Prof Ray Wills

@profraywills.futuresmart.com.au

Futurist Disruption Ag, biz, cities, climate, ecology, economy, energy, renewables, robots, tech, transport World Top100 Sustainability MD Future Smart Strategies™ Prof UWA Be Good (I only follow accounts with name+pic+profile + poke me!)

There is no evidence in either pricing or deployment data that solar or batteries will slow anytime soon. As our Future Smart global growth model shows, the logical question is not to ask why is the transition so fast, but to ask: why on earth would it slow? bsky.app/profile/prof...

Global growth rate of energy sources
Solar the fastest generation source growth in history
Wind about same speed as nuclear - but it has kept growing
Battery dispatch growth is fasterUpdated price curve on solar price versus volume
and battery price versus volume@fss_au global electricity model to 2025, and projected growth to 2035
Solar shows increasing growth at lest until 2032, and then just grows more slowly, while batteries are unlikely to slow before 2035
Prof Ray Wills@profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2mo ago

Solar is already creating the fastest shift in electricity generation in history - and it is still accelerating Batteries are faster reneweconomy.com.au/solar-is-alr... @reneweconomy.com.au

Updated price curve on solar price versus volume

El Niño cycles push warming up above the trend line which could pull a tipping point forward in time. Their effects seem to ride on until the next cycle. I also worry about the oceans’ and forests’ ability to continue absorbing CO2 at the historic rate.

Prof Ray Wills@profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 3d ago

This year will be the hottest year of your life This year may be the coolest year of the rest of your life Estimate global temperatures for 2026 and 2027 enhanced by record-smashing El Niño event compared to global temperatures since 1850 - graphic @zekehausfather.com

Perisher’s snow cameras show very thin, highly managed snowpack with 154 snow guns firing for man-made snow, needing somewhere close to 1 GWh of electricity in July 2026 season consistent with increasingly marginal, climate‑constrained Australian snow season Temperatures 6°C max, -4°C overnight

Front valley general view - a continuous white surface on the main groomed run, but with a smooth, hard appearance and visible underlying contour lines, which are typical of shallow, machine‑made snow rather than a deep natural basePerisher snow stake A closer focus on the ground conditions on Front Valley at PerisherA graph tracking snow fall 2 2 August 2026 (so only a part year so far) but is yet to see any substantive snow fall
Prof Ray Wills@profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · last mo.

Thin white strips on brown slopes: Manufactured ski seasons are fuelling the climate problem Facts and discourse for those that like the detail! reneweconomy.com.au/thin-white-s... @reneweconomy.com.au #snow #skiing #Australia #Alps

The oil crisis deepens Strategies of clinging to oil only invest in the past We need a better plan than just to build an new oil refinery and prop up fossil fuels We need to invest in electrification to bring a more secure future And the solutions are available today - and affordable

The solar and battery revolution is happening faster than any other period of history.China’s dominance in share of global green tech manufacturing Estimated global oil displaced by electric vehicles to 2025, projected to 2030 - and just ChinaAustralian liquid fuels monthly sales by product showing the growth of diesel use
The Point@thepointau.bsky.social · 5d ago

"But this is all propping up a dying resource and is likely to be a total waste of $15b, let alone the desperate shepherding of Asian oil products into our transport system” writes Professor Peter Newman & Professor Ray Wills. Read the full piece on The Point: thepoint.com.au/opinions/260...

A mining campaign in a farmer’s hat The choice regional Australia faces is not “keep diesel or lose money.” It’s whether we spend public money rebating legacy fossil fuel use Or invest in a once-in-a-generation, fastest energy shift in human history Let's not wait for fossil fuel's permission

Australia liquid fuels monthly sales by product - petrol, diesel, aviation fuelsSolar produces electricity very effectively
1 ha of solar on a farm is all that's needed to power an entire electric fleet on the farm. 
1 ha of biofuels will only power less than 5% of that ...
The Driven@thedriven.io · 2w ago

Defending the diesel rebate as an act of loyalty to farmers gets it backwards. Real support for regional Australia means helping farmers off diesel, not paying them to stay on it https://ow.ly/Lf8N50ZsaxZ

In related news Some commentary from the other place on the number of bikinis required for a climate-change induced scorcher that doesn't mention global warming In winter in Perth, it gets harder to not mention climate change without any bikinis, so we go for a beachscape shot

A bikini headline ignoring climate changeA beachscape headline ignoring climate change
Prof Ray Wills@profraywills.futuresmart.com.au · 2w ago

BOM's long-range forecast August to October: Rainfall likely below average across the south-west and eastern half of Australia; above average for north-west Daytime temperatures likely above average south of the tropics. Overnight temperatures likely above average for most of Australia.