Rooting against Argentina brings back memories of rooting against early 2000s Lakers
Jacob Bastian
@jacobbastian.bsky.social
Rutgers Econ Ast Prof || NBER || Brookings || Council of Economic Advisers Senior Economist 2023-24 || PhD UMich || I research how public policy can help low income families || 2021 Child Tax Credit = 👍🏼 || 🏀📚🚲🥃 || 1st gen college || jacobbastian.com
With Claude (even Fable 5) I kept having to start new chats because each chat can only include 100 images, & a 100 page PDF counts as 100 images. Maybe everyone already knows this, but just zip big PDFs & upload a zipped folder. Where did I learn this? From Claude of course…
Everyone in Mexico has been chanting: ¿Y si sí? (~and if yes) After decades of heartbreak fans are cautious about getting their hopes up “¿Y si sí?” says: I don’t want to jinx it but maybe this is finally the year or we’re probably not going to win but what if we do? 🇲🇽❤️
Jacob Bastian@jacobbastian.bsky.social · last mo.Vamos México!
If Lakers win and go up 3-0 tonight, they should intentionally lose the next one or two games to give Luka and Reaves time to return before starting round 2. Has a playoff team ever intentionally lost before, in any sport?
We need to be honest about what we are seeing here. The Iranian government is still the same theocratic dictatorship and the Iranian people are in desperate straits after the US promised them liberation. The Iranians still control the Strait of Hormuz, still maintain their right to collect tolls...
Research that started in 2023 when I was in the Biden CEA. Not did the 2021 CTC help millions of families, but when it ended families felt worse about their own financial situation AND ALSO about the economy as a whole
NBER@nber.org · 4mo agoWhen the expanded CTC expired in 2022, each $1,000 in lost benefits reduced consumer sentiment by 1.7 points—with effects lasting nearly two years—long after the checks stopped, from @jacobbastian.bsky.social and Melody Harvey www.nber.org/papers/w35059
Delighted to share our revised paper (w/ @juliaturner.bsky.social & @jacobbastian.bsky.social ) showing that Universal Pre-K has broad effects on local labor markets — effects well beyond only mothers. Larger effects for full-day programs. nber.org/papers/w33767 #EconSky #EarlyChildhood #ECE
1/ Excited to share my first solo NBER working paper: “Does Employment Shift Mothers’ Voting Behavior and Political Identity?” Using 5 decades of EITC expansions and welfare reform, I find employment reduces voter turnout & shifts lower-income mothers toward Republican & conservative identification
NBER@nber.org · 4mo agoProviding novel evidence that the relationship between working and voting is negative, from @jacobbastian.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34980
Palestinian Citizens of Israel Are Not Safe www.nytimes.com/2026/03/08/o...
Opinion | Palestinian Citizens of Israel Are Not Safe
nytimes.com
If you’re within 6 years of your PhD, apply for this! www.upjohn.org/news/upjohn-...
Upjohn Institute invites applications for the 2026 Early Career Research Awards
upjohn.org
NYC considering reviving SROs — a great idea that restores the missing lowest rung on the housing ladder; a new bill would allow ~100 sq ft rooms w/ shared facilities, replacing a stock that’s fallen to 30–40k today from 100k+ in the early 1900s www.6sqft.com/new-bill-wou...
New bill would revive single-room occupancy apartments in NYC
The legislation would allow the construction of single-room occupancy apartments as small as 100 square feet in NYC for the first time in decades.
6sqft.com
Wrote a post on EITC & CTC for @briefingbook.bsky.social on (1) their current design and historical development, (2) research evidence on their effects on families, and (3) ways they could be improved www.briefingbook.info/p/tax-credit...
Tax Credits and the Safety Net: Proven Tools That Could Do Even More
The EITC and CTC effectively deliver over $180 billion in aid annually and could still be improved
briefingbook.info
Would love to see @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social keep this going—AFTER the election—with volunteer groups working together on good things Community in real life is needed more and more, post-Covid, post-religion www.nytimes.com/2025/11/04/n...
Such a pleasure to be on this panel. Great event at the Urban Institute www.urban.org/events/cash-...
The logic for supporting DEI: Providing extra help not because one is a woman/minority; but rather to help overcome the extra obstructions one faces as a woman/minority It shouldn’t be called sexist/racist to help people overcome sexism/racism www.nytimes.com/2025/09/05/o...
Opinion | What I Got Wrong About D.E.I.
nytimes.com
Putting together something on AI and economics research. Who are leaders and creative thinkers in this area? Ideally labor and applied micro economists. Self promotion accepted!
Huge thanks to @equitablegrowth.bsky.social for their grant support! Excited for the opportunity to advance this research.
Washington Center for Equitable Growth@equitablegrowth.bsky.social · 12mo agoJacob Bastian (@jacobbastian.bsky.social) from Rutgers University will use administrative data to analyze how the Earned Income Tax Credit plays a role in supporting families’ decisions to move and outcomes for parents and children. Learn more ➡️ equitablegrowth.org/grants/unloc... #EGgrantee
Putting together something on AI and economics research. Who are leaders and creative thinkers in this area? Ideally labor and applied micro economists. Self promotion accepted!
Submit that new research project of yours and I will see you in Denver. Will be a great conference!
Sandy Black@econsandy.bsky.social · 12mo agoSociety of Labor Economists (SoLE) Annual Conference will be May 1-2, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. Submission portal is now open! Deadline for submissions is October 31--don't forget to submit! It will be a great conference! (organized by me and @jrothst.bsky.social) mailchi.mp/sole-jole/so...
It’s August which means another @iipf.bsky.social conference. We’re in Nairobi Kenya. Would be a shame to come all the way here and not explore East Africa a bit ;) I am presenting a few papers, including a brand new project on tax credits in Puerto Rico Reach out and say hello if you are here!
It is important for researchers and policymakers to think about the interaction of policies, not just one program at a time. I wrote a short analysis of the US’s two most important tax credits Here’s EITC+CTC combined by income, kids, marital status www.rstreet.org/commentary/h...
8/ 📅 July 25 ⏰ 9:45 am: "Universal Pre-K as Economic Stimulus: Evidence from Nine States & Large Cities in the U.S." feat. @jacobbastian.bsky.social @kirabojackson.bsky.social That's a wrap! For more info on this week's sessions, see the schedule: www.nber.org/conferences/... See you next year!👋
SI 2025 Development of the American Economy
Format: Authors will be given the full 50 minutes of each session, with questions during the presentation.
nber.org
Very thoughtful. Rather than blurbing, just read the whole article www.nytimes.com/2025/07/20/o...
Opinion | Why American Jews No Longer Understand One Another
nytimes.com
These estimates rely on great paper by @kirabojackson.bsky.social , @julia-turner.bsky.social , & @jacobbastian.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w33767 However, my inferences from their paper are based on my own regional econometric model of how shocks to labor supply affect a state's economy.
Universal Pre-K as Economic Stimulus: Evidence from Nine States and Large Cities in the U.S.
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
nber.org
I have an update to my prior paper on the benefits of Michigan's pre-K program. This new paper estimates the fiscal benefits of Michigan moving from its current program to a universal program. Key finding: fiscal benefits for state cover about 2/3rds of costs. research.upjohn.org/up_policypap...
Short-Run Fiscal Effects of Expanding Michigan's Preschool Program to be Universal
This policy paper provides some updated estimates of the short-run fiscal effects of expanding Michigan’s state-funded preschool program, the Great Start Readiness Program (GSRP), to encompass univers...
research.upjohn.org
Good article (based on their forthcoming book!) by my former CEA colleague @mikegeruso.bsky.social The Population Bust Won’t Solve the Climate Crisis www.nytimes.com/2025/06/29/o...
Opinion | Depopulation Is Coming. Don’t Expect It to Solve Our Problems.
nytimes.com
State policymakers are missing a free lunch—figuratively and literally—by declining to implement a new federal program that offers summer grocery benefits to low-income children. Resources that could fight hunger, support families, boost local economies www.brookings.edu/articles/sun...
Sun Bucks: A new chapter in the fight against child hunger | Brookings
brookings.edu
1/ One headline change in the new GOP tax bill is raising the Child Tax Credit from $2,000 to $2,500. Sounds great—until you look at the details. 🧵 www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
A Complete List of Everything in the Republican Bill, and How Much It Would Cost or Save
In hundreds of provisions across taxes, spending and more, the G.O.P. megabill would preserve lower tax rates for most Americans, increase federal debt by nearly $3 trillion and make large cuts to Med...
nytimes.com