Jacob Kaarsbo

@jkaarsbo.bsky.social

Foreign, security and defence policy analysis. 15 yrs @ Danish Defence Intelligence Service. Sportsnerd.

You wonder about the Iranian strategy in the Middle East and the impact of the latest strikes in Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt? Join my channel tonight at 8 pm where I brief on the strategy, the repercussions and take your questions. See you then 🤗 Link in comments 👇

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🇺🇦 angreb mod våbenforsyningerne mellem 🇷🇺 og 🇮🇷 i Det Kaspiske Hav øger ikke risikoen for et verdenskrigsscenarie. Det gør derimod præsident Trumps eftergivenhed over for Putins rolle i våbensamarbejdet mellem 🇷🇺 og 🇮🇷. Læs min seneste kommentar på Børsen👉 borsen.dk/nyheder/opin...

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Trump har brudt med næsten 5 årtiers 🇹🇼-politik og er slået ind på en farlig vej. Under besøget hos præsident Xi signalerede Trump, at 🇹🇼 bærer hovedansvaret for øgede spændinger, at våbensalg til 🇹🇼 er til forhandling, og at han ikke agter at komme 🇹🇼 til hjælp mod 🇨🇳. 👉 borsen.dk/nyheder/opin...

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The genious “Project Freedom” on pause as Trump is close to a “Complete and Final Agreement”. Everything will be good. 🇮🇷 will be free. Freedom of navigation in the Strait. No uranium enrichment or long range missiles or support for terror groups...the five dimensional chess player strikes again🤡🤡🤡

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It’s been 5 really good days in Kyiv and 🇺🇦. Most important takeaways are gathered in the below video. 3 points: 1) 🇺🇦 will win. What victory will look like and how long it will take is still too early to say. European support will determine how long and how many sacrifices 🇺🇦 needs to endure! 1/3

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Renewed Trump threats won’t make Iran back down. He still doesn’t understand his opponent. There are two bad possibilities now: 1) Trump carries out strikes on power plants. This will make Iran escalate hard against Gulf states energy infrastructure which will deepen the global energy crisis. 1/2

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