NATO endorsed a new strategy to improve industry’s access to the Alliance. But "the key limitation is funding" warns @gspataf95.bsky.social in @euractiv.com. NATO provides limited financial support compared with the EU’s recent defence funding initiatives. www.euractiv.com/news/nato-se...

NATO seeks bigger industry role in capability planning. Here’s how. | Euractiv

Some of the challenges will be to ensure smaller players have access to NATO too

euractiv.com

We publish today a set of new @euiss.bsky.social ideas on how to support Ukraine (led by @ditrych.bsky.social). I contributed w. 2 transatlantic suggesions: 1⃣ How to facilitate reconstruction while deconflicting EU and US approaches 2⃣ How to turn Trump’s pro-Ukraine moment into concrete action

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 2w ago

Ukraine is proving stronger than many expected Now is the time to increase pressure on Russia & empower Ukraine to defend itself, rebuild and secure a just & lasting peace. Europe can do more even without major new funding. 🔟 ideas to spend smarter & support harder 🧵(1/12)

Glad to speak to the @washingtonpost.com on the challenges of Europeanisation of deterrence after the #NATO summit. "“The biggest problem, in my opinion, is continued U.S. uncertainty" & a withdeawal "not in a coordinated fashion but in haphazard manner"...

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 3w ago

After the #NATOSummit, "the biggest problem is continued US uncertainty," says @gspataf95.bsky.social. Washington's haphazard troop & capability withdrawals leave Europe unable to plan a transition without creating gaps Russia could exploit. wpintelligence.washingtonpost.com/topics/globa...

It was a true pleasure to brief @andriuskubilius.ec.europa.eu and his cabinet on our @euiss.bsky.social work. Grateful that the commissioner finds the time to engage with the think tank community. @sbeverts.bsky.social @lscazzieri.bsky.social @joristeer.bsky.social

Andrius Kubilius@andriuskubilius.ec.europa.eu · 4w ago

“Intellectual” Big-Bang on European defence continues!  Deep discussions with #EU_ISS 🇪🇺 on their paper 🔗 www.iss.europa.eu/publications... We are on the same page on many ideas for material, institutional and political #DefenceReadiness!  Ideas lead to actions! We are ready!

📢 Following NATO's Summit, Europeans need to move beyond capability development. Europe must replace the US 'backbone' in deterrence and turn political commitment into genuine European leadership in defence, argue @lscazzieri.bsky.social & @gspataf95.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

If you listened to US radio @marketplace.org you may have heard my voice! I joined host Sabri Ben-Achour to discuss the following question: "As NATO leaders meet this week, how much is Europe boosting defense spending?" www.marketplace.org/story/2026/0...

As NATO leaders meet this week, how much is Europe boosting defense spending?

The leaders of NATO are meeting in Turkey, and one of the biggest issues on the agenda will be defense spending.

marketplace.org

US commitment to NATO is once again under scrutiny ahead of #NATOSummit. Rather than waiting for Washington's plans, Europe should actively shape the transition towards greater responsibility for its own defence, argues @gspataf95.bsky.social. ➡️ shorturl.at/b19GB

🛡️ Civil preparedness and resilience are central to deterrence, yet Europe's efforts remain fragmented. Nad’a Kovalčíková & @gspataf95.bsky.social argue an EU resilience planning mechanism can improve threat assessment and guide coordinated capability development. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

(1/10) Europe faces its most dangerous security environment in decades. Intelligence assessments suggest Russia may attack an EU Member State in the coming years. As US engagement in Europe becomes less certain, how can Europe strengthen deterrence? 🧵

As E5 leaders met ahead of the NATO Summit, @gspataf95.bsky.social argues Europe must stop waiting for Washington to define burden-sharing and instead take the lead in shaping the transition beyond US-led deterrence. shorturl.at/b19GB

Defending Europe, deterring Russia: Resources, readiness and resolve

Europe is facing years of maximum danger. In an era of reduced US engagement, strengthening deterrence against Russia requires strengthening three interlocking foundations: resources, readiness and re...

shorturl.at

We start the week with a banger: the new @euiss.bsky.social paper on "Defending Europe, Deterring Russia: Resources, Readiness and Resolve" is out. 🧵

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · last mo.

Europe needs to deter Russia with much less US support. Doing that means investing in 3 foundations: ✅ Resources ✅ Readiness ✅ Resolve Read our 🆕 Chaillot Paper ➡️ shorturl.at/b19GB

Nice to be featured in @nytimes.com over US asset reductions from Europe

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Speaking to @nytimes.com about US plans to cut NATO forces in Europe, @gspataf95.bsky.social noted that while each of these cuts can be managed individually, together they represent a significant posture change & pose broad challenges to European deterrence readiness. www.nytimes.com/2026/06/12/w...

The Caribbean may seem distant, but political shifts in the region will affect Europe as the US reasserts its dominance in the Americas. EU security projects in the region are one of the tools that can help safeguard European interests, argues @gspataf95.bsky.social. shorturl.at/pOENG

Yesterday, the US indicted Raul Castro. Will a repeat of the Maduro playbook take place? In this @euiss.bsky.social brief I explain the possible evolution, the way actors in the region are adapting, and the stakes & options for the EU. Hint: it's directly linked to European security @ec.europa.eu

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 3mo ago

"Even at a time of wars in Europe & the Middle East, the EU cannot afford to look away." As US pressure reshapes the Caribbean, @gspataf95.bsky.social explains why the region matters for Europe’s security ➡️ shorturl.at/pOENG

My latest brief on the major changes taking place in the Caribbean - why they matter to Europe, and where the EU can take meaningful action: @euiss.bsky.social

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 3mo ago

As US pressure on Venezuela & Cuba intensifies, the Caribbean is entering a more volatile phase. Europe cannot afford to look away: the region is critical to its own security, argues @gspataf95.bsky.social. ➡️ shorturl.at/pOENG

China’s critical raw material export squeeze has proven a powerful geo-economic weapon. What began as retaliation against US tariffs & tech restrictions is now a broader strategy to advance Beijing’s core interests. We propose an emergency plan ⤵️ 🔗 www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

Honored to contribute to the European Security Strategy. Together with @eudiplomacy.bsky.social & DG IDEA, we gathered experts yesterday to develop concrete recommendations for the EU to build the readiness, resilience & partnerships needed for a new security era.

My take for @euiss.bsky.social on the US posture changes announced over the weekend:

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Trump's decision to withdraw US troops and halt missile deployments to 🇩🇪 widens Europe's deterrence gap vis-à-vis Russia. Europe must urgently strengthen its own long-range strike capabilities and prepare for further US retrenchment, writes @gspataf95.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...

How the war in Iran impacts #EUdefence @gspataf95.bsky.social & @lscazzieri.bsky.social break down the risks, & what the EU should do now ⤵️

The war in Iran creates political, technical & economic pressures on Europe's rearmament, deepening a window of vulnerability that could encourage further Russian aggression, warns @lscazzieri.bsky.social & @gspataf95.bsky.social. ➡️ ow.ly/IQqN50YGtpu

@lscazzieri.bsky.social and I wrote a short commentary for @euiss.bsky.social assessing the damage of the US-Iran war for Europe - and suggesting a way to enhance the resilience of the continent's defence build-up. Read below:

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 4mo ago

The Iran war exposes Europe’s risky reliance on US defence support. To secure their rearmament, Europeans must boost domestic production, deepen cooperation with Ukraine & anchor US production in Europe, argue @lscazzieri.bsky.social & @gspataf95.bsky.social. 🔗 ow.ly/IQqN50YGtpu

Pentagon & NATO say arms to Ukraine via PURL will keep flowing. But a prolonged Middle East war could strain US capacity to fulfill orders - posing serious risks for Europe & Ukraine, warns @gspataf95.bsky.social in Libertatea. Read the interview: www.libertatea.ro/stiri/giusep...

Great to see my @euiss.bsky.social piece on "Foreign Policy First Presidency" in the @eucouncilpress.bsky.social Think Tank Review, among many other great reads :)

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 4mo ago

Happy to see 2 of our analyses in the Council’s Think Tank Review! 💡Defence readiness beyond the EU: how enlargement partners underpin European security ow.ly/uEIV50Yh1Ph 💡The Foreign Policy-First President? ow.ly/OeQv50Y8Gaf Good reads ⤵️ www.consilium.europa.eu/en/documents...

Trump continues to speak of NATO as a separate entity rather than an alliance the US belongs to - "we helped NATO with Ukraine - now they need to help us." @gspataf95.bsky.social speaks to @npr.org about Trump's call for Europeans to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. www.npr.org/2026/03/17/n...

Trump says Europeans should help secure the Strait of Hormuz. So far, they've refused

European leaders are rejecting President Trump's demand they send military assets to the Middle East to help open the Strait of Hormuz, which is being obstructed by Iran.

npr.org

@gspataf95.bsky.social - good statement on US treating NATO as an external toolbox rather than an Alliance in which it is a member on @npr.org's Morning Edition and Brussels correspondent Teri Schultz. www.npr.org/2026/03/17/n...

Trump says Europeans should help secure the Strait of Hormuz. So far, they've refused

European leaders are rejecting President Trump's demand they send military assets to the Middle East to help open the Strait of Hormuz, which is being obstructed by Iran.

npr.org

A pleasure to host the #COTRA Working Party at @euiss.bsky.social HQ in Paris on Friday.

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 5mo ago

We were pleased to host the Council Working Party on Transatlantic Relations last week. #COTRA delegates, EUISS analysts & paris-based experts discussed EU–US relations and EU–Canada ties, highlighting how evolving transatlantic dynamics impact the EU’s foreign, security and defence policy.

My latest thoughts on #EU-#NATO relations for @euiss.bsky.social :

EU Institute for Security Studies@euiss.bsky.social · 5mo ago

As uncertainty grows around the US role in European security, how should the EU work with NATO? Europe must both reinforce the partnership & continue to prepare for greater responsibility in defence, argues @gspataf95.bsky.social ➡️ ow.ly/YchS50Yskhc

“The war with Iran is little more than the joint targeting process unleashed. The Frankenstein’s monster that is the operational level of war, unsatiated after eating strategy, is now feasting on policy”. @bafriedman.bsky.social

Orphaned Tactics

Oops we did it again

open.substack.com

#China is often seen as an unstoppable economic power. But Beijing is also increasingly fragile. New Chaillot Paper by @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social & @ruehlig.bsky.social argues the EU has more leverage than it thinks - and should use it strategically ➡️ ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC

⚙️ In 2025, Europe remained a major buyer of US weapons, but purchases fell significantly from 2024, suggesting early signs of reduced reliance. Individual EU countries, however, still top the rankings. Read more in @gspataf95.bsky.social's scrollytelling analysis: iss.europa.eu/publications...