University of Michigan voters have a 100% El-Sayed precinct right now.
Abdul El-Sayed is outperforming his benchmarks in every county reporting so far, though all are areas where he was expected to run well. Unless Stevens significantly overperforms in the Detroit area, this is set to be an early night.
For perspective, Talarico's haul was about triple what Beto O'Rourke raised during the same period in 2018.
VoteHub@votehub.com · 4w agoTEXAS 🤠 U.S. Senate Q2 2026 Fundraising 🔵 James Talarico: $30 million 🔴 Ken Paxton: $9 million Talarico's haul is the largest fundraising total ever recorded by a U.S. Senate campaign in the second quarter of an election year.
Disturbing finding in Marist’s June poll. “Americans may have to resort to violence in order to get the country back on track” Gen Z 🟢 Agree 60% 🔴 Disagree 40% Millennials 🟢 Agree 46% 🔴 Disagree 54% Gen X 🟢 Agree 35% 🔴 Disagree 65% Boomers+ 🟢 Agree 20% 🔴 Disagree 77%
NEW — Candidates who win the endorsement war usually win at the ballot box too. @jackeichholz.bsky.social examines what 2026 House primaries reveal about the power of elite endorsements and why they may still matter more than many assume. votehub.com/2026/06/15/e...
Endorsements Probably Still Matter in Primary Elections. Here’s Why That’s Important.
Primary elections are, in part, guided by the preferences and will of the political elite. Its extent, and its likelihood to persist, could dictate intra-party politics in high-stakes races.
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We've been rated by the experts behind the Media Bias Chart at @adfontesmedia.bsky.social. Our website content was rated as having virtually no bias (-1.02), reflecting our mission to provide nonpartisan coverage, with a reliability score of 43.09 in line with analysis-heavy national media.
While OC reports ballots remaining by method, most counties don’t. If LA County is counting drop boxes before E Day dropoffs (reverse of OC), that may explain Steyer’s strength today. But if LA is following the same method as OC, Steyer may be even stronger in the remaining vote.
If drops continue shifting a bit more Democratic like this one, Steyer is on track to hit what he needs to get into the top two statewide. Buckle up for a long week(s) ahead.
VoteHub@votehub.com · 2mo agoLos Angeles County 6/4 Drop Candidate – Votes (Percent, Difference from 6/2 Votes) 🔵 Xavier Becerra – 27,976 (35.8%, +6.9%) 🔵 Tom Steyer – 23,560 (30.2%, +7.9%) 🔴 Steve Hilton – 12,309 (15.8%, -7.5%) 🔴 Chad Bianco – 3,426 (4.4%, -3.1%)
We include a vote density mode because land doesn't vote, people do. Pratt is strongest in the low-density areas from the Palisades to Beverly Glen. Raman’s support is concentrated in dense neighborhoods along the 101 corridor in Central LA, while Bass runs strongly in South LA.
WinCast update following this morning’s turnout increase. Tonight should be important, with "late mail" vote drops expected from Los Angeles and San Francisco, and likely from Alameda, Santa Clara, San Diego, and Sacramento as well.
NEWS — Newton County, TX tells me they are aware of a tabulation error showing Talarico with zero votes, Crockett with 43, and Hassan with 269. A recount is required to correct the results but cannot occur this week without a district judge’s order. They expect an update Monday.
This year’s governor races are set to be more consequential than ever, with mid-decade redistricting raising the stakes across the map. Research Director Austin Park breaks down what to watch in his full 2026 preview. votehub.com/2026/01/23/a...
A Rough Preview of 2026 Gubernatorial Elections
There are three dozen gubernatorial elections up for grabs in the 2026 election. Here are the seventeen most likely to be competitive.
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VoteHub has rebuilt its polling averages from the ground up. They’re stable, transparent, and empirically grounded — and this year, we’ll be publishing averages for every federal race and key primary. votehub.com/2026/01/22/o...
Our 2026 Polling Averages Explained
VoteHub’s rebuilt polling averages deliver stable, transparent snapshots of public opinion by weighting polls for quality, recency, and consistency across the 2026 election cycle.
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Using public voter files, Peter Lutz takes a first-of-its-kind look at partisan registration among pro athletes by league.
In special elections across the country, Democrats are outperforming their 2024 benchmarks, driven by asymmetrical turnout and a national environment shifting in their favor. Read our full breakdown of last night’s results in Iowa and Minnesota. ⬇️
Takeaways from Last Night’s Special Elections
Democrats are continuing to outperform their 2024 benchmarks in special elections, including last night’s contests in Iowa and Minnesota, driven by strong turnout and a national environment trending…
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Democrats have taken the majority in the Pennsylvania State House with the election of Dan Goughnour in HD 35, breaking the 101-101 deadlock.
Iowa HD 100 Special Election Results With 100% reporting: 🔴 Blaine Watkins (R): 51.5% (2,749) 🔵 Nannette Griffin (D): 48.2% (2,574) This is a 24 point overperformance for Democrats from 2024, when the district was Trump +27.5.
The work we do at VoteHub is essential for informed democracy. Explore our polling aggregate at polls.votehub.com. Our independent election and polling coverage relies on your support, if you find our work valuable, consider donating.
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VoteHub@votehub.com · last yr.We are crowdfunding to support our work. As a small team funded out of pocket and by donations, we need your help to build and expand our data collection and visualization efforts. Please consider donating or becoming a monthly supporter! donate.votehub.com
We are crowdfunding to support our work. As a small team funded out of pocket and by donations, we need your help to build and expand our data collection and visualization efforts. Please consider donating or becoming a monthly supporter! donate.votehub.com
Presidential approval continues to tighten. Our latest polling average shows Donald Trump with a net approval rating of +0.6.
Our new polling average site is live! We are tracking approval ratings, favorability, and the generic ballot on a daily basis. You can also explore all U.S. polls and access our free API. Link below.
🚨 Big news! VoteHub is launching our open-source API for polls. We include all polls—whether or not they make it into our averages—covering approval, favorability, and the generic ballot. Link below.
Maine HD 24 Special Election Update: 🔵 Sean Faircloth (D) - 72.3% (1407) 🔴 Carolyn Fish (R) - 27.7% (540) ~95% of precincts reporting This was a Harris +23 district in 2024.
Connecticut SD 21 Special Election Update: 🔵 Tony Afriyie (D) - 56.2% (3349) 🔴 Jason Perillo (R) - 43.8% (2608) ~74% of precincts reporting This was a Trump +0.5 district in 2024.
Connecticut SD 21 Special Election Update: 🔵 Tony Afriyie (D) - 56.0% (3137) 🔴 Jason Perillo (R) - 44.0% (2462) ~74% of precincts reporting This was a Trump +0.5 district in 2024.
Connecticut SD 21 Special Election Update: 🔵 Tony Afriyie (D) - 58.0% (2962) 🔴 Jason Perillo (R) - 42.0% (2142) ~70% of precincts reporting This was a Trump +0.5 district in 2024.
NEW: Kelly Loeffler has been confirmed as the 28th United States Small Business Administrator
Vice President Kamala Harris won Athens-Clarke County, home to the University of Georgia, by nearly 40 points last month. Neighboring Oconee County had nearly inverse results. Pictured are census block estimated and precinct results in the two counties.
