Miguel Ramalho

@msramalho.bsky.social

Investigative Technologist @bellingcat.com Data, Tech, Human Rights, Conflict & Financial Investigations Signal @miguel.351 https://github.com/msramalho

The FIFA World Cup was predicted to be the biggest betting event in history. Bellingcat researcher @msramalho.bsky.social looked into the data on prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi - and found that fans wagered more than US $14 billion through the two sites www.bellingcat.com/news/2026/07...

Will Ronaldo Cry​? World Cup Fans Bet Billions Through Prediction Markets - bellingcat

Users traded on almost 60,000 outcomes, betting on everything from the sponsor of the Golden Boot winner to whether Cristiano Ronaldo would shed a tear during a Portugal match.

bellingcat.com

Russia is ALL GAS NO BREAKS on the so-called youth "military patriotic" education. There's a social shift and the price to pay is in blood and trauma for generations to come. The state sponsored Russian Cossacks are one part of that, they are also a way to co-opt an identity that is Ukrainian too.

Bellingcat@bellingcat.com · 8mo ago

The All-Russian Cossack Society turns school clubs into pipelines for state-sponsored militarisation and recruitment for war in Ukraine. Bellingcat shows how they shape an alternative mobilisation force: www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/12...

Life in Bamako, the capital of Mali, has been brought to a standstill after a jihadist organisation launched a series of attacks on inbound fuel convoys. Bellingcat has verified six attacks since September, which together have damaged more than 130 fuel tankers. www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/12...

Mali Under Siege: Tracking the Fuel Blockade Crippling Bamako - bellingcat

Attacks by a jihadist group on fuel convoys bound for Bamako, the capital of Mali, have destroyed more than 130 tankers since September, a Bellingcat investigation has found.  The systematic attacks b...

bellingcat.com

Streets have been renamed, Ukrainian monuments removed, and murals painted over. Bellingcat investigates how apartment blocks in the Ukrainian port city of Mariupol have been demolished to make way for a new Russian suburban utopia… www.bellingcat.com/uncategorize...

Building on Ruins: The Russification of Mariupol, One Apartment Block at a Time - bellingcat

Bellingcat has identified 23 multi-storey housing complexes being built in occupied Mariupol and advertised for sale to Russian citizens.

bellingcat.com

If you aren't paying attention to what is happening in Illinois/Chicago, you're missing out on Bovino and federal agents using tear gas, pepper balls, and force against the people. Check out our investigation alongside @evidentmedia.org

Bellingcat@bellingcat.com · 9mo ago

Children tear-gassed. Teenagers tackled to the ground. Bellingcat analysed footage of clashes between federal officers and civilians after a judge issued a restraining order on crowd-control tactics in Illinois: www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/10...

Nothing is permanent on social media. Users deleting their posts or webpages can lead to the erasure of a trail of evidence that may be crucial to your investigations. But how do you keep that data? We've updated our Auto Archiver tool to make archiving easier... www.bellingcat.com/resources/20...

The Open Source Tool That Has Preserved 150,000 Pieces of Online Evidence - bellingcat

Bellingcat’s Auto Archiver is a tool aimed at preserving online digital content before it can be modified, deleted or taken down

bellingcat.com

This report is a 200+ pages masterclass on how ingenuity plays a role in open source investigations. TLDR: Collect evidence of munition remnants > estimate direction of origin > overlay to know where to look for launch systems > identify military units > trace back chain of command.

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Bellingcat@bellingcat.com · last yr.

A new report by Bellingcat’s Justice & Accountability (J&A) Unit and @glanlaw.bsky.social detailing the use of cluster munitions in civilian areas in Kharkiv at the beginning of the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine is published today. j-and-a.glanlaw.org/kharkiv

After watching dozens of ICE raid/arrest videos it's clear how smartphones change the dynamics in these situations: It's why faces are covered, why operations are fast-in/fast-out, and in many cases why agents show restraint. > Filming and knowing your rights is crucial to a balanced power dynamic.

Bellingcat@bellingcat.com · last yr.

Armed officers, frequent use of force and people grabbed on the street or at their places of work. Working with @evidentmedia.org and @calmatters.org we have monitored the LA raids, discovering recurring trends and tactics used by officers. www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/07...

Auto Archiver v1.0.0 is out 🎉 Now with documentation, guides, tests, and new exciting features. A big thanks to @erinhmclark.bsky.social and Patrick Robertson who went out of their way to improve the quality and reliability of the tool. See what changed here: github.com/bellingcat/a...

Release v1.0.0 · bellingcat/auto-archiver

🎉 Auto Archiver v1.0.0 We're excited to announce a major stable release of the Auto Archiver tool! This release comes with some major improvements in stability and flexibility, with a modular and e...

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