you like, respect, treat accordingly, and who do the same for you is a major life hack and everything in your life will improve as soon as you value this above other things