Talking when the stakes are high: Mediation, UN peacekeeping, and government violence against civilians

Research suggests that mediation can increase government violence against civilians, but the conditions shaping this effect remain insufficiently specified. Drawing on prospect theory, I argue that...

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Preferential trade agreements and interstate conflict: Disentangling their institutional effects on peace

The long-standing liberal hypothesis that an increase in trade ties contributes to the promotion of interstate peace is repeatedly supported by much research. I question this finding by arguing tha...

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Sunk costs without tying hands: Multiple signaling in China’s coercive diplomacy during the 2022 Taiwan Strait crisis

This paper investigates China’s coercive diplomacy during the 2022 Taiwan Strait Crisis. Using quantitative natural language processing techniques, we unveil the key emotional, operational, and sem...

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Leading ladies: Gendered perceptions of chief executives and international threats

How do people perceive women chief executives internationally, and how do those perceptions shape foreign policy preferences? Previous research has focused on the ways in which gender stereotypes s...

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IO Overlap and the Allocation of Delegation: Evidence from the African Organizational Complex

How does organizational overlap interact with the delegation of authority to international organizations (IOs)? This paper argues that delegation decisions cannot be understood in isolation from th...

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Parents of the revolution rebel leaders’ intergenerational social capital and insurgency cohesion

Elite-level social capital facilitates both the mobilization and retention of participants in social movements and insurgencies. Well-connected rebel leaders perceived as credible have advantages i...

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ISA Publications

isanet.org

Blame Games in Cyberspace: How Foreign Cues Shape Public Opinion on Cyber Attribution and Retribution

Conflicting narratives about who is responsible for a cyberattack are often thought to create uncertainty about the aggressor’s identity, which in turn could lead to greater restraint in state resp...

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Cyber Conflict & Domestic Audience Costs

Cyber power is altering the nature of domestic audience costs. By exploiting voters’ captivation with cyber conflict, leaders can now de-escalate crises without having to worry about suffering dome...

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Answering the Call: Why Aid Allies in Cyber Conflict?

International alliances have incorporated cybersecurity within their collective security mandates, but would these commitments be honored if invoked? Key characteristics of cyber conflict, includin...

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Beyond Threats: How Allies and Bureaucratic Competition Shape the Initial Development of Military Cyber Capabilities

The politics of how nations design their militaries when they start developing new technologies is a critical question in international relations as it has implications on military effectiveness, c...

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What lurks beneath the tip of the iceberg? Exploring the “missingness” problem in cyber events data

With growing interest in and attention to cybersecurity, pundits, media outlets, and policymakers are interested in meaningful insights about the nature of cyber conflict. However, the challenges t...

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Introduction: Measurement and meaning in the study of cyber conflict

This special issue on empirical approaches to cyber conflict aims to “prime the pump” in advancing how researchers measure and interpret cyber conflict dynamics. We present a carefully selected set...

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Bolts from the blue: How technological novelty impacts crisis decision-making

In crisis, technological threats often present as unfamiliar to non-specialists. Today, however, emerging AI capabilities introduce distinct uncertainties for the decision-maker that extend beyond ...

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Observing the unobservable: Wargaming cyber deterrence

As the world becomes increasingly reliant on interconnected digital infrastructure, the urgency to understand and manage cyber conflict increases. Policy-makers have long sought to translate concep...

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Introduction: Measurement and meaning in the study of cyber conflict

This special issue on empirical approaches to cyber conflict aims to “prime the pump” in advancing how researchers measure and interpret cyber conflict dynamics. We present a carefully selected set...

tandfonline.com

The indirect effects of structural power: Political diffusion in the global value chain network

In the past few years, scholars have focused on how states use Global Value Chains (GVCs) to weaponize economic and political interdependencies. However, the unintended political consequences stemm...

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International recognition of European Union “actorness”: Language-based evidence from United Nations general debate speeches 1970–2020

The European Union is often portrayed as a global actor that is said to wield ‘economic’ or even ‘normative’ power. Such perspectives presume that states in the international system recognize EU ‘a...

dx.doi.org

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Leader visits and nuclear pursuit

How can nuclear pursuits be effectively reduced? Existing research primarily focuses on traditional policy instruments such as security guarantees and coercion, despite their inherent limitations. ...

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You’re the one I want: Substitutability, policy preference divergence, and the cost of multilateral sanctions

Under what conditions do sanction-sending states choose to form coalitions? Do the same determinants that affect military sanction coalition formation affect how coercive economic coalitions are fo...

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Over the long horizon: Party institutionalization and antidumping trade remedies

International political economy scholarship has documented that non-traditional barriers to international trade have proliferated since the 1970s. Contemporary explanations attribute these trends t...

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To punish or to reward? The effect of sanction threats on public opinion

How do individuals respond to the threat of economic sanctions? Under what conditions do the target population demand policy concessions, and when do they rally behind their beleaguered leader? We ...

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