Chasing Cirrus

@drymeadow.bsky.social

CA water/climate/environmental policy professional. The ocean & sky call me (i.e. salt-water and weather nerd). Aspiring writer. Sober. Personal Principles: Life, liberty, equity, dignity, good-faith, win-win, transparent. Abolish ICE, Convict MAGA.

I've got 3 live virtual public events on YouTube scheduled over next 8 days (see recent posts for links): 1) Aug 3, 1p PT: WA wildfire disaster & bigger picture 2) Aug 4, 6p: "Super El Niño Town Hall" (CA Sen. Mike McGuire) 3) Aug 10, 1p: El Niño update: The latest forecast

On Tue, Aug 4 at 6pm PT, I'll be participating in a live virtual Town Hall event, hosted by CA State Senator Mike McGuire, on our rapidly-developing #ElNiño event and implications for California from 2026 into 2027. No RSVP required. See you there!

Super El Nino Town Hall

Join Senator McGuire, along with climate scientists, meteorologists, and disaster preparedness experts, for a virtual Super El Niño Town Hall to learn how California is preparing for very strong or “super” El Niño weather patterns and events this fall.

youtube.com

With numerous large fires already burning, the weekend fire wx outlook is concerning for interior PacNW (Cascades crest eastward). A dry cold frontal passage will bring strong winds/low humidity against severe drought backdrop, leading to "extremely critical" risk. #ORwx #WAwx

Fire weather risk outlook from NOAA SPC for Saturday. It shows a large region of elevated to critical risk, with a portion of eastern Washington designed as "extremely critical risk"--the highest level.

A long-duration California heat wave is expected to begin Friday, bringing the state its hottest weather in at least two years. The heat wave is shaping up to have two phases: an initial blast focusing on Central and Southern California, then a second peak that encompassing nearly the entire state.

California’s first major summer heat wave will have two peaks. Here’s a timeline

An extreme, long-duration California heat wave is expected to begin this week, bringing the state its hottest weather in at least two years, with no clear sign of when it might end.

sfchronicle.com

One factor behind the potentially record-breaking ridge event across the SW US in early August? Upstream latent heat release and possibly residual anticyclonic "spin" from Hurricane Genevieve, whose dissipation will coincide with an extreme ridge-building event. #CAwx #AZwx

Map showing regions of predicted record-breaking 500mb GPH heights across North America and adjacent oceans. A broad region of record-breaking 500mb heights is indicated over and near California by this weekend, just northeast of a decaying hurricane.

An intense and long-duration heatwave now appears likely by late Jul/early Aug for SW U.S., including California. Extreme heat is likely in hottest inland deserts, and a potentially dangerous combination of heat & elevated humidity may develop in SoCal. More to come. #CAwx #AZwx

Map of predicted 500mb GPH anomalies (normalized) from the ECMWF ensemble across the Western U.S. Extremely anomalous positive (warm) GPH is depicted across the Southwest, including California and Arizona.

In recent weeks, there has been a remarkable surge in large, intense, fast-moving, and unfortunately in many cases destructive/deadly wildfires in multiple Northern Hemisphere regions spanning a wide range of climates & ecologies, but they all share one key commonality. [Thread]

The extraordinary wildfire outbreak across Oregon, eastern Washington, and southern British Columbia has become even more alarming amid critical fire weather conditions. Over 500,000 acres have already burned in OR & WA alone, and that number could be >1 million acres by Mon.

An alarming snapshot from NOAA Wildland Fire Portal depicting numerous large smoke plumes and large heat signatures from many wildfires burning across Oregon, Washington, and British Colubmia.

Growing signs of prolonged & potentially intense heatwave across SW by early Aug. A broad Four Corners ridge will strengthen far beyond usual levels on its western flank, possibly due in part to indirect effects from a yet-to-develop East Pacific hurricane. Details TBD. #CAwx

Forecast from ECMWF ensemble showing 500mb GPH anomalies (normalized) around early August. They are highly anomalously positive across the SW US.

Unfortunately, and as anticipated, yesterday's widespread lightning-following-heat event amid severe drought has sparked a large number of additional wildfires, expanding existing outbreak across OR, WA, & BC. Numerous heat signatures & large smoke plumes are evident. #ORwx #WAwx

Current snapshot from NOAA Wildfire Fire Portal showing dozens of large, active fires (heat signatures and smoke plumes) from Oregon into southern British Columbia

Honestly it makes sense that TB would be the fast food of choice for the left-of-center and I would enlist in the Crunchwrap Grenadiers or the Bell Grande Airborne.

Post nicht verfügbar.

A major new wildfire outbreak is now underway across interior Pacific Northwest, with dozens (or more) new wildfires already popping up in eastern Oregon & Washington following tens of thousands of lightning strikes in region experiencing moderate to extreme drought. #ORwx #WAwx

Current Watch Duty snapshot across PacNW, showing literally dozens of new fires in eastern Washington and Oregon.

A major thunderstorm outbreak is unfolding across the interior Pacific NW. While not "dry thunderstorms" (w/briefly heavy showers), numerous wildfire ignitions are still likely due to strikes outside of rain cores, severe pre-existing drought, & heatwave to follow. #ORwx #WAwx