ingmarvisser.bsky.social

@ingmarvisser.bsky.social

Glad to see this large-scale replication attempt of rule learning in infants finally out. Bottom line: we find no evidence for an effect (650 infants from 30 labs) in a close conceptual replication of Marcus et al. 1999; no effect of potential moderators (e.g., age, method). 1/2

Iingmarvisser.bsky.social@ingmarvisser.bsky.social · 2w ago

This was a fantastic team effort across 30+ labs 🌍 Paper (open access), data & code all public. > 📄 doi.org/10.1111/desc... > 💻 github.com/manybabies/m... > #ManyBabies #InfantCognition #OpenScience #DevSci, lead team: Andreea Geambaşu, Melanie Soderstrom, and Claartje Levelt

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The result forces us to re-think rule-learning: is early rule-learning a robust, universal ability, or context-dependent? It also shows the value of large, pre-registered, blinded, team-science replication for knowing what our field actually stands on. 6/

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Robust finding across different factors: no moderation by age, by mono-/multilingualism, or by method. No leftover heterogeneity between labs. Robust to our pre-processing & analysis choices. 30 of 31 samples showed no rule-learning effect. 5/

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The result: no difference in looking to consistent vs inconsistent patterns. No evidence of rule learning. And a Bayesian analysis gives strong evidence for the null (BF₀₁ ≈ 30) — this is a positive finding of “no effect,” not merely a failure to detect one. 4/

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ManyBabies 3 is a large, cross-linguistic conceptual replication: 650 analysed infants, ages 5–12 months, 33 primary languages, mono- & multilingual, across 3 paradigms (headturn, central fixation, eye-tracking). Stimuli phonologically balanced across languages. 3/