Pasi Paroinen

@inkvisiit.bsky.social

Black Bird Group OSINT Analyst.

Even though the Russians were able to capture Velyka Novosilka and secure rest of Kurakhove, the overall pace of Russian advance continued to slow down during January. Russian armed forces were able to conquer 332 square kilometers of Ukraine and regain some 68 sq km in Kursk. 1/

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Decided to visualize the range that of both ATACMS and SCALP/Storm Shadow could theoretically have inside of Russia. The darker blue line is the range of ATACMS and the lighter blue is the range of SCALP/Storm Shadow. ATACMS has been limited to be used only within Kursk oblast.

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Russia is advancing relatively quickly, but it’s also spending significant amounts of men and material in the process. In this thread I’ll take a look on two important directions: Kurakhove and the concerning developments there, and the politically motivated Kursk counteroffensive. 1/

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