Regardless of whether the missile strike on Poland is intentional hybrid warfare or an accident, the effect is likely the same. Russia gets to sow fear and âsalami sliceâ NATO further by observing where our boundaries go below the threshold of a formal war
Yevgeniy Golovchenko
@golovchenko.bsky.social
Assistant Professor at the Dep. of Political Science/Copenhagen Center For Social Data Science, University of Copenhagen | Political Communication and International Security | RU and Ukraine | Disinfo, propaganda, censorship | đ©đ° đșđŠ
My mind is equally boggled (and sad) when some folks equate Mearsheimer with International Relations or even Realism. Luckily, both the field and the theoretical tradition are much greater (and diverse) than his takes on the war
John Mearsheimer has started a new YouTube channel, and he has gotten almost 80k subscribers in two days. It boggles the mind. Few people have been so consistently wrong about the war in Ukraine as Mearsheimer, and yet, people are still lining up to hear his takes.
Nyheden om udsigt til nye amerikanske sanktioner mod Rusland er vigtig, da USA har mere vÊgt i bl.a. finansverden end Europa. De har ikke indfÞrt mange nye sanktioner siden Trump blev prÊsident for anden gang, mens Europa bÄrede fanen videre. www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...
Senatet i USA 'hylder Lindsey Graham' med stort flertal for at gÄ videre med nye sanktioner mod Rusland
Ukraines prÊsident, Volodymyr Zelenskyj, overvÊrede afstemningen om at gÄ videre med en omfattende lovpakke om sanktioner mod russisk energi.
dr.dk
Interessant og nuanceret artikel. Men overskriften skaber undren. Rusland har beskyldt de baltiske lande for at diskriminere russere i mindst 2 Ärtier nu. Det er ikke pludseligt blevet deres tur, men snarere en vedvarende virkelighed www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...
Engang var det Ukraine, Putin beskyldte for at diskriminere russere. Nu er det de baltiske landes tur
Rusland varmer op til at sagsÞge Estland, Letland og Litauen for det, som de pÄstÄr er diskrimination af de russisktalende mindretal.
dr.dk
EUs 21. sanktionspakke kan ogsÄ fÄ betydning for Danmark. Tiltagene kan Þge presset pÄ den russiske skyggeflÄde, der regelmÊssigt sejler forbi Danmark. Men samtidigt undlader den at Þge nok pres pÄ det russiske fiskeri, der bl.a. kan bruges til overvÄgning af vores omrÄde.
The EU has finally reached an agreement on the 21st sanction package against Russia. There are good and bad news. The good news: There will be measures against vessels that service the shadow fleet. The price on Russian crude oil will be frozen. bsky.app/profile/vond...
I welcome the agreement on the 21st sanctions package against Russia. At a time when Ukraine has built military momentum, our sanctions continue to weaken the economic foundations of Russiaâs war effort. Weâre adding 32 more Russian banks to our transaction ban list.
It would be a major self-own if the Kremlin actually restricted Apple Store in the country. You could say that this would be an equivalent of Russia imposing sanctions on Russia. Interesting to see if this is actually the case. united24media.com/world/app-st...
App Store Starts Going Dark in Russia After Kremlin-Linked Apps Disappear
Apple's App Store and website face widespread disruptions in Russia, with failed connections spiking to 39% amid app removals.
united24media.com
The EUâs 21st sanction package should hopefully be there within days. I would especially keep an eye on measures against Russian fisheries and non-Russian bunkering services. The former poses a hybrid threat to NATO countries. The latter helps Russia with sanction busting
Russian 531 Soobrazitelny near Danish waters - sending a small quadcopter to inspect an AIS transmitting naval drone (X-WAVE01) June 25th, 2026 from 09:10-11:00Z
Russisk krigsskib nĂŠr Bornholm vidner om anspĂŠndt situation, siger orlogskaptajn
Russisk korvet sendte drone ud for at undersĂžge dansk fartĂžj med militĂŠrt udstyr. Vidner om spĂŠndt situation i ĂstersĂžen, siger militĂŠranalytiker.
nyheder.tv2.dk
Det er rigtigt at Ukraine er gĂ„et over til at angribe skyggeflĂ„den i lĂžbet af det seneste Ă„r. De fleste angreb er dog i Sortehavet og Det Azovske have. Lige nu er det kun os, bl.a. Danmark og EU, der for alvor kan bremse for trafikken gennem ĂstersĂžen www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...
Ukrainske angreb pÄ Ruslands skyggeflÄde er 'en ny fase' i krigen
Ukrainske droner har de seneste seks dage ramt 76 skibe fra Ruslands skyggeflÄde, siger chefen for Ukraines dronehÊr.
dr.dk
Reading complaints on Russian Telegram channels about lack of gas can easily give the impression that some folks have been expecting a comfortable war. I have a hypothesis: Maybe itâs partly a byproduct of the nearly religious worship of a sanitized version of WW2 victory
The absurdity of the US war against Iran: Trump openly built the campaign on the assumption that it needs to be quick to succeed. All Iran needs to ruin US plans is to prolong the war. It so happens that Trump tolerates endless negotiations - experience with Iranâs ally, Russia, shows exactly that
Denmark acquiring two new P-8A aircraft for maritime patrol is a pretty big news for our small kingdom with a rather large sea area đ I confess that this is a secret fan boy dream come true www.reuters.com/business/aer...
Denmark to buy two maritime patrol aircraft from Boeing, defence ministry says
Denmark will buy two P-8A Poseidon âmaritime patrol aircraft from Boeing , âthe country's defence ministry said on Tuesday.
reuters.com
Fascinerende, hvor meget fokus der er lige nu pÄ mulige droner i KÞbenhavns Lufthavn, frem for pÄ det store billede: den faktiske hybride krigsfÞrelse mod Europa.
Nothing says âRussian military mightâ like Crimeans being prohibited from fueling at the gas station starting from yesterday. Only authorities are exempt. This is the kind of thing that has the potential to add political and psychological pressure
Pro-Russian Telegram channels in Crimea are not in a good mood today. Fuel shortages. Calls to save electricity. Fear of attacks and even amphibious operations. Street events being cancelled. Ferries are halted due to âtechnical issuesâ. News of 700+ cars trying to leave Crimea across the bridge
1/4 Last week I was at NATOâs Maritime Security Conference in Istanbul, where Sofia Steensma Tedder and I presented our paper. What a way to celebrate Sofia joining the Department of Political Science (University of Copenhagen) as a Research Assistant!
Some daunting outlooks, some inspiring insights, but overall hesitant optimism among all speakers @golovchenko.bsky.social @claravandeweerdt.bsky.social @keltonminor.bsky.social @robert-habeck.de at this exciting event.
SODAS Meets Geopolitics on June 2! đ Join us for presentations by SODAS researchers, followed by a talk and Q&A with @robert-habeck.de, Senior Analyst at the Danish Institute for International Studies and former Vice Chancellor of Germany. Register here: eventsignup.ku.dk/sodasmeetsge...
@seagor.bsky.social (et al?) has just published two glorious methods to locate GPS/GNSS jammers using already active satellite constellations where data is open. NASA CYGNSS, a micro-satellite constellation devised to detect hurricanes and NISAR, a global radar to track changes in nature.
Converging on the jammer: Dual-satellite GPS interference localization from space - GPS World
Read the first direct comparison of CYGNSS and NISAR for GPS jammer localization.
gpsworld.com
I had a break from Russian news media for a while. Coming back feels like someone is trying to corrode my brain. The âSpecial Military Operationâ continues.
"The Prime Minister has agreed that the UK Armed Forces and law enforcement officers will now be able to interdict vessels that have been sanctioned by the UK and are transiting through UK waters." This could be an impactful move if followed by allies, especially đ«đ· & đ§đȘ www.gov.uk/government/n...
Shadow fleet set to be interdicted in UK waters in latest blow to Russia
British military will be able to board shadow fleet vessels transiting UK waters as the UK steps up its pressure on Putin.
gov.uk
I was interviewed for an article in France 24 about a sanctioned, Russian-flagged tanker that may or may not be on its way to Cuba. In short, this could be Russiaâs way of testing/poking at the U.S. in the âWestern Hemisphereâ (i.e. the U.S administrations self-percieved sphere of influence)
Interesting dive into Chinaâs use of civilian research vessels for gathering data of military value. Another reminder for those of us focused on hybrid activity in Baltic Sea region that a lot of similar activity has been taking place around Asia for a very long time www.reuters.com/investigatio...
China is mapping the ocean floor as it prepares for submarine warfare with the U.S.
Chinese vessels are mapping the sea floor at strategically vital regions of the world's oceans, building detailed knowledge of marine conditions that naval experts say would be crucial for waging subm...
reuters.com
1/ Denne artikel kan mÄske give indtryk af, at Ukraines angreb pÄ gas- og olieinfrastruktur generelt ikke er sÊrlig effektive. Men Ruslands budgetindtÊgter fra olie og gas faldt med 24% i 2025 under intensiveringen af angrebene - det laveste niveau siden 2020. Det er enormt www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...
Ukraine har pÄ ny angrebet 'vigtig' russisk havn
Ukraine fortsÊtter med at mÄlrette droneangreb pÄ Ruslands olie- og gasproduktion, men effekten er tvivlsom, vurderer ekspert.
dr.dk
Krigen mellem Rusland og Ukraine udspiller sig ogsĂ„ i ĂstersĂžen. Det bliver endnu tydeligere med Ukraines droneangreb pĂ„ Primorsk Havn. Mange af de skyggeflĂ„deskibe, der passerer Danmark, bliver lastet med olie netop her. www.dr.dk/nyheder/sene...
Droneangreb mod russisk havn nĂŠr den finske grĂŠnse | Nyheder | DR
Den russiske havn Primorsk, som ligger nÊr den finske grÊnse, er blevet ramt i et ukrainsk droneangreb. Det oplyser Aleksandr Drozdenko, som er guvernÞr i Leningrad-regionen i det vestlige Rusland, pÄ...
dr.dk
It's been a while. I'm finally back at work and happy to share our newest piece on the detained Iranian tanker Nora, which is currently moored in Kalundborg for mysterious reasons. Leaked data shows it's crewed by Iranians and a single Russian and that all its papers are seemingly falsified.
Leaked data: Detained ship has forged papers and Iranian-Russian crew
The mysterious container ship with Iranian ties carries forged certificates and a Russian-Iranian crew. According to experienced mariners, it is highly unusual
danwatch.dk
âIt is time for the gloves to come off on the Russiaâs shadow fleetâ
Moscow stands to gain from higher energy prices and the diversion of air-defences to the Middle East. EU Foreign Ministers were clear that Ukraine remains Europeâs top security priority. Attention for Ukraine will not be allowed to fizzle out. Extract from my press conference â
The US war against Iran is undermining some of the strategic gains achieved by Ukraine's strike against Russian oil facilities as well Western sanctions. Oil prices are now up, sanctions on Russian oil are being temporarily lifted. Stable genius vibes.
âTrump warns Nato faces 'very bad' future if allies do not help secure Strait of Hormuzâ. The US was once the core of NATO. It is increasingly becoming the core burden of the alliance. This is just another wake-up call for Europe to become self-reliant in the long term. www.bbc.com/news/live/cx...
Trump warns Nato faces 'very bad' future if allies do not help secure Strait of Hormuz
The US president says he is speaking to several countries about
bbc.com
1/ The Swedish Coast Guard is on đ„. Yesterday, they seized another shadow fleet vessel suspected of sailing under a false flag and sanctioned by the EU. As I wrote in one of my previous posts, now is the golden opportunity to ramp up this kind of action. www.kustbevakningen.se/nyheter/ytte...
Ytterligare ett ingripande mot falskflaggat fartyg - Kustbevakningen
kustbevakningen.se