Our article with @efetokdemir.bsky.social is now out at Journal of Conflict Resolution! Using an LLM to classify presidential speeches, we examine how leaders’ rhetorical emphasis on foreign policy helps explain the relationship between economic hardship and the diversionary use of force. Link 👇

Meet the COUNSTER team! Led by @efetokdemir.bsky.social our team brings together postdoctoral and predoctoral researchers with expertise spanning conflict studies, computational social science, and fieldwork. With our incoming team member, Leo Bauer, the picture will be complete soon!

🚀 The COUNSTER project website is now live: counster-project.com Curious about what we're building? Head over to our website to explore the project's aims, meet the team, and see what's ahead!

Welcome to the official page of COUNSTER, a European Research Council (ERC) Consolidator project hosted at Bilkent University for five years. Follow us to keep up with the project's research, fieldwork, and findings, and keep an eye out for the launch of our website.

The project COUNSTER aims to explain why, how, and when governments target the constituents of non-state armed actors (NSAAs), and what determines the success or failure of these government-constituency relations as a strategic tool in counterinsurgency.

🚨 Our new article on political economy of conflict with @serayyalaz.bsky.social and Seden Akcinaroglu is now online first @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social Also a proud moment to have another piece with an emerging scholar and great student. It is open access via academic.oup.com/jpr/advance-...

📢13 Mart Cuma günü İstanbul Politikalar Merkezi'nde @erc.europa.eu projemin de temelini oluşturan "radikalleşme, isyan ve terörle mücadele stratejisi olarak çözüm/açılım süreçlerine" dair erken bulgularımı paylaşacağım. Kayıt olmak için: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

📌 Hiring one postdoctoral and two predoctoral researchers for the @erc.europa.eu project #COUNSTER, each position for up to 3 years to start on May 2026. Postdoc: stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR2... (Deadline Feb 20) Predoc: stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR2... (Deadline March 1)

Thrilled to share that I have been awarded an @erc.europa.eu Consolidator Grant for my project, COUNSTER! Many thanks to @bilkentuniv.bsky.social @ufukavrupa-tr.bsky.social @cfppr.bsky.social for their great help during the submission process. I am very excited for the journey ahead! #ERCCoG +

📝 Don't miss this article from the current issue of #BJPIR 'Enforcement of international human rights law: A comparative exploration of alternative public opinion channels' by A Burcu Bayram, Eric Keels & @efetokdemir.bsky.social 🔗 buff.ly/I2r6aXM @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

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And now, the paper is out @conflictmanagement.bsky.social "Unique Offerings: Ideological Competition and Rebel Governance" You can check it out: journals.sagepub.com/eprint/QZV67...

Efe Tokdemir@efetokdemir.bsky.social · last yr.

Grateful for the recognition of our article “Unique Offerings: Ideological Competition and Rebel Governance” by @apsa.bsky.social 2025 Conflict Section Best Paper Award. It has recently become online first. If you are inquiring about rebel strategies, then: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

The article is in the issue @bjpir.bsky.social It is a timely piece to check out: Apparently, public concerns over human rights violations in foreign countries are highly strategic, based on political alliances rather than legal context (based on findings from experiments in USA, Germany, Türkiye)

Efe Tokdemir@efetokdemir.bsky.social · 2y ago

Our article is online first now. Comparing public attitudes in USA, Germany & Türkiye, we show that public concerns over human rights violations in foreign countries are highly strategic, based on political alliances rather than legal context. Access free thru: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

My department is further expanding: Two open rank positions: 1) Open specialization:stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR2026 2) Historical approaches in IR:stars.bilkent.edu.tr/staffapp/IR202… The positions come with perks incl. teaching reduction, free housing, and IB schooling options for children

Grateful for the recognition of our article “Unique Offerings: Ideological Competition and Rebel Governance” by @apsa.bsky.social 2025 Conflict Section Best Paper Award. It has recently become online first. If you are inquiring about rebel strategies, then: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Unique offerings: Ideological competition and rebel governance - Seden Akcinaroglu, Jeremy Berkowitz, Carlos E. Moreno Leon, Sema Hande Ogutcu-Fu, Evgeny Sedashov, Efe Tokdemir, 2025

This study examines the factors influencing non-state armed actors’ (NSAAs) ability and willingness to implement rebel governance, with a focus on the group...

journals.sagepub.com

First, Latife Kınay-Kılıç, Ersel Aydınlı and @efetokdemir.bsky.social investigate how states respond to external support for rebel groups during civil wars, finding that strategic rivalry drives the most severe responses.

My advisees Özge Karban and Deniz Özdemir have successfully defended their MA theses during the Summer 2025. Özge will pursue her PhD at PennState, and Deniz will do at Binghamton University Keep an eye on them in the upcoming years - two great scholars in the making Congratulations!

Based on a nationwide survey in Türkiye, we demonstrate how exposure to violence resulting from conflict conditions (i.e., involvement) and perceptions of state efficacy in security provision (i.e., blame attribution) shape trust in legacy vs. social media.

Our coauthored article with Seden Akçınaroğlu and @efetokdemir.bsky.social is published online first in Media, War & Conflict. We explore the impact of exposure to conflict-related violence on trust in different media types regarding conflict-related information and news. @mwcjournal.bsky.social

Do sanction threats work? We find that threats—even if credibly backed—do not increase support for concessions in the target public (Turkiye case). Plus, positive inducements provoke backlash in some groups, highlighting coercive diplomacy’s limits Check out our research note: shrturl.app/3l4wWJ

Don’t forget to add our forum article into your reading list: www.allazimuth.com/2024/11/25/f...

All Azimuth: A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace@allazimuth.bsky.social · last yr.

Our latest issue is now available! Check it out👇 www.allazimuth.com/issues/

Our latest issue is now available! Check it out👇 www.allazimuth.com/issues/

Saldırı ABD-İran nükleer görüşmeleriyle kesişti, ABD kamuoyu ve Trump da görüşmelerin olumlu sonuçlanabileceği düşüncesi vardı. ABD açıktan İsrail’e karşı çıkmaz, ama Trump’ın uzayan süreçlere ve alternatif planlara tahammülsüzlüğü ise bilindik.Rubio “tek taraflı” açıklamaları buradan okunmalı

Publication Alert – Our latest article titled, "All Azimuth Debate: Gradual Reform or Revolution? Pathways to Global IR," by @aysezarakol.bsky.social l and Ersel Aydınlı is now online ! www.allazimuth.com/2025/02/06/a...

Had a great time giving a guest talk at University of Washington International Security Colloquium. Grateful for kind invitation, insightful discussion, awesome Seattle weather. Big thanks to the Dept of Polisci and @aslicansunar.bsky.social for hosting me at the campus 🙏

Indian accounts plugged into BJP on other site saying possibly ~25 dead. very very much TBD, but targeting of tourists, possible death toll, Vance visit, relative calm prior all suggest a potential crisis moment:

Paul Staniland@pstaniland.bsky.social · last yr.

Potentially big news coming out of Kashmir: indianexpress.com/article/indi...

Prof. Dr. Fuat Keyman’ı anmak ve onun akademi ve düşünce dünyasına değerli katkılarını hatırlamak için 15-16 Mayıs'ta "Prof. Dr. Fuat Keyman: Bilimin İzinde Bir Ömür" anma toplantısını düzenlenecektir. Program detayları, ilerleyen günlerde tüm sosyal medya hesaplarımızdan paylaşılacaktır.

Since my graduation back in 2017, I was in @bingpolisci.bsky.social for the first time as a guest speaker. A great audience with tough questions as always. It was really good to be back home, and walk through the corridors of the department once again. Truly thankful for their invitation…

Glad to be part of “What do we know about Terrorism” edited volume. Truly learned a lot from my colleagues during the workshop! Thanks @brianjphillips.bsky.social and @sbmitche.bsky.social for leading and ırganizing such a great initiative

Brian J. Phillips@brianjphillips.bsky.social · 2y ago

2 days of workshopping chapters at Iowa for the edited volume "What Do We Know About Terrorism?" A great group of folks! (Only some are pictured. 23 authors total.) The workshop was hosted by Sara Mitchell, outstanding host, editor of the series. I'm editing the book, which will be out in 2026! 📚

Przeworski (1991) demokrasileri bugünün kaybedenlerinin yarın kazanma ihtimaline sahip olduğu rejimler olarak tanımlar. Muhaliflerin kazanma ihtimallerinin yok edildiğini, kazanma şanslarının olmadığını düşündüğü bir ortamda demokrasiden bahsedilemez. Yaşasın demokrasi!

Here are the list of articles in the special issue. We thank all of the authors for their valuable contribution to our initiative🌞