Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 27% (-1) RFM: 24% (=) CON: 22% (=) LDM: 10% (-2) GRN: 9% (+1) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 31 Jul - 27 Aug. Changes w/ 24-27 Jul.
Election Maps UK
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🗳️ Mapping UK Elections & Collating Polling Data nowcast / posters / much more @ electionmaps.uk support my work @ https://ko-fi.com/electionmapsuk
MRP Poll | Labour 81 Seats Short: LAB: 245 (+138) | 26% RFM: 174 (-112) | 23% CON: 99 (+19) | 21% LDM: 67 (-17) | 11% SNP: 25 (-8) | 2% PLC: 8 (-2) | 1% GRN: 7 (-13) | 10% Via @convergent-opinion.bsky.social, 25-30 Jul. Changes w/ 15 Jun MRP.
Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 27% (+6) RFM: 25% (-2) CON: 20% (-1) LDM: 12% (=) GRN: 10% (-1) Via JL Partners, 1-3 Aug. Changes w/ 16-19 Jun.
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 23% (+1) LAB: 22% (=) CON: 19% (-2) GRN: 13% (=) LDM: 12% (+1) RES: 4% (=) SNP: 3% (+1) Via @yougov.co.uk, 2-3 Aug. Changes w/ 26-27 Jul.
Clacton By-Election Voting Intention: ➡️ RFM: 73% (+27) 🗑️ CBF: 20% (New) 🟥 REC: 2% (New) ⚫ Others: 5% (-49) Via @survation.bsky.social, 16-24 Jul. Changes w/ GE2024.
There are 5 Council By-Elections to wet your psephological appetites this week: 🌼 Hengoed (Caerphilly) 🌳 Heacham (King's Lynn & West Norfolk) 🌳 Snettisham (King's Lynn & West Norfolk) 🌳 Hooley, Merstham & Netherne (Reigate) ➡️ Harton (South Tyneside) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...
General Election Nowcast - 02/08/26: LAB: 213 (-198) | 24.1% (113 Short) RFM: 152 (+147) | 24.0% CON: 104 (-17) | 19.7% LDM: 76 (+4) | 11.0% SNP: 42 (+33) | 2.8% GRN: 20 (+16) | 11.4% PLC: 16 (+12) | 1.3% RES: 1 (+1) | 2.7% Oth: 7 (+2) | 3.0% electionmaps.uk/nowcast
The Labour Party are leading in the electionmapsuk Voting Intention Tracker for the first time since March 2025: 🌹 LAB: 24.4% ➡️ RFM: 24.2% 🌳 CON: 19.9% 🌍 GRN: 11.5% 🔶 LDM 11.1% ◼️ RES: 2.7% electionmaps.uk/polling/vi
Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 27% (+5) RFM: 23% (=) CON: 17% (-3) GRN: 12% (-2) LDM: 12% (+1) SNP: 3% (=) Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 29-31 Jul. Changes w/ 15-17 Jul.
Greater Manchester Mayoral By-Election Result: 🌹 Craig | LAB: 47.2% ➡️ Astley | RFM: 21.0% 🌍 Coggins | GRN: 12.2% ◼️ West | RES: 8.7% 🌳 Eckersley | CON: 7.7% 🔶 Kilpatrick | LDM: 2.2% 🙋 Farmer | Ind: 0.6% 2nd Round: 🌹 Craig | LAB: 66.3% ➡️ Astley | RFM: 33.7% Labour HOLD.
If replicated in a General Election, this poll would see Labour fall just 18 seats short of an overall majority.
Election Maps UK@electionmaps.uk · 5d agoWestminster Voting Intention: LAB: 28% (+5) RFM: 23% (-4) CON: 20% (=) LDM: 10% (-1) GRN: 10% (-3) SNP: 3% (=) Via BMG Research, 28-30 Jul. Changes w/ 23-25 Jun.
🌹 | Largest Labour Lead (5%) with ANY Pollster since January 2025.
Election Maps UK@electionmaps.uk · 5d agoWestminster Voting Intention: LAB: 28% (+5) RFM: 23% (-4) CON: 20% (=) LDM: 10% (-1) GRN: 10% (-3) SNP: 3% (=) Via BMG Research, 28-30 Jul. Changes w/ 23-25 Jun.
Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 28% (+5) RFM: 23% (-4) CON: 20% (=) LDM: 10% (-1) GRN: 10% (-3) SNP: 3% (=) Via BMG Research, 28-30 Jul. Changes w/ 23-25 Jun.
Aggregate Result of the 87 Council By-Elections Since the 2026 Local Elections: RFM: 17 (+6) | 23% (+12) CON: 17 (+1) | 19% (-1) LDM: 15 (-) | 15% (-) LAB: 11 (-4) | 16% (-6) GRN: 10 (+1) | 15% (-1) PLC: 9 (-1) | 4% (+1) Ind: 5 (-3) | 5% (-3) SNP: 2 (+2) | 2% (-1) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...
Rumworth (Bolton) Council By-Election Result: 🙋 Ind: 42.3% (New) 🌹 LAB: 30.6% (-4.6) 🌍 GRN: 15.0% (-34.7) ➡️ RFM: 8.1% (-1.7) 🌳 CON: 1.7% (-0.8) 🙋 Ind: 1.3% (New) 🔶 LDM: 1.1% (-1.8) Independent GAIN from Labour. Changes w/ 2026.
Greater Manchester Mayoral By-Election 'Exit Poll': Craig | LAB: 41% (+3) Astley | RFM: 22% (+3) Coggins | GRN: 15% (-7) Eckersley | CON: 9% (+1) West | RES: 8% (-1) Kilpatrick | LDM: 5% (+2) Farmer | Ind: 0% (-1) Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 30 Jul. Changes w/ 7-12 Jul.
Great Dunmow North (Uttlesford) Council By-Election Result: 🌳 CON: 50.5% (+11.9) ➡️ RFM: 27.9% (New) 🏘️ R4U: 9.9% (-29.5) 🌹 LAB: 9.0% (-3.3) 🔶 LDM: 2.7% (-7.1) Conservative GAIN from Localist. Changes w/ 2023.
Hedge End South (Eastleigh) Council By-Election Result: 🔶 LDM: 46.1% (+2.7) 🌳 CON: 25.0% (+4.1) ➡️ RFM: 18.8% (-8.2) 🌍 GRN: 8.4% (-0.3) 🌹 LAB: 1.7% (New) Liberal Democrat HOLD. Changes w/ 2026.
Long Sutton (South Holland) Council By-Election Result: ➡️ RFM: 56.3% (New) 🌳 CON: 28.9% (-20.7) 🌍 GRN: 14.8% (New) No Ind (-50.4) as previous. Reform UK GAIN from Independent. Changes w/ 2023.
Bro'r Llynnoedd (Isle of Anglesey) Council By-Election Result: 🌼 PLC: 48.5% (+13.8) ➡️ RFM: 39.3% (New) 🌳 CON: 8.2% (-14.1) 🌍 GRN: 4.0% (New) No Ind (-43.0) as previous. Plaid Cymru HOLD. Changes w/ 2022.
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 23% (-1) LAB: 23% (+1) CON: 19% (=) GRN: 14% (=) LDM: 11% (+1) SNP: 3% (=) Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 29 Jul. Changes w/ 22 Jul.
Current Net Approval Ratings: 🌹 Burnham: +12.5% 🌳 Badenoch: -2.2% 🔶 Davey: -6.6% 🌍 Polanski: -20.5% ➡️ Farage: -23.1% electionmaps.uk/polling/appr...
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 27% (-1) LAB: 27% (-1) CON: 19% (+1) GRN: 10% (=) LDM: 8% (-2) SNP: 3% (=) Via @deltapoll.bsky.social, 24-27 Jul. Changes w/ 17-20 Jul.
Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 26% (+1) RFM: 24% (-2) CON: 21% (+2) GRN: 10% (+2) LDM: 10% (=) SNP: 3% (=) RES: 2% (+1) Via @survation.bsky.social, 25-27 Jul. Changes w/ 22-24 Jul.
Greater Manchester Mayoral By-Election Voting Intention: LAB: 39% (-24) RFM: 19% (+12) GRN: 14% (+7) CON: 12% (+2) LDM: 8% (+4) RES: 8% (New) Ind: 1% (New) 2nd Round: LAB: 65% RFM: 35% Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 11-23 Jul. Changes w/ 2024.
Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 22% (-1) LAB: 22% (+1) CON: 21% (+1) GRN: 13% (=) LDM: 11% (-3) RES: 4% (=) SNP: 2% (-1) Via @yougov.co.uk, 26-27 Jul. Changes w/ 22-23 Jul.
Rundown of the 5 Council By-Elections taking place this week: 🌹 Rumworth (Bolton) 🔶 Hedge End South (Eastleigh) 🌼 Bro'r Llynnoedd (Isle of Anglesey) 🙋 Long Sutton (South Holland) 🏘️ Great Dunmow North (Uttlesford)
It's *just one poll* for now - but replicated in a General Election, it could see Labour retain 268 seats. Comfortably the largest party, albeit 58 short of a majority.
Election Maps UK@electionmaps.uk · last wk.Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 28% (+4) RFM: 24% (-2) CON: 22% (=) LDM: 12% (+1) GRN: 8% (-3) SNP: 2% (=) Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 24-27 Jul. Changes w/ 21-22 Jul.
🌹 Largest Labour Lead (4%) since March 2025 🌹 First Labour lead with an established pollster since April 2025
Election Maps UK@electionmaps.uk · last wk.Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 28% (+4) RFM: 24% (-2) CON: 22% (=) LDM: 12% (+1) GRN: 8% (-3) SNP: 2% (=) Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 24-27 Jul. Changes w/ 21-22 Jul.