There can be no better example of something deeply wrong with this country's national culture than the normalisation of the description of a soggy pre-packaged sandwich as a "main".
Joel Dyer
@joelnmdyer.bsky.social
AI/ML Scientist Website: https://joelnmdyer.github.io GitHub: https://github.com/joelnmdyer
We’ve got a new paper out on “Learning Likelihood-free Reference Priors”, forthcoming at #ICML2025. In this paper, we consider how reference priors (RPs) can be constructed for arbitrary simulation models. 🧵
🔥 Got a great work on causal representation learning, abstraction, high-dimensional discovery, or other hot topics in causality? 🇧🇷 Don’t miss your chance to present in Rio at the CAR Workshop at #UAI2025! ⏰ Deadline is in 1 week – May 26! 🌐 sites.google.com/view/car-25/
CAR
Causal Abstractions and RepresentationsWorkshop @ UAI 2025July 25th 2025, Rio de Janeiro 🇧🇷
sites.google.com
Going to the hospital because I broke my wrist smashing the endorse button: www.understandingai.org/p/i-got-fool...
I got fooled by AI-for-science hype—here's what it taught me
I used AI in my plasma physics research and it didn’t go the way I expected.
understandingai.org
1. LLM-generated code tries to run code from online software packages. Which is normal but 2. The packages don’t exist. Which would normally cause an error but 3. Nefarious people have made malware under the package names that LLMs make up most often. So 4. Now the LLM code points to malware.
LLMs hallucinating nonexistent software packages with plausible names leads to a new malware vulnerability: "slopsquatting."
Professor Nigel Shadbolt has shared his thoughts on the potential risks of AI-powered teddy bears that use AI to converse with children. He suggested that they 'could be used to survey, they could be used to appropriate and harvest data from the child.' www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/03...
AI teddies could ‘harvest data from your children’
Sir Nigel Shadbolt, a leading researcher, has raised concerns about ‘smart toys’
telegraph.co.uk
1/1🗣️People with a learning disability die up to 20 years younger than the general population, even though this could be avoided with the right healthcare.
🆕 Agent Based Modelling Comes of Age @doynefarmer.bsky.social believes creating economic models that can make useful predictions may be the most important problem in economics today 🔖We summarise 3 of 2025's ground breaking papers 🔗https://www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/agent-based-modelling-comes-of-age
Agent Based Modelling Comes of Age
Our recently published research demonstrates how ABMs is 'coming of age' cross three areas: central banking, economics and finance, and AI.
inet.ox.ac.uk
Excited to announce we are organising a two-day workshop on 'Bayesian Computation and Inference in Misspecified Models' at BayesComp 2025! Registrations are now open, with a very nice lineup of speakers to be announced soon! bayescomp2025.sg @isba-bayesian.bsky.social
Bayes Comp 2025
bayescomp2025.sg
We’re overwhelmed by all the generous donations from Traitors fans after hearing Alexander Dragonetti’s story! 🎉 You’d wanted to know how much has been raised... #TheTraitors #AlexanderDragonetti
Definitely consider submitting your work to UAI, it's fantastic conference! And while you're at it, why not submit a shorter version to the AABI workshop track (deadline Feb 7)? 😉
Sad after #AISTATS2025 and #ICLR2025 notifications? As we say in Italy, when a door closes, a bigger one opens ;) If you have a fantastic paper on #uncertainty #AI #ML #causality #statML #probabilisticmodels #reasoning #impreciseprobabilities etc, consider submitting to #UAI2025 🇧🇷 deadline 10 Feb 💥
#UAI is one of the best general conferences for causal researchers Submission deadline: Feb 10 #CausalSky
Sad after #AISTATS2025 and #ICLR2025 notifications? As we say in Italy, when a door closes, a bigger one opens ;) If you have a fantastic paper on #uncertainty #AI #ML #causality #statML #probabilisticmodels #reasoning #impreciseprobabilities etc, consider submitting to #UAI2025 🇧🇷 deadline 10 Feb 💥
✨I made a starter pack for complexity scientists on this platform.✨ go.bsky.app/QzMwdrL
Next week will be ✈️to @neuripsconf.bsky.social together with @joelnmdyer.bsky.social and Nick Bishop to present our work on "Interventionally Consistent Surrogates for Complex Simulation Models". Details 👇
2 weeks left to apply for this PhD position (link at end of thread) #EpiSky #IDSky
Which infectious disease will dominate the headlines in the coming years? A new emerging disease? Outbreaks of mpox or ebola? An endemic disease like malaria? Or, it could be a resurgent disease - something once downgraded as a public health hazard that makes a come-back. Some examples:
See you at #NeurIPS2024! We’ll present two papers: 1) “Interventionally Consistent Surrogates for Complex Simulation Models”. Here, we propose a method for learning causal abstractions (“interventionally consistent surrogates”) of complex simulation models! openreview.net/pdf?id=UtTjg... (1/3)
openreview.net
New paper on Forecasting with Agent-Based Models from Sam Wiese, Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa, @joelnmdyer.bsky.social, @j0mrn.bsky.social, Marco Pangallo, Francois Lafond, John Muellbauer, Ani Calinescu, @doynefarmer.bsky.social #Complexity #EconSky www.inet.ox.ac.uk/publications...
No. 2024-06 - Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated…
In the last few years, economic agent-based models have made the transition from qualitative models calibrated to match stylised facts to quantitative…
inet.ox.ac.uk
Congratulations to @joelnmdyer.bsky.social for winning best paper at the 40th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, for his work on approximate Bayesian inference methods for simulation models. www.inet.ox.ac.uk/news/researc...
Researcher wins best paper award for work on approximate Bayesian…
It seeks to aid widespread adoption of simulators in real-world modelling and decision-making scenarios, by making approximate Bayesian inference more…
inet.ox.ac.uk
Our group recently delivered a tutorial on building & calibrating differentiable agent-based models of financial systems at the 4th International Conference on AI in Finance #ICAIF2024! Notebooks & materials are freely available on our tutorial website: largeagentcollider.github.io/icaif_tutori....
A (nearly) no-CSS, fast, minimalist Jekyll theme.
largeagentcollider.github.io
Want to know more about gradient-assisted calibration for financial agent-based models? Then we have the perfect paper for you fresh from ICAIF '23 dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/... You can also watch Joel Dyer's related talk on @inetoxford.bsky.social's YouTube account www.youtube.com/watch?v=ria0...
Joel Dyer Variational Bayesian Inference for Agent based Models 23Nov2023
youtube.com