New findings that fragile and especially conflict affected countries are the most vulnerable to climate change (much more so than even LDCs or SIDS), yet also receive the least support, are really clear. Clear calls to action highlighted in blob and note here: www.cgdev.org/publication/...

Climate Vulnerability and Fragility

Fragile states, especially those affected by conflict or extreme fragility, are even more vulnerable to the impacts of climate change than small island developing states (SIDS) and least developed cou...

cgdev.org

Tough times for #climatefinance. Rumours that UK #ICF could be cut to £9bn, if true and that were all, would indeed be disappointing. But it doesn't have to be. My latest @cgdev.org blog examines the numbers and sets out six things the UK could do. www.cgdev.org/blog/what-no...

What Now for UK Climate Finance?

This blog examines what the numbers show—in the context of ICF performance, the shrinking aid budget, and the new $300 billion global target. It then sets out a practical six-point approach that fits ...

cgdev.org

Final #COP30 'Global Mutirao' decision doc very much a damp squib. No ref to fossil fuels, roadmaps on deforestation and transition out of fossil fuels relegated to separate process, target date for tripling adaptation finance postponed by 5 years to 2035. Anger at process. Deeply disappointing.

If you thought that climate change was all the fault of 'developed' countries, think again! That's NOT what data on GHG emissions since 1850 actually suggests. Old distinctions between developed and developing countries are no longer fit for purpose. Time to move on. www.cgdev.org/blog/emissio...

Emissions Myth-Buster: We All Know That Developed Countries Are Responsible for Climate Change, Right? Wrong!

The belief that developed countries are primarily responsible for climate change runs deep. UNFCCC climate negotiations—which have been characterized by deep divisions between “developed” and “develop...

cgdev.org

Really striking that SIDS get so much more adaptation finance per head than LDCs (indeed, than anyone), yet overall are less vulnerable. More adaptation needs to be focused on LDCs, with different help for SIDS. But SIDS may have much stronger claim on loss and damage finance.

Center for Global Development@cgdev.org · 9mo ago

Ahead of #COP30, @jonathanbeynon.bsky.social compares five major climate vulnerability indices—finding wildly different results. All agree least developed countries are most at risk, while small island states often get more attention. Time to rethink adaptation finance? https://go.cgdev.org/4hV7v88

Indeed. Our own work on 'fair shares' very relevant here. Old divisions between 'developed' and 'developing' make no sense any more www.cgdev.org/publication/...

Climate Finance: Fair Shares Revisited

Our earlier analysis of data on emissions and income concluded that there is a strong case for non-traditional donors to provide 20-30 percent of any climate finance total. This note presents three ne...

cgdev.org

Joe Thwaites@joethwaites.bsky.social · last yr.

Lots of commentary on the #ICJ advisory opinion on obligations of States in respect of #climate change. One thing I haven't seen discussed yet, which could have major implications for climate negotiations where developed or developing country status is key to so many obligations, is para 226:

This is MASSIVE!

Carbon Brief@carbonbrief.org · last yr.

NEW – ICJ: What the world court’s landmark opinion means for climate change | @daisydunne.carbonbrief.org @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social @mollylempriere.carbonbrief.org 💬 w/ comment from Danilo B. Garrido Alves, Joy Reyes, Prof Viñuales, Dr Maria Antonia Tigre, Harj Narulla, Dr Bill Hare Read here:

Climate finance debates often focus on who pays & how much, but @jonathanbeynon.bsky.social & @ianmitchell1.bsky.social argue that quality matters too. They explore how the UK reports the results of its int'l climate finance, & what it reveals about effectiveness 👇 https://buff.ly/416hM9q

The scale of income and especially wealth inequality is literally stratospheric. Things look challenging, but now is not the time to give up trying to agree and implement a minimum tax on the world’s richest. www.cgdev.org/blog/pens-pa...

Now that governments at #COP29 agreed the #NCQG, which sets out future goals for international climate finance, the focus turns to how they will be delivered. Here are my thoughts, featuring more MS Paint graphics that I know @ed-king.bsky.social loves so much: www.nrdc.org/bio/joe-thwa...

🚨New paper! 🚨(well, to Bluesky) Making Migration Work for Adaptation: Classifying Remittances as Climate Finance An exciting paper that we hope might make a difference (esp. after NCQG). Huge thanks to co-author @jonathanbeynon.bsky.social & to all who reviewed/shared comments. Thread below! 1/

Obsessing over quantity and forgetting quality of climate finance is the Baku COP’s biggest failure. Not that $300bn is too low to meet demands for action and justice (though that’s true). It’s that the world’s poorest & least responsible for climate change will be robbed by it.

Indeed. It’s insufficient, ill-defined, with no public finance target, no grant equivalent figure, and no refs to additionality or burden sharing. So much for learning lessons of the $100bn goal!

Ian Mitchell@ianmitchell1.bsky.social · 2y ago

My take on the #COP29 climate finance goal (#NCQG); based on our model. It will require barely any additional effort from providers and creates a greater risk of diverting funds from existing development finance @fionaharvey.bsky.social @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social @kenzabryan.bsky.social

Just reinforces point that $250bn by 2035 is unambitious and woefully inadequate

Ian Mitchell@ianmitchell1.bsky.social · 2y ago

For those negotiating in Baku on the #NCQG climate finance goal @edwickstead.bsky.social and I have calculated two new scenarios in our @cgdev.bsky.social model of baselines relating to multilateral development banks and the latest negotiating text 1/5

Re #NCQG. Disappointing. No refs to new and additional. No refs to grant equivalence. Refs to additional contributions from developing countries are important (their emissions are now >50% of all GHG emissions since 1850). But developed countries simply must commit more.

Simon Evans@drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 2y ago

NEW TEXTS DROPPED AT #COP29 * NCQG: Draft finance target of $250bn * UAE dialogue: clear ref to GST para 28 * UAE dialogue: Options on taking GST fwd * MWP: GST remains absent www.carbonbrief.org/... 1/3

Farewell X, ELO Mr Blue Sky!