fraac

@fraac.bsky.social

I'm thinking more to the next hundred years. The single market, unlike e.g. China, can keep expanding without hostility. If we get a single overarching human rights framework for a borderless planet, we can maybe keep developing technology indefinitely.

The focus here is wrong - horse racing is in terminal decline regardless - but the idea is correct. This isn't controversial among people who understand the subject for free. Affordability checks have large downside. The upside is illusory, comparable to Bruce Schneier's "security theatre".

Wera Hobhouse MP@werahobhouse.org.uk · 3mo ago

Affordability checks on horse racing betting would put the industry at serious risk. Many will refuse to supply personal financial information for these intrusive checks - they’ll instead turn to the unregulated illegal market. I’ve signed a letter urging the Government to rethink this proposal.👇

How many people agree with Hannah Fry that "this [flocking behaviour] is basically the deal with being a good person"? I know that Jesus, Buddha and most autistics would find that view absolutely staggering. Yet I guess that maybe 90% of people would agree with her.

To download a folder from Google Drive to Android you have to use a third party file browser. Decades of absolutely insane decisions at that company.

The lengths nonautistics go to avoid looking in the mirror. At some point you would think a meta intelligence would kick in and ask "Why is this research so fruitless? What is wrong with our lens?"

Michelle Dawson@autismcrisis.bsky.social · 3mo ago

"emotion dysregulation" & "prediction gone awry" in autism & ADHD? journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... "autism may involve heightened confidence assigned to surprising inputs together with sluggish updating of expectations, a combination that can produce both reactivity and emotional inertia"?

I quite like the look of this. Single best approach is matchup/tactical analysis, which is time consuming if you aren't already familiar with the teams. Next best I think would be Nate's model combined with staying on top of the news. www.natesilver.net/p/pele-inter...

PELE International Football Rankings ⚽

What happens when you blend 150+ years of soccer history with player market values into a brand-new model? Rankings, ratings and match projections for all 211 FIFA teams.

natesilver.net

Rise of Reform mainly highlights the lack of a social democratic English nationalist movement. Fascism will be pushed into second place everywhere but England - the nation of post-imperial confusion. More English are noticing this tbf, but they'll still be British-first by 29.

Euan@euan.bsky.social · 3mo ago

not a big Scottish Exceptionalism guy but there is a pretty big difference between Reform being in a three-way battle for distant second place, and being in with a shot of winning a majority of seats www.thetimes.com/article/06a1...

My hunch is that the same way LLMs are suited to types of grownups, they'll be suited to types of children, who'll do extraordinarily well with them. But they'll be maybe quite a small minority.

There are definitely more interesting discussions on twitter. Red/blue button and Newcomb's Paradox - those are revealing! Here you would be mired in people taking offence.

I think the tonal thing I miss in Star Trek is the arrogance of its optimism. It wasn’t ostensively trying to convince you of its progressive values, it was flat out telling you that one day you and your petty bigotries would be dead and gone and laughed at. I’d like some of that energy in the 2030s

Watch It For Days, the Columbo episode review channel on Youtube, has been taken down. For "spam, deceptive practices and scams" rather than copyright, bizarrely. Very bad decision. Excellent channel, much loved by Columbo fans. #columbo