#VendrediLecture 📚 How can parties expand their volunteer base? Drawing from field experiments in 🇳🇱, @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social & @hlarreguy.bsky.social show personal calls are effective, in particular to recruit younger members. Open Acess in @polanalysis.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1017/pan....

So, happy to see this out with José Ramón Enríquez and Octavio Lujambio! Using Mexico’s 2012–2021 elections, 3G coverage, and Facebook SCI, we study when polarizing elite rhetoric translates into electoral gains. bit.ly/EliteDrivenP...

Maybe now people in PE will start caring more about vote buying! Great read from a late friend www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

So nice to see this with @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social in press!

Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR@cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 3w ago

#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social - Get Out the Volunteer: Encouraging Diverse Political Party Activism - https://cup.org/4xit4FF - @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social & @hlarreguy.bsky.social #FirstView

After the far-right election in Germany, and given the policies they propose for migrants, which I condemn on principle, this new paper with J. David Martínez H. points to the geopolitical dangers of this strategy, which they might care about. tinyurl.com/BalticsLarre...

🆕 Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it? 📢 Today on Economics Unpacked, Cesi Cruz (@umich.edu) & @hlarreguy.bsky.social (ITAM) discuss the causes and consequences of political polarisation, and how to reverse it: www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2v0...

Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it?

YouTube video by VoxDev

youtube.com

Political polarisation is fundamentally a relational problem. In this week's episode of Economics Unpacked, Cesi Cruz and @hlarreguy.bsky.social outline polarisation in various contexts. Watch the full episode below👇

VoxDev@voxdev.bsky.social · last mo.

🆕 Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it? 📢 Today on Economics Unpacked, Cesi Cruz (@umich.edu) & @hlarreguy.bsky.social (ITAM) discuss the causes and consequences of political polarisation, and how to reverse it: www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2v0...

Our own Cesi Cruz joins @hlarreguy.bsky.social for this @voxdev.bsky.social video about the global rise of political polarization, its consequences for development, and how to reverse it. www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2v0... @umisr.bsky.social

Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it?

YouTube video by VoxDev

youtube.com

I truly wonder if there is an experiment behind this, this is a joke, or there is an increasingly complete lack of appreciation for our time. They ask to review a book of 350 pages within 15 days for 50 points (worthless to me).

The Department of Political Science at Aarhus University is hiring both Assistant Professors and Associate Professors. Assistant Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Associate Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Please share these opportunities with your networks!

Assistant Professor in Political Science - Vacancy at Aarhus University

Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

international.au.dk

Very happy to see "Political polarization in low- and middle-income countries" with Ernesto Tiburcio in print! Free view-only version: rdcu.be/fpIKE

From our February Issue: Family Ties, Social Control, and Authoritarian Distribution to Elites by ANTONELLA BANDIERA, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and JORGE MANGONNET. doi.org/10.1017/S000...

I owe a huge thanks to my advisors @hlarreguy.bsky.social, @vinpons.bsky.social, @proftortuga.bsky.social, Melissa Dell, and Anders Jensen, and many other mentors for supporting me on this process, as well as family and friends!

Conference update emails for #HBES2026 and #CESRabat will be sent soon. In the meantime, updated programs are live on both conference websites: airess.fgses-um6p.ma/hbes2026 airess.fgses-um6p.ma/ces2026 Check them out! @ces2026.bsky.social @hbes2026.bsky.social

👉Our findings demonstrate how historical variation in inherited coercive capacity and informational frictions can shape the subnational logic of authoritarian control.

💥 Our results indicate that after the sudden increase in dissent, municipalities with a stronger militia presence experienced more repression events and less land redistribution than areas with weaker or no militia presence.

(3) newly digitized archival records documenting individual instances of repression over time from archivo.archivosdelarepresion.org

(1) a large-scale land reform that redistributed over half of all agricultural land between 1910 and 1992; (2) the localized presence of regime-aligned rural militias with revolutionary origins and

💎We then test these predictions using novel data from twentieth-century Mexico under PRI rule. Our empirical strategy exploits a sharp increase in overall dissent in the mid-1960s and three sources of subnational variation:

🪖The model predicts that when dissent rises, rulers are more likely to rely on repression rather on redistribution in areas with strong inherited coercive capacity.

🧩 We develop a model in which an autocrat’s localized response to dissent depends on incomplete information about the geography of people’s discontent and the government’s coercive capacity, a feature that authoritarian governments often inherit from the past.

🗺️ In contrast, we argue that subnational differences in the inherited coercive capacity of the regime are a central—yet underexplored—determinant of whether autocrats respond to local dissent with repression or redistribution, thereby preventing its escalation at the very early stages of uprisings.

👉While this trade-off is well documented, existing accounts often treat this strategic choice as uniform across space, attributing variation primarily to national-level factors, such as regime type or macroeconomic conditions.

🤔What could explain the subnational variation in authoritarian responses to local unrest? 📜 Authoritarian regimes commonly employ a mix of coercion and redistribution to maintain political control (Gandhi 2008; Albertus 2017).

📢New Working Paper Alert📢 Very excited to share the latest version of our paper with @hlarreguy.bsky.social, David Martinez, and Mariano Sánchez-T on how authoritarian regimes vary their strategies across territory to maintain political control. 🔗https://juanfeliperiano.com/papers/militias.pdf

So, happy that we finally have a draft with David Martinez, @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social and Mariano Sánchez-Talanquer. All this started informally over a dinner at the @weatherheadcenter.bsky.social almost 10 years ago! tinyurl.com/MexicoMilitias

#DemocraticBacksliding: The erosion of US democracy under Trump is steeper than any recent precedent, including Hungary, Venezuela, Turkey, R//ZZ.l'a/nd Source: Financial Times @jburnmurdoch.ft.com www.ft.com/content/b474...

So happy that this work with Antonella Bandiera and Jorge Mangonnet @apsrjournal.bsky.social is finally in press t.co/LyI7UbBIaU

After 6 years of work, I am thrilled to introduce "Polarization and Exposure to Cross-Partisan Media in an Electoral Autocracy," with Jeremy Bowles @shelleyliu.bsky.social and Ahmet Akbiyik. We hope you enjoy it! tinyurl.com/TBLLA

Combating Misinformation. What Works and What We Should Do www.ifo.de/en/econpol/p...