We aren’t talking enough about the rapid advancement in potato chip technology. Not too long ago all we had was plain, BBQ, or sour cream and onion. But today…
Something to keep an eye on: @aoc.bsky.social has quietly become far and away the best fundraiser in the House. She's always been strong — 7th in 2024, 10th in 2022, 5th in 2020 — but this year she's lapping everyone but the Speaker and could do than too by the end of the cycle.
This kind of thing is too cute by half and emblematic of what sank Mills in the first place. Not mounting a serious or energetic campaign and hoping people vote for you anyways because your name is there. Wasn’t enough to beat Platner and doesn’t speak well to a general either.
Portland Press Herald@pressherald.com · 2mo agoMaine Gov. Janet Mills: ‘I am still on the ballot’ for Senate
📺Coming up on @velshi.com at the top of the hour to talk the Texas Senate race with actual Texan @ktumulty.bsky.social — tune in!
Please join me @velshimsnow.bsky.social 10a-1p w/ @mmckinnon.bsky.social @abbyliv.bsky.social @judgeluttig.bsky.social @michaeltrazzi.bsky.social @groundedpodcast.bsky.social @rhodesben.bsky.social @ktumulty.bsky.social @rubashkin.bsky.social Judge Shira Scheindlin Nick Cutter #Velshi
New poll from Slingshot Strategies (D) for Texas Public Opinion Research Talarico 47 Paxton 44 Brown (L) 1 w/undecideds pushed Talarico 48 Paxton 45 Brown 2 Talarico 47 fav/40 unfav Paxton 38/57 Trump +10 electorate, R+19 on party ID 1670 LV, 5/27-28 drive.google.com/file/d/1lCia...
TPOR_Post_Runoff_Final_Topline_5.29.26.pdf V4.pdf
drive.google.com
NEW POD: The weaker Trump gets nationally, the more GOP lawmakers will be incentivized to break with him, and the more Trump will want to enforce party loyalty. Call him a lame duck with teeth. @rubashkin.bsky.social and I talked about this and much more on the latest pod!
Looks like ActBlue has shut off Maureen Galindo’s ability to fundraise on their platform
Looks like ActBlue has shut off Maureen Galindo’s ability to fundraise on their platform
New Kansas poll released by the Patrick Schmidt campaign finds a surprisingly close general election vs. GOP Sen. Roger Marshall. Marshall 49 Schmidt 45 Trump fav/unfav 45/51 Marshall fav/unfav 35/42 500 LVs, 4/23-27, mixed mode Schmidt is running in a crowded Dem primary
New Kansas poll released by the Patrick Schmidt campaign finds a surprisingly close general election vs. GOP Sen. Roger Marshall. Marshall 49 Schmidt 45 Trump fav/unfav 45/51 Marshall fav/unfav 35/42 500 LVs, 4/23-27, mixed mode Schmidt is running in a crowded Dem primary
🚨New Inside Elections Senate Ratings: 🔴Ohio (Husted, R) moves from Lean GOP to Tilt GOP 🔴Nebraska (Ricketts, R) moves from Solid GOP to Likely GOP 🔴South Carolina (Graham, R) moves from Solid GOP to Likely GOP
2026 Senate Overview (April 23, 2026): Democratic Majority Within Reach
Democrats are likely to pick up between 2 and 4 seats, and potentially the Senate majority.
insideelections.com
Burchett is right: the most DC thing ever *is* a member of Congress blaming the city for something he and his colleagues did themselves.
🚨NEW @InsideElections Virginia ratings: VA1 Solid Dem VA2 Tilt Dem VA3 Solid Dem VA4 Solid Dem VA5 Solid Dem VA6 Lean Dem VA7 Solid Dem VA8 Solid Dem VA9 Solid GOP VA10 Solid Dem VA11 Solid Dem www.insideelections.com/news/article...
Virginia House: Four House Races Shift Toward Democrats
Inside Elections is a non-partisan newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns, Presidential politics, and political developments.
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Nearly 4 years ago I wrote the first story detailing Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's shady finances and potential breach of House ethics rules. Her office stonewalled me and tried to lead me off course. Today, she resigned. What a ride it's been!
The Congresswoman and the Taxpayer-funded TV Ads
How a Florida congresswoman used taxpayer funds for TV ads.
insideelections.com
Checking in on some majority-Hispanic areas in the NJ-11 special election. Belleville Township (50.2% Hispanic) 2020: Biden 61-38 (+23) 2024: Harris 51-47 (+4) 2025: Sherrill 63-37 (+26) *** 2026: Mejia 65-35 (+30)
🚨We're hiring🚨 Inside Elections is looking to hire a Reporter/Analyst to help us cover the most competitive House, Senate, and gubernatorial races around the country. Is that you? If so, you should apply! DMs are open for questions as well.
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*Great* opportunity to work with the best people. Highly recommend this for an early-career elections analyst.
Jacob Rubashkin@rubashkin.bsky.social · 4mo ago🚨We're hiring🚨 Inside Elections is looking to hire a Reporter/Analyst to help us cover the most competitive House, Senate, and gubernatorial races around the country. Is that you? If so, you should apply! DMs are open for questions as well.
🚨We're hiring🚨 Inside Elections is looking to hire a Reporter/Analyst to help us cover the most competitive House, Senate, and gubernatorial races around the country. Is that you? If so, you should apply! DMs are open for questions as well.
insideelections.com
Overall, Shawn Harris improved upon Kamala Harris's GA-14 margin by 25%. He lost by 12 while she lost by 37. But in the five most Hispanic precincts in the district, he improved upon her margin by a whopping 42%. He won them by 28% while she lost them by 14%.
Democrats actually did even better in heavily Hispanic Dalton than in the first round, which was already a massive swing from Kamala’s 2024 performance. Shawn Harris won these two Hispanic-majority precincts by 73% — +3 from in March and a whopping 51% improvement over 2024.
Jacob Rubashkin@rubashkin.bsky.social · 5mo agoOne particular thing I'm watching in the Georgia 14 special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene: how does majority-Hispanic city Dalton in Whitfield County vote? We know a Republican is going to win this seat, but will Democrats continue to overperform among Hispanic voters?
Imagine trust in polling being at an all time low and then doing “polls” where a quarter of respondents are AI agents hallucinating answers based on exit polling.
Polling USA@usapolling.bsky.social · 5mo agoPresidential Polling: 🔵 Newsom: 46% 🔴 Vance: 36% 🔵 Newsom: 47% 🔴 Rubio: 36% 🔵 Newsom: 43% 🔴 Carlson: 26% TPSI / March 20, 2026
The IL-09 outside money has tried everything to boost Laura Fine: -pro-Fine ads -anti-Biss ads -anti-Kat ads None of it has worked so now they’re trying to boost a third progressive in hopes she siphons votes from Biss and Kat. A 5D chess move that mostly signals desperation.
Ryan Ottignon@ryaninevanston.bsky.social · 5mo agoIL-09: Bushra Amiwala is supported in a new digital ad from AIPAC-backed super PAC Chicago Progressive Partnership. First aired on YouTube yesterday. The PAC has previously attacked Abughazaleh. (Appears to be an attempt to further divide the progressive vote.)
Counting in Whitfield Co. is all done in the GA-14 special election: The most Hispanic precincts and how they voted in 2024 vs tonight: 5A (64% Hispanic CVAP): Kamala +21, Dems +74 6A (69%): Kamala +23, Dems +64 AN (48%): Trump +14, Dems +30 ES (39%): Trump +41, GOP +4 GL (32%): Trump +39, GOP +13
One particular thing I'm watching in the Georgia 14 special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene: how does majority-Hispanic city Dalton in Whitfield County vote? We know a Republican is going to win this seat, but will Democrats continue to overperform among Hispanic voters?
NEWS | Former California state Assemblyman Bill Brough (R) filed to run for Congress against Rep. Dave Min in CA-47. In 2020, Brough was accused by at least 6 women of sexual assault or harassment. archive.ph/zdj24
Potential backlash to a last-minute maneuver by Steve Daines circumventing a GOP primary in favor of his chosen successor, plus an intriguing independent candidacy backed by some Democrats, makes Montana’s sleepy Senate race worth watching this fall. Solid R ➡️ Likely R My take:
Montana Senate: Daines’ Drop Inserts Uncertainty
Inside Elections is a non-partisan newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns, Presidential politics, and political developments.
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