Ben Paxton

@drbenpaxton.bsky.social

Senior Researcher at the @instituteforgov.bsky.social. Views my own.

Healey and Haigh have asked ministers how they will use procurement as a "strategic lever to deliver innovation and growth in every postcode" (as per @lucyfisher.ft.com). New comment from me on some of the answers departments should give www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy...

Five ways departments can help deliver Andy Burnham’s procurement agenda | Institute for Government

The government has asked departments to show how they can support its new procurement reforms.

instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Really great it looks like government is going further on devolving employment support. It's a big opportunity to join-up services, tailor support locally, improve engagement and innovate. Flexible funding will be key to this (and should help areas streamline the current patchwork of programmes)

Stuart Hoddinott@stuarthoddinott.bsky.social · 6d ago

Details on some of the first services they intend to devolve power for, including employment support. A big win for @drbenpaxton.bsky.social and @martha-ford.bsky.social who recommended exactly that in their recent paper on the topic www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publication/...

Excellent primer thread ahead of today's devo announcements from Matthew On fiscal devolution, a couple of key things I'm looking out for: 1. Will all/most mayors get the power immediately, or just the most advanced 2. How much flex will mayors have to spend on their own, vs Whitehall's, priorities

Matthew Fright@matthewfright.bsky.social · 6d ago

A big devolution day with press reports suggesting fiscal devolution, greater powers and a new 'local first' principle trailed in the papers. But for Andy Burnham to truly spread 'good growth in every postcode' requires a complete English devolution map 🧵

Cross-party talks are fine-and might be part of a process to sort out social care But Burnham can’t sidestep politics Deciding how to spend billions (or not), & who should win or lose, is the essence of politics From @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/article/comm...

Burnham can’t take the politics out of social care reform | Institute for Government

The new PM will have to prioritise to make progress on social care during this parliament

instituteforgovernment.org.uk

Sensible policy klaxon 🚨 Currently, if a 16 year old chooses to stay in school/college, their family can keep claiming benefits as before (notably child benefit). If they opt for an apprenticeship, the benefits stop. The system discourages apprenticeships. The DWP just announced a fix 🧵

NEW BLOG: organisational boundaries in local govt, the NHS and police do not match up That's a problem for Burnham's devo ambitions He should intervene now to create an aligned system that paves the way for future public services devo More 👇 www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/burn...

Burnham’s devolution agenda can lay strong foundations for public service reform | Institute for Government

The new PM needs to align the boundaries of services in local areas.

instituteforgovernment.org.uk

It's good Burnham isn't boxing his government in on tax already. They need a fiscal strategy that confronts the difficult fiscal inheritance, and the tax lock problem left over from Labour's manifesto (which he doesn't necessarily have to inherit) www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/burn...

Andy Burnham needs a new fiscal strategy that deals with the tax lock | Institute for Government

Tough choices on tax and spend await the next prime minister.

instituteforgovernment.org.uk

@jillongovt.bsky.social and I had a report ready to go but were pipped to the post by Burnham’s (predictable) decision to bring digital ID to an end. There were too many questions to answer and little that had been decided, making it an easier (and popular) decision than most will be for Burnham!

Jill Rutter@jillongovt.bsky.social · 2w ago

First concrete decision from Burnham govt - binning the digital ID scheme - new comment from @hcdunlop.bsky.social and me @instituteforgovernment.org.uk www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy... Not a surprise and good to move quickly ..but will still need a view on other govt ID work

If Burnham wants to do welfare reform, then No.10 must help navigate the big trade-offs (not just leave this to HMT/DWP). Putting senior people in No.10 who understand just how difficult that is should help (Cooke was a DWP adviser with Purnell 2008-09, then DWP SpAd in 2024 before moving to No.10)

Ailbhe Rea@pronouncedalva.bsky.social · 3w ago

Scoop: Andy Burnham has appointed Graeme Cooke, a former adviser to his chief of staff James Purnell, as Director of the Number 10 Policy Unit. Cooke currently advises on domestic policy in Starmer's Number 10. He takes on the policy chief role initially on a three-month transition contract.

Good decision by Burnham (if true). He needs to prioritise improving the centre of govt and economic/fiscal policy making, but splitting the Treasury would be a damaging distraction (set up a bolstered PM dept, have a bold tax strategy and improve the SR instead) www.ft.com/content/61c0...

Andy Burnham rules out splitting Treasury to avoid disruption

Likely next prime minister has been rethinking Britain’s economic levers to promote regional growth

ft.com

Latest from me and @hannahkeenan.bsky.social for @instituteforgovernment.org.uk Burnham might be mulling breaking up the Treasury. He’s right to want to reform the centre, but no.10 and cabinet office should be his focus. HMT reorg would be a distraction and would not fix underlying problems

Institute for Government@instituteforgovernment.org.uk · last mo.

NEW | Andy Burnham must sort out the centre of government on day one @tompope.bsky.social and @hannahkeenan.bsky.social argue that Andy Burnham should focus on the Cabinet Office and No.10, rather than splitting the Treasury: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/andy...

It's kind of ironic that John Healey's resignation over allocation of defence spending has come exactly one year to the day after the 2025 spending review announcement, which was *supposed* to confirm departments' budgets up to 2028/29 (and 2029/30 for capital)

Ben Paxton@drbenpaxton.bsky.social · 2mo ago

The central critique in Healey's resignation letter is that Starmer/Treasury have not found a way to meet defence spending pressures in the next few years, and instead have backloaded increases well into the next parliament (defence reaching 2.68% of GDP in 2030, compared to 3% he says is needed)

The central critique in Healey's resignation letter is that Starmer/Treasury have not found a way to meet defence spending pressures in the next few years, and instead have backloaded increases well into the next parliament (defence reaching 2.68% of GDP in 2030, compared to 3% he says is needed)

Policy changes create winners and losers It’s a truism that losers complain more than winners are grateful But we’re on a ludicrous path if those who lose out from policy decisions demand and then get compensation That’s a recipe for nothing being decided ever

Lucy Fisher@lucyfisher.ft.com · 2mo ago

NEW: Andy Burnham has hinted at a new multibillion-pound spending commitment if he becomes PM, saying that more than 3.5mn women “deserve” compensation over what he regards as a pension scandal

It's good government is confronting the long-known-about fiscal implications of its defence commitments. But across-the-board capital cuts would risk undermining the stability of capital investment, which has been a strength of the government's fiscal and economic policy. New comment from me here

Institute for Government@instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 2mo ago

NEW | Salami-slicing capital budgets for defence is bad fiscal policy making Raiding capital budgets in this way to pay for greater defence capability is the wrong approach, says @drbenpaxton.bsky.social Read our latest comment piece here: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/slic...

Public sector fraud is a huge problem. £12bn of fraud was detected in 2023/24 according to the NAO (+ an extra £41bn 'estimated'). Crises like Covid risk creating extra opportunities for fraud, so it is vital we're set up to stop this happening again in the future. Sign up below for this great event

Institute for Government@instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 2mo ago

EVENT | Lessons from Covid: How to avoid fraud in future crises? 📅Thursday 11 June 2026, 12:30-13:30 Join us as we put together an expert panel to explore what government should do to ensure more robust checks and balances ahead of the next crisis.

Few thoughts on this: a) the DIP has taken ages. Ideally it would have been agreed shortly after/at the SR - delay has costs. But, good plans delayed are better than bad plans rushed b) The DIP's credibility depends on government committing to explain how it will be paid for (come the autumn budget)

Lucy Fisher@lucyfisher.ft.com · 2mo ago

EXC: Treasury is preparing to seize control from the MoD of spending on the GCAP multibillion-pound fighter jet programme Turf grab is part of the final DIP wrangling, with PM set to unveil c. £15bn extra for military up til 2030, incl c. £6bn for GCAP, as soon as next week (Thurs 11 June mooted)