Roger Pielke Jr.
@thehonestbroker.bsky.social
undisciplined scholar and recovering academic @AEI @DNVA1 @CUBoulder @UCL | Subscribe to The Honest Broker ➡️ http://rogerpielkejr.substack.com
The Coming Replication Revolution #AI tools will transform how we evaluate published science. Journal editors, get ready. @thehonestbroker.bsky.social rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-coming...
The Coming Replication Revolution
AI tools will transform how we evaluate published science. Journal editors, get ready.
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
China and the Endless Frontier Lessons of a new science policy report from China for US policy makers rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/china-and-...
China and the Endless Frontier
Lessons of a new science policy report from China for US policy makers
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
The Frontier is Fundamental Join us online tomorrow at 14:00 UK for the first international discussion of the China Fundamental Research Report, with three of its authors & a stellar panel, including @thehonestbroker.bsky.social @profgeraintrees.bsky.social www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/the-fronti...
The frontier is fundamental: China & the remaking of global research
Online launch event for the China Fundamental Research Report 2026
eventbrite.co.uk
Just published at THB THB Weekend Update It’s been a busy October - Some things you may have missed and what is coming soon rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/thb-weeken...
THB Weekend Update
It’s been a busy October - Some things you may have missed and what is coming soon
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
For a deeper dive into the China Fundamental Research Report, join us online on 27 October (2–4pm UK), when three of its authors will debate its findings with an international expert panel. www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/the-fronti... @profgeraintrees.bsky.social @thehonestbroker.bsky.social
The frontier is fundamental: China & the remaking of global research
Online launch event for the China Fundamental Research Report 2026
eventbrite.co.uk
A Report from the Netherlands Why engagement matters to me rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/a-report-f...
A Report from the Netherlands
Why engagement matters to me
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
"A look at how climate enthusiasts tried to sabotage the careers of inconvenient scientists. It might be difficult in 2026 to understand how vindictive and professionally punitive the climate debate was in the 2000s and 2010s." by @thehonestbroker.bsky.social www.realclearscience.com/2026/10/09/v...
Vindictive Climate Scientists: A Reminder
A climate advocacy group called Skeptical Science hosts a list of academics that it has labeled “climate misinformers.” The list includes 17 academics and is intended as a blacklist. We kn
realclearscience.com
My latest @thedispatch Extreme Weather Shouldn’t Be a Political Football Understanding trends in weather requires working from the best available data. thedispatch.com/newsletter/d...
Extreme Weather Shouldn’t Be a Political Football
Understanding trends in weather requires working from the best available data.
thedispatch.com
I’m lecturing in Oslo on Wednesday on the subject of my newly drafted book manuscript: The battle over science, sex and fairness in elite sport www.dnva.no/detskjer/202... Please come say hi!
The battle over science, sex and fairness in elite sport
Professor Roger Pielke Jr. is main speaker at this meeting, which will look into elite sports and the question of sex and science.
dnva.no
“Behind the Scenes” at the National Academies New documents reveal stealth advocacy at the heart of America's science academy rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/behind-the...
“Behind the Scenes” at the National Academies
New documents reveal stealth advocacy at the heart of America's science academy
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
Flooding in Giverny - 1886 https://botfrens.com/collections/41/contents/3110145
Folks blocking @thehonestbroker.bsky.social will miss this calcuation: Thanks to Trump's war, "Consumers have collectively paid about $869 billion in extra payments, equal to an $87 per tonne carbon tax across all fossil fuel emissions." rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/trumps-car... 1/2
Trump’s Carbon Tax
The president meets the “Iron Law”
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
"The narrative was really that parents were selfish or anti-science. They were dumb. … And I found that to be untrue," sociologist Jennifer Reich told STAT. Why some families skip vaccines, and why "misinformation" isn’t really to blame: https://bit.ly/4dMoSHd
The logic of vaccine hesitant parents
YouTube video by STAT
youtube.com
It would be unprecedented in the satellite era and even in the past century to have a hurricane season with no hurricanes. In the past century (1926-2025) the fewest number of hurricanes in a season is two, and that happened in 1930, 1982, and 2013.
Fay lingers, Gonzalo dissipates, Hanna forms
Updates and summaries on tropical Atlantic activity... including easterly waves, tropical storms, subtropical storms, and hurricanes.
bmcnoldy.blogspot.com
The Intelligence / L'intelligence - 1946 #artbots #magritte
The security expert on the chances of a Trump-Xi deal on Taiwan, her interactions with President Biden — and why a third world war is a ‘plausible scenario’: ft.trib.al/fm2CKEU
Thomas Jones, Mount Vesuvius from Torre dell’Annunziata near Naples, 1783 https://botfrens.com/collections/14375/contents/1124571
Fool Us Once A Trojan Horse effort to place RCP8.5 back at the center of climate science and policy rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/fool-us-once
Fool Us Once
A Trojan Horse effort to place RCP8.5 back at the center of climate science and policy
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
The Economic Costs of the Iran War: THB Sept Update How much Americans are paying for the war in fuel, taxes, and interest @thehonestbroker.bsky.social #Iran #USA #Trump #uspoli rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-econom...
The Economic Costs of the Iran War: THB Sept Update
How much Americans are paying for the war in fuel, taxes, and interest
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
Was the recent disaster in the Himalayas caused by climate change? A study published by an influential climate group said yes. But its methods turned out to be deeply flawed, writes Roger Pielke Jr.
How to Fake Climate Science and Fool the World
Was the recent disaster in the Himalayas caused by climate change? A study published by an influential climate group said yes. But its methods turned out to be deeply flawed, writes Roger Pielke Jr.
bit.ly
"One of the most brazen... propaganda campaigns... the concerted effort by climate advocates to create a belief that climate change causes bad weather and disasters, and that we can prevent those bad things from happening..." by @thehonestbroker.bsky.social www.realclearscience.com/2026/09/18/c...
Climate Advocates Are Taking Us for Fools
One of the most brazen — and successful — propaganda campaigns sits out in plain sight. I am referring to the concerted effort by climate advocates to create a belief that “climate c
realclearscience.com
What might global fossil CO2 emissions do in 2026? Based on IEA estimates, fossil CO2 emissions could decline 0.5% in 2026. A big 2.4% drop in oil & small 0.5% drop in gas, is partially offset by a 1.2% increase in coal. All very uncertain! www.energiogklima.no/nyhet/hormuz...
I just updated our analysis of plausible scenarios - Pielke et al. 2022 - with updated emissions data, IPCC AR6 scenarios, IEA WEO 2025, and CMIP7 scenarios rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/plausible-...
Plausible Scenarios Still Indicate 2°C to 3°C
An update of Pielke et al. 2022 with four more years of emissions data, 2025 IEA outlook, IPCC AR6 database, and the new CMIP7 scenarios
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
🚨NOW LIVE THB Build your own climate scenario Check it out and let me know what you think! scenarios.thehonestbroker.org
Build your own climate scenario
Set eight assumptions and see how far they sit from what the world has done and from the seven CMIP7 scenarios.
scenarios.thehonestbroker.org
Is the New HIGH Climate Scenario Plausible? Good news and bad news from a close look at the new CMIP7 scenarios rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/is-the-new...
Is the New HIGH Climate Scenario Plausible?
Good news and bad news from a close look at the new CMIP7 scenarios
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
How AI Tools are Changing Research, Communication, and Education What I’ve learned as I have developed AI expertise rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/how-ai-too...
How AI Tools are Changing Research, Communication, and Education
What I’ve learned as I have developed AI expertise
rogerpielkejr.substack.com
Morning Mist Rising In Plymouth, New Hampshire https://www.wikiart.org/en/thomas-cole/morning-mist-rising-in-plymouth-new-hampshire-1830
