Jack Worth

@jackworth.bsky.social

Education economist at NFER researching recruitment and retention in the education workforce

NEW: What helps to improve teacher retention? Today we have published a new study on teacher retention, looking at the association between a wide range of factors relating to teacher's' working lives and their retention decisions www.nfer.ac.uk/publications...

What helps to improve teacher retention?

This new research explores the factors associated with the leaving decisions of teachers, to understand in greater detail what actions policymakers might take to further improve teacher retention rate...

nfer.ac.uk

Today's ITT Census data is positive, showing a sizeable increase in trainee numbers vs last year, alongside lower targets due to other supply improvements like retention. But there's still more to do as secondary recruitment is still below target at 88 per cent

Bild

First 2025/26 cycle ITT data out today. Too early to tell much and it's quite contradictory! - Applications up, but offers and acceptances flat or down - Acceptances especially down for secondary and in bursary-cut subjects Will be interesting to see if extra apps translate into offers later on

Bild

Do extra payments to in-service teachers in shortage subjects improve retention? We thought our analysis might back up the fairly strong 'yes' from UK literature so far, but our findings were not as conclusive. In this blog I assess the findings and what they might mean for policy: bit.ly/4liHKQ5

Do retention payments for early career teachers work?

Jack Worth discusses new analysis of the impact early career retention payments (ECRPs) on teacher retention.

bit.ly

DfE published some hefty changes to the ITT recruitment targets this morning - down overall and across phases by around 20% - some subjects like physics/ MFL down by more than a third

Bild

There are some real positive signs in the latest ITT recruitment data of improvement vs last year, especially in secondary. I will hold off updating the forecast until tomorrow, when targets are published. But it's interesting to see where the growth is and isn't coming from...🧵

Bild

There are some real positive signs in the latest ITT recruitment data of improvement vs last year, especially in secondary. I will hold off updating the forecast until tomorrow, when targets are published. But it's interesting to see where the growth is and isn't coming from...🧵

Bild

Buried in OBR's Economic and Fiscal Outlook Annex A Table A.3 (🤓) is an important number for teachers... OBR now forecasts that average wage growth in FY 25/26 will be 3.7%, up from 3.0% in October. This puts additional upward pressure on DfE's part-funded 2.8% teacher pay proposal for AY 25/26

Latest ITT statistics are somewhat positive, with most secondary subjects - especially shortage ones - recruiting better than last year. Primary down a smidge, English down due to bursary cut But majority still likely to be below target (this is last year's targets: new actuals out next month)

BildBild