Leo Borchert

@lfborchert.bsky.social

Researcher/lecturer in climate extremes, impact, prediction and machine learning @cenunihh.bsky.social. Also excited about everything nature. Views are my own. he/him. More: www.leoborchert.de

We have a new preprint under review! Happy to share that Leocardia submitted her work elaborating on the link between North Atlantic SST and hot and dry European summers. We find a strong connection between SST and hot extremes, which is also predictable. 💡 doi.org/10.22541/ess...

Decadal Predictions of the Link Between European Hot-Dry Compound Summers and North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature

This study assesses MPI-ESM 1.2-LR decadal hindcasts (lead year 1-5) to evaluate the prediction of European compound hot and dry summers with help of North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature (SST). We e...

doi.org

And the good news keep on coming:) elated to see Julianna‘s final PhD paper published! We were able to show that seasonal predictions of European summer temperature are inhibited by a lack of causal connections between the North Atlantic and Europe in the MPI climate model. How do we fix this?

Giorgia Di Capua (Ph.D.)@giorgiadc.bsky.social · 2y ago

New paper published just before Christmas 🎄 “Causal relationships and predictability of the summer East Atlantic teleconnection” by Carvalho-Oliveira et al. wcd.copernicus.org/articles/5/1...

Out now: our new paper on how climate science can more effectively inform decision making. In short: climate science and impact science need to be considered together so that actionable climate information can be created!

Tim Raupach@timraupach.com · 2y ago

In a new concept paper following the @wcrpclimate.bsky.social Open Science Conference, we examine links between climate science and decision making regarding extremes and risks. Enhancing these links requires better integration of climate sciences and impact sciences for actionable climate info. 1/3

A schematic showing three connected pillars (climate science, decision making, and impact science). From Sillmann et al., 2024, CC-BY-4.0.

We are organising our climate prediction session again at #egu25! This is usually a fun place to exchange and share recent findings. Submit and/or let us know if you have any concerns! 😊

André Düsterhus@aduesterhus.bsky.social · 2y ago

Abstract submission for #egu25 opened: CL 4.6: "Climate Predictions from Seasonal to Multi-Decadal Timescales and Their Applications" Submission Deadline: January 15, 2025 Financial Support Deadline: December 2, 2024 We look forward to see you in Vienna & online!