How does the GFDL SPEAR Large Ensemble project tropical cyclones to change under warming? Short answer: fewer storms globally, but each is projected to be wetter and bigger. w @mktippett.bsky.social @scamargo.bsky.social Read more in Earth's Future: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

Historical and Projected Tropical Cyclone Characteristics in SPEAR Large Ensemble Simulations

TC genesis is projected to decrease, with a poleward shift in activity regions Climatological TC precipitation (TCP) is projected to decrease, while precipitation rate per TC and TCP size increas...

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Hurricane #Barbara has become the first hurricane of the 2025 Eastern Pacific season 🌀 Barbara is located southwest of Mexico and is moving northwest. It is near peak intensity but is expected to weaken and dissipate in the coming days.

Hot take. The government isn’t subsidizing university budgets. Universities are lending subsidized expertise to research and development that contributes to the public good. It’s called partnership.

Edward Doherty PhD.@drtcell.bsky.social · last yr.

A study finds, US based academic research institutes account for 50% of new medical drugs in the last 4 years. 🧪 www.statnews.com/2025/06/06/u... #science #savescience #stat

How do a climate-scale patterns, like La Niña, influence extreme weather events, like tornado outbreaks? I break it down in this ENSO Blog post, plus discuss this hyperactive 2025 season in particular. 🌪️

NOAA Climate.gov@climate.noaa.gov · last yr.

Tornado activity to date has been above average. How does La Niña make tornado-friendly weather more likely? Our guest blogger explains: www.climate.gov/news-feature...

New paper! 📣 More positive and less variable North Atlantic Oscillation at high CO2 forcing led by Ivan Mitevski (Princeton), with me, Gabe Vecchi (Princeton), Clara Orbe (NASA GISS), and Lorenzo Polvani (@climate.columbia.edu) doi.org/10.1038/s416...

More positive and less variable North Atlantic Oscillation at high CO2 forcing - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - More positive and less variable North Atlantic Oscillation at high CO2 forcing

doi.org

🌧️📉 Can we predict tropical cyclone precipitation (TCP) at subseasonal scales? Our new study shows that biases in TC occurrence forecasts limit skill in TCP (and total rainfall too!) With @mktippett.bsky.social and @scamargo.bsky.social journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...

I usually include NOAA NCEI billion-dollar weather/climate disaster figures in my talks. Over the last couple months, I've spent extra time highlighting who makes them and why it's so valuable, including "while we still have this data..." to convey my worry. Sadly I guess my fears were warranted.

Andrew Freedman@afreedma.bsky.social · last yr.

NEW: NOAA retires its widely cited billion-dollar weather and climate database amid staff cuts. Unique database had been tallying disaster costs for 45 years. www.cnn.com/2025/05/08/c...

NEW: NOAA retires its widely cited billion-dollar weather and climate database amid staff cuts. Unique database had been tallying disaster costs for 45 years. www.cnn.com/2025/05/08/c...

NOAA ends extreme weather database that tracked cost of disasters since 1980 | CNN

Its discontinuation is another Trump-administration blow to the public’s view into how fossil fuel pollution is changing the world around them and making extreme weather more costly.

cnn.com

Qué buena oscilación! (QBO) Great to have a post up with @seasonedchaos.bsky.social. Read about one of the less known, yet better behaved, oscillations in the climate system and how it impacts our surface conditions.

Kelsey Malloy@kmalloy.bsky.social · last yr.

How QBO affects weather/climate patterns can be confusing, but @jorgelgf.bsky.social tries to break down the main QBO teleconnection routes in this post. As usual, we had fun with graphics... here's an animated schematic:

How QBO affects weather/climate patterns can be confusing, but @jorgelgf.bsky.social tries to break down the main QBO teleconnection routes in this post. As usual, we had fun with graphics... here's an animated schematic:

Seasoned Chaos@seasonedchaos.bsky.social · last yr.

A new SC post?! Qué bien! Guest writer @jorgelgf.bsky.social discusses the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) — perhaps our most well-behaved, predictable oscillation in the climate system — and how it affects global weather patterns in many ways. ⬇️ seasonedchaos.github.io/Que-Buena-Os...