David Roth

@drmetwatch.bsky.social

Meteorologist. Into weather records. Soft spot for subtropical 🌀. 😻 and nature imagery, too.

Nat Geo photographer David Guttenfelder captured the Balancing Rock formation at Stockton Island, one of the 21 Apostle Islands in Lake Superior. IG: @ natgeo ~ @ dguttenfelder

Bertha briefly became a tropical storm. At the time, it had convection, albeit not well organized, near its low pressure center. It’s been so badly sheared the past 12+ hours that remnant low fits. Should its forward motion ever align with deep convection ahead of it, a center jump is possible.

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I’m so happy that I’ve lived long enough to witness the 27th year of the importance of radiosondes debate and the 243rd year of debating Benjamin Franklin’s satirical essay on Daylight Saving Time. The pace of progress is breathtaking…something. 🤣

Sea surface temperature departures from the 1991-2020 baseline for week ending June 12 in and around Alaska. Well below normal temperatures persist in the southern Bering and Chukchi Seas. Gulf of Alaska below normal in the west and above normal in the east. Data courtesy NOAA/PSL/ESRL. #akwx #SST

Map centered on Alaska showing sea surface temperature departures from the 1991-2020 baseline for the week of June 6-12, 2026.

A cyclone with ~ 992 hPa pressure per offshore obs at noon their time. June low pressure records would be eclipsed at short POR sites if the cyclone came ashore at this intensity. For longer POR sites like Seattle and Portland, it would be close.

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The Allison rainfall graphics were among the first that involved spreadsheet creation (Quattro Pro), one of the first done in near real time, and one of the few that involved manual plotting of datapoints back when the graphics were created in nMap/nAWIPS in 2002.

JJuly (they/them)@misovortex.bsky.social · 2mo ago

25 years ago #OTD: Tropical Storm Allison makes landfall in SE Texas, ~40 miles from Galveston. Over the next 5 days as it stalled and meandered, Allison produced extreme rainfall of up to 40" (1000mm) in the Houston metro, resulting in $5 billion in damages and at least 23 deaths in Texas alone.

NOAA-16 AVHRR false color satellite image of Tropical Storm Allison at 19:25 UTC (2:25pm CDT0 just before landfall in SE Texas. The storm has a compact, partly exposed low-level circulation located between Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay. A large convective cluster extends several hundred km from the low-level center to the east and south.

Something I plotted up showing how the Atlantic Hurricane Season shifts when taking the 3 mo ave RONI into account. El Niño conditions shift earlier in the tails. Neutral conditions shift later in the tails. La Niña conditions lead to even later shifts in the season, including the season peak.

Jangmi, beginning its extratropical transition, dropped Okinawa’s pressure to 980.4 hPa at 0900 UTC. This is shy of Kadena AFB’s record (POR since 1946) for June set 3 years ago, and marks the fourth time their sea level pressure dropped under 29” during June.

The red dots are where monthly sea level pressure records presently exist in the project. Note the 12 new dots in the Pacific. Thirteen new sites were added over the past month, including the Fiona landfall point in Canada.

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Fallstreaks, including a hole punch cloud. I’d guess that the quasi-linear formation was caused by a contrail higher up that fell through the supercooled altocumulus layer. We are under the Dulles AP flight path.

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