Woo! R&R! Grateful to editors and reviewers still processing manuscripts during the late summer!
Rikio Inouye
@rinouye.bsky.social
Postdoctoral Fellow Stanford CISAC, incoming AP at Temple University. Studies race, international security, and foreign policy support. A twin, former JET program participant in Toyama (my second home). https://rikioinouye.org/
I'm so excited that this is out - an important, accessible resource for people who want to do and teach quant research! Congratulations @uptonorwell.bsky.social !!!
John V. Kane@uptonorwell.bsky.social · 2w agoOUT TODAY! 🥳 A straightforward, non-technical guide to thinking like a quantitative social scientist. Written for students, journalists, and curious citizens. A lot of thought and heart went into this. I genuinely hope folks enjoy it!
Does backsliding undermine allied war support? - 4 ctry experiment during the 2026 US–Iran war - US strikes w/o Cong. authorization ⬇️allied publics' support. - Strongest effects for UK w.p. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... w/ @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @eunajo.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social
Thrilled this paper is out in the wild! Here’s my earlier thread explaining Text as Behavior: bsky.app/profile/owas...
Political Analysis@polanalysis.bsky.social · 3mo agoThe paper walks through three studies where text is used to quantify attitudes and actions. Ultimately, the paper argues that expression is sufficiently demanding that it should be understood as a form of action. Read the paper here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Thanks for the repost! Definitely was one of the most striking findings - huge divergence btwn what people SAY and what the SHOW. I find similar findings in other conflict related conjoints. But for those looking, here’s the link to the piece out on @isq-jrnl.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Unraveling Americans’ Selective Sympathies Toward Israelis and Palestinians
Abstract. Conflicts manifest on two fronts: the battlefield and global public opinion. This study explores how ordinary individuals form sympathies toward
doi.org
Dan Silverman@dmsilverman.bsky.social · 3mo agoInteresting, provocative new paper out in @isq-jrnl.bsky.social on the drivers of American attitudes toward Israelis and Palestinians Shows that people often SAY their I/P sympathies are based on each side’s behavior, but they really depend more on identity factors like views of different religions
Grateful for this collaboration. Important divergence between what people "say" matters, and what their actions "show" matters. TLDR: People STRONGLY deny importance of religion in their thinking, but belligerent religion is the MOST consequential attribute for sympathy. doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Unraveling Americans’ Selective Sympathies Toward Israelis and Palestinians
Abstract. Conflicts manifest on two fronts: the battlefield and global public opinion. This study explores how ordinary individuals form sympathies toward
doi.org
Yusaku Horiuchi@yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social · 3mo ago📢 New paper out in @isq-jrnl.bsky.social! @rinouye.bsky.social and I examine Americans’ selective sympathies toward Israelis and Palestinians. OA: doi.org/10.1093/isq/... Methodologically, we use "choice-level" conjoint analysis to examine how different attributes shape comparative evaluations.
New article w/ @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social “Unraveling Americans’ Selective Sympathies Toward Israelis and Palestinians,” is now OA at @isq-jrnl.bsky.social ! Using conjoints fielded during Gaza war, we show motivated reasoning alters how Americans react to info about the conflict.
Please help spread the word about these travel grants provided by the @intlcollaboration.bsky.social section of @apsa.bsky.social.
@intlcollaboration.bsky.social · 4mo agoThe @apsa.bsky.social Int'l Collaboration section has grants for those presenting papers or posters at the conference. Priority will be given to graduate students and junior scholars that are section members. PLEASE APPLY! Deadline is May 29. Apply here: apsa.secure-platform.com/a/solicitati...
I’m fear it won’t get better next year. If you’re on the market next year and want to talk / get advice, please reach out. I hope I can pay forward the kindness and support I received!
Thomas J Wood@thomasjwood.bsky.social · 4mo agoAccording to the May @apsa.bsky.social's eJobs bulletin, tenure-track job postings are still 27% below where they were at this point in the 2023–24 cycle.
Deeply wrong, and we show, unpopular. We find strong SUPPORT for allied migrants. Support cuts across parties and moves both public (US and UK) and local/state elites. Allyship abroad generates strong support for resettlement at home. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
From Allies to Neighbors: The Impact of Military Service on Support for Refugee Resettlement
Many of the largest refugee crises occur in the wake of military withdrawals, yet there is little work on public perceptions of migrants who have assisted in pr
papers.ssrn.com
The New York Times@nytimes.com · 4mo agoBreaking News: President Trump is said to be in talks to send Afghans who helped the U.S. war effort to the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Up in time for #mpsa! Whose lives matter? #AI-generated images allow me to manipulate race of invaded country. Result? Penalty in support for ASIAN and ARAB countries compared to White (and Black!). ~15% ⬇️ in willing. to pay tax to help. Race also biases strategic and material considerations!
APSA Preprints@apsa-preprints.bsky.social · 4mo agoMore Equal the Others: Race and Religion Alter Support to Countries in Conflict https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2026-bkpx6?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss #polisky
The strikes on Iran are blatantly illegal. I explained in June why the strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities were unlawful under US and international law. Everything I wrote then is true today, but this is a far larger assault with far graver consequences. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/23/o...
Opinion | Trump’s Strikes on Iran Were Unlawful. Here’s Why That Matters.
nytimes.com
As the US and #Israel engage in #OperationEpicFury at strike #Iran, I'm mindful of how race and religion may shape public support. My JMP shows (all else equal), sharp penalties in support for Asian and Arab countries being invaded, compared to White and Black. (link below)
Having military officers in these programs dramatically changes, and improves the understanding between the ivory tower and enlisted service members. tragic to see this
Dan Nexon@dhnexon.net · 6mo agoThe notion that we could “indoctrinate” military officers in 1.5 years of coursework is grimly hilarious. I really hope they don’t yank funding from students already in these programs, but I suspect that without pushback he definitely will.
Neat working paper by Bischof et al. that's apparently now conditionally accepted at JOP. TLDR: Social Desireability bias is less of a concern for online survey research than previously thought. osf.io/preprints/os...
Finally out in @isq-jrnl.bsky.social! “Preserve, Pressure, Protect, and Peel: The US–China Rivalry and the Politics of Vaccine Provision” How do great powers decide who gets life-saving aid? Preserve friends? Pressure others? Protect health? Peel fence-sitters? academic.oup.com/isq/article/...
Stephen Colbert SLAMS CBS for not letting James Talarico on Late Night
I'm teaching a few survey research courses live and online. First, a free one hour seminar. Feb 20 instats.org/seminar/surv... Then a set of two (half) day courses. Not free (sorry!). -Intro Surveys (Feb 26-27): instats.org/seminar/intr... -Advanced Surveys (March 5-6): instats.org/seminar/adva...
NEW: The Trump administration has dropped its appeal of a federal court order blocking its $1.2-billion settlement demand to UCLA over alleged campus civil rights violations: www.latimes.com/california/s...
Trump administration drops its appeal of court order blocking $1.2-billion UCLA settlement
The Trump administration dropped its appeal of a major higher education case in which a federal judge blocked its $1.2-billion settlement proposal to UCLA over alleged civil rights violations. But it ...
latimes.com
Two things can be true: we’re a competitive authoritarian state with all sorts of efforts to put a thumb on the scale of who has power AND we have sufficiently free and sufficiently fair elections that every month we see the party in power lose.
Taniel@taniel.bsky.social · 7mo agoJUST IN: Democrats flip a red seat in the Texas Senate. Taylor Rehmet wins against Leigh Wambsganss, a conservative activist who helped lead right-wing efforts to take over TX school boards. With all early vote, and 95% of precincts, in, Dem up 57/43. Trump won this seat by 17% in Tarrant County.
Got a fellowship rejection and an interview invite for a different fellowship within minutes of each other. The job market really said: stay humble, stay hopeful, stay glued to your inbox.
Job market season is such a rollar coaster. Got a game-changing R&R!
One more piece of evidence that the defining problem of an AI world is not “how do we harness the genius machine?”, it is “how do we contain the lying machine?”
Josh McCrain@joshmccrain.bsky.social · 9mo agonew paper by Sean Westwood: With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
Thank you @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for an amazing Global Public Opinion workshop! Great scholars and conversations ! Wonderful to see @jkertzer.bsky.social @jonathan-renshon.bsky.social @eunajo.bsky.social too!
Congratulations to @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for the launch of the Global Public Opinion Lab (GPOL) at Florida State! Lots of exciting plans in the works! (I couldn't take any pictures of public opinion, so here's one of Spanish moss)
Presenting this afternoon Peace Science - last panel of the day 😊 With @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social , @kmatush.bsky.social , and Eun A Jo!
Rikio Inouye@rinouye.bsky.social · 10mo agoDemocracy isn’t just a value—it’s national security. New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
Democracy isn’t just a value—it’s national security. New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
Democratic Backsliding Damages Foreign Public Support for Security Cooperation
Does democratic backsliding shape foreign public preferences for security cooperation with the backsliding state? We argue that it does. Backsliding erodes the
papers.ssrn.com
Was just in a behavior workshop today and this piece is still so helpful for people to consider when designing experiments and interpreting (null) effects!
John V. Kane@uptonorwell.bsky.social · 2y ago🚨It's finally out AND #OpenAccess!!! Do you do survey experiments? This article is for you! 7 things that increase the risk of null/non-significant results & how to detect/prevent them. It's one of my fav things I've ever written so I hope you enjoy ☺️ polisky cup.org/3OQhKNv