Gönül Tol

@gonultol.bsky.social

Director of Middle East Institute's Turkish Program / Author of Erdoğan’s War: A Strongman’s Struggle at Home and in Syria.

“Erdogan [controls] media, security services and every state bureaucracy, [yet his rule shows] not a collapse, but a slow erosion, from both regime fatigue and his failure to recover the economy.” My comments, along with @gonultol.bsky.social and Henri Barkey for al Hurra alhurra.com/en/21387

Erdogan’s Grip Faces Its Toughest Test Yet | Alhurra

Within the span of just a few days, the crisis surrounding Turkey’s main opposition party, the Republican People’s Party (CHP), moved from the courtroom to the streets. On May 22, an appeals court …

alhurra.com

In 2025, jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan made a historic call for the group to disarm and dissolve, raising hopes of ending a 40-year conflict that has shaped Turkey and the wider region. Months later, the PKK symbolically laid down arms in what many viewed as a breakthrough moment for the ++

In 2025, jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan made a historic call for the group to disarm and dissolve, raising hopes of ending a 40-year conflict that has shaped Turkey and the wider region. Months later, the PKK symbolically laid down arms in what many viewed as a breakthrough moment for the ++

Syria is in the midst of a fragile transition. Many observers see positive momentum but the risks remain serious: regional spillover, deep humanitarian needs, funding shortfalls, Israeli strikes, sectarian tensions, stalled political tracks, and continued reports of abuses by multiple actors.++

Just weeks before Trump’s war began, Iran was in the midst of a powerful wave of anti-regime protests spreading across the country. But once the war started, that momentum largely came to a halt. To unpack what this war means for Iran’s democracy movement,++

In the latest episode of Rethinking Democracy, I speak with Allan Hassaniyan, author of a book on Iranian Kurds. We discuss the history of Kurdish struggle in Iran, where Kurds stand within the broader Iranian opposition, their ties with Israel and the US, and how Kurdish leaders are responding to++

In the latest episode of Rethinking Democracy, I speak with Allan Hassaniyan, author of a book on Iranian Kurds. We discuss the history of Kurdish struggle in Iran, where Kurds stand within the broader Iranian opposition, their ties with Israel and the US, and how Kurdish leaders are responding to++

My latest piece on Turkey and the Iran war: 1️⃣ NATO intercepted a second Iranian missile that entered Turkish airspace. Ankara warned Tehran, while Iranian officials denied responsibility and said they respect Turkish sovereignty. But Iran’s so-called “mosaic defense” strategy, 1/4