Tessera
Folgen

Erin Covey

@erincovey.bsky.social

covering House races at the Cook Political Report.

8 Posts1257 Follower77 Folgt
Erin Covey@erincovey.bsky.social · 6mo ago

Early voting started today in Texas, there’s a ton of House primaries worth watching — 4 vulnerable incumbents, 10 open seats, and primaries in competitive South Texas seats Read my preview of the Dem primaries (GOP primary preview coming later this week): www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...

Texas Primary Preview: Two House Democrats in Danger of Losing Primaries

Several House Democrats in the Lone Star State could have their careers cut short this cycle, largely due to the ripple effects of gerrymandering.

cookpolitical.com

The Cook Political Report@cookpolitical.com · last yr.

One week out from the special election primary, Adelita Grijalva remains the favorite to succeed her late father in Arizona’s 7th District. Here's @erincovey.bsky.social:

AZ-07 Special: Can Outsider Candidates Block Grijalva’s Path to Victory?

Since the beginning of this year, three Democratic members of Congress have died in office, putting a spotlight on the party’s aging leaders and sparking special elections that pit the party’s old gua...

cookpolitical.com

Michael Li (李之樸)@mcpli.bsky.social · last yr.

Holding the case over means that the current map, with two Black-majority districts, will remain in place for the 2026 midterms. Louisiana now uses partisan primaries for congressional elections and the primary cycle starts in September with the opening of petition gathering.

Bild
The Cook Political Report@cookpolitical.com · last yr.

Right now, Democrats’ potential tea party movement is united by their fighting attitude — but little else binds them together. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest analysis:

Breaking Down the Early Primary Challenges to House Democrats

As liberal voters become increasingly frustrated by their leaders’ response to the Trump presidency, a crop of young Democrats is attempting to direct that anger at longtime members of Congress.“What ...

cookpolitical.com

Erin Covey@erincovey.bsky.social · last yr.

Happy PVI day! We have updated scores for House seats based on the 2024 and 2020 presidential results. Read more here: www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/int...

Introducing the 2025 Cook Partisan Voting Index: A Slightly Depolarizing Election

Since first descending Trump Tower's golden escalator in 2015, President Donald Trump has been one of the most schismatic political figures in American history. The 2016 election set a modern record f...

cookpolitical.com

The Cook Political Report@cookpolitical.com · last yr.

Just sixteen lawmakers now represent crossover districts: three Republicans hold seats that Kamala Harris carried, and 13 Democrats hold seats that Donald Trump carried. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest:

The Sweet Sixteen: 2024’s Crossover Districts

The most exclusive club in Congress might be the class of members who represent crossover districts — those who won elections in seats carried by the opposing party’s presidential nominee.Just sixteen...

cookpolitical.com

The Cook Political Report@cookpolitical.com · last yr.

California’s Central Valley will once again be at the center of the House battleground map. Read @erincovey.bsky.social & Matthew Klein's California House (CDs 1-22) analysis:

2026 Northern California House Analysis: Central Valley Takes Center Stage

California’s Central Valley will once again be at the center of the House battleground map in 2026. Democratic Rep. Adam Gray (CA-13) won his race by a smaller margin than any other House member and i...

cookpolitical.com

Erin Covey@erincovey.bsky.social · last yr.

We've got 2026 House ratings! Democrats are only three seats from a majority, but right now, the battleground of competitive races is small and fairly evenly divided. 39 seats are currently competitive (rated Toss Up or Lean), with 29 more seats rated Likely GOP/Dem.

Bild
Erin Covey@erincovey.bsky.social · 2y ago

New from me: in a closely divided House, the Main Street Republicans expanded their footprint while the Freedom Caucus slightly shrunk. www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...

Main Street Republicans Expand Their Footprint While Freedom Caucus Slightly Shrinks

Now that the final House race has been called, it’s official: Republicans will have a 220-215 majority — one seat smaller than their current 221-214 majority.That margin will be even smaller for the f...

cookpolitical.com