ICDS Tallinn

@icds-tallinn.bsky.social

The International Centre for Defence and Security in Tallinn. Regional knowledge hub. www.icds.ee

At what point does the Sisyphean pursuit of a “Russia first” accommodation stop being seen as a viable strategy? Igor Gretskiy argues that one-sided concessions do not help Ukraine—they only reinforce the Kremlin’s confidence that its strategy is working.

The Offer Ukraine’s Allies Shouldn’t Make - International Centre for Defence and Security

Vladislav Inozemtsev, a new fellow at Chatham House, published a column with a telling title: “Ukraine's allies should make an offer to Russians before September’s ‘elections’.” The gist of the offer ...

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Russia and China differ in their objectives and methods, but both exploit the dual-use character and limited visibility of the maritime domain. The undersea domain has become part of wider strategic competition, write Marek Kohv, Henrik Praks, Shin Kawashima and Keizo Kitagawa in a new ICDS report.

Connecting the Ends: A Baltic–Indo-Pacific Agenda for Undersea Infrastructure Security - International Centre for Defence and Security

Critical undersea infrastructure — including communications cables, electricity interconnectors, gas pipelines, landing stations, and associated control systems — forms a largely invisible but indispe...

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From drones and AI-enabled systems to satellite capabilities, technological advances are reshaping warfare in Ukraine and the Middle East. Europe must keep pace. Read our new brief in the EU Defence series 👇https://icds.ee/en/eu-defence-series-europes-tech-challenge/

EU Defence Series: Europe's Tech Challenge - International Centre for Defence and Security

In Ukraine and the Middle East, rapid advances in, for example, drones, AI‑enabled systems, and satellite capabilities are reshaping modern warfare. Europe must keep pace with this rapid technological...

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Summer readings from #REUNIR! 𝐃3.3 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐲 𝐁𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐟 – 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐧 𝐒𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲: 𝐀 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐲 𝐀𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚 𝐭𝐨 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐄𝐔’𝐬 𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐌𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫𝐬 Check our carousel for concrete policy recommendations ⬇️ @horizoneu.bsky.social @icds-tallinn.bsky.social @ceps.eu @bezbednost.bsky.social

Georgia once pursued a clear Euro-Atlantic trajectory. Since 2022, the Georgian Dream government has shifted to what it calls “multi-alignment”. Georgia’s government is burning bridges with the West without securing credible alternatives, writes Teona Giuashvili.

Georgia’s Foreign Policy Pivot: From Euro-Atlantic Integration to Strategic Irrelevance - International Centre for Defence and Security

Amid the recurring instability in Georgia’s political life, one constant stood out: the country’s unwavering commitment to a western foreign policy orientation. This trajectory persisted across succes...

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Want to learn about modern propaganda and hone your media literacy skills? Apply here for our #ChangingTIDE workshop on the impact of foreign interference on the security environment.👇 form.jotform.com/261883222814...

Trans European Policy Studies Association (TEPSA)@tepsa.bsky.social · 2w ago

#CallforApplications 📢 You can now register for the #ChangingTIDE Media Literacy Incubator in Tartu 🇪🇪 The workshop organised by the @icds-tallinn.bsky.social will take place on 27 August and focus on fighting propaganda networks and foreign interference. Apply here 🔗 tepsa.eu/events/call-...

Marek Kohv, Head of Security & Resilience Programme at the ICDS speaking about the new #British contingent tailored to #Estonian battlefield needs, incl increased mobility, long-range strike drones, #AI, enhanced deep-strike capabilities etc. 🇬🇧🇪🇪 news.err.ee/1610080894/e...

Estonia getting new British deployment tailored to its battlefield needs

Estonia is getting beefed-up British forces from 2027, with 300 extra troops and drones with ranges of up to 250 kilometers, reflecting lessons from the Ukraine war.

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The shadow fleet was built to sever the link of state responsibility. Every ship that trades a flag of convenience for the Russian registry restores it. Why this matters for sanctions enforcement, by Giulio Tomio.

Under the Russian Flag: Reflagging and the Future of Shadow Fleet Enforcement - International Centre for Defence and Security

Since 2022, Russia has assembled a shadow fleet of ageing tankers to circumvent western sanctions on its energy exports.

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The recent emergence of vessels adopting the Russian flag represents an apparent reversal of the shadow fleet's founding logic. Reflagging poses an immediate challenge for sanctions enforcement, writes Giulio Tomio.

Under the Russian Flag: Reflagging and the Future of Shadow Fleet Enforcement - International Centre for Defence and Security

Since 2022, Russia has assembled a shadow fleet of ageing tankers to circumvent western sanctions on its energy exports.

icds.ee

Fears that Donald Trump would upset a carefully choreographed event were not realised, though European allies and Canada must have held their breath. The next challenge is ensuring NATO develops the political, military and institutional arrangements that a genuinely Europeanised Alliance will need.

NATO After Ankara - International Centre for Defence and Security

NATO's Ankara summit showcased an alliance in transition. The European Allies and Canada are spending more to rebuild military capability and fill gaps left by a declining US role. NATO must now devel...

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👋 ICDS is pleased to welcome Kristen Davis as a new Non-Resident Research Fellow. She is a strategist working at the intersection of AI, emerging technologies, and geopolitics, focusing on strategic foresight and digital sovereignty. She will also contribute to the Tallinn Digital Summit.

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Parts of the former Soviet Union are only now starting to critically engage with their own history. They only now realise that almost everything they learned about the history of their own peoples was part of imperial construction and agenda. @laurimalksoo.bsky.social on russia’s imperial worldview.

ICDS Tallinn@icds-tallinn.bsky.social · 4w ago

Russia's root problem stems not from Putin's personality or the system of governance he created, but from Moscow's enduring view of other nations, other peoples, and even the agreements it signs. Lennart Meri Lecture by Lauri Mälksoo. #LennartMeriConference

NATO Allies are on their way to the new spending targets, but financial and political challenges remain. Although the Allies have nine years to fulfil the targets, Russia could be ready to challenge NATO militarily long before 2035, writes Felix Gasper.

Defence Spending: Who Is Doing What? July 2026 - International Centre for Defence and Security

NATO Allies met in Ankara, Türkiye, where they were expected to present credible plans to reach the spending targets approved at the summit in The Hague last year. According to NATO’s latest figures, ...

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Russia wants to be seen as capable enough to project influence across the entire African continent. Frankly speaking it does not have the resources. However, despite the war in Ukraine, since 2022 Russia made a lot of progress. @ivanklyszcz.com with all the details ridl.io/russia-in-af...

Russia in Africa is Still About Propaganda – Riddle Russia

Ivan U. Klyszcz on how Russia’s relationship with sub-Saharan Africa has evolved since 2022

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🛡️Today, leaders are meeting at the #NATO Summit in Ankara 🇹🇷 to discuss how to boost investment in transatlantic security. To remind us of the risks Europe needs to overcome, (re)watch this panel discussion from the #IrishPPC 👉 youtu.be/7lVEBNSwlEU @diis.dk @icds-tallinn.bsky.social

Europe’s Security and Defence: Land, Sea and Cyberspace | #IrishPPC

YouTube video by Trans European Policy Studies Association (TEPSA)

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