*2026 El Niño Ahead by a Mile* It’s remarkable for us scientists to witness El Niño’s evolution. If you had asked us if something like this was possible a year ago, it would have been a definitive no. But here we are… already more than 1C (& 3 months) ahead of the next strongest episode in 1997… 1/
Michael Anderson
@manderson003.bsky.social
He/him. From Hamburg, Germany. Interested in weather + climate, music and gaming.
Ein Tag für die Geschichtsbücher. Leider keiner, auf den man gerne zurückblickt. 🔸41°C in Wien-Stammersdorf ➡️ Österreich-Rekord 🔸An 51 Stationen so heiß wie noch nie 🔸Insgesamt 101 August-Rekorde 🔸9-mal 40 Grad, im Jahr 2026 bereits 14-mal (vor 2026 insgesamt nur 3-mal!)
BREAKING, ÖSTERREICH: Nun sind es schon 41,0 Grad in Wien-Stammersdorf und es kann noch etwas heißer werden. Noch nie war es so heiß wie heute in Österreich! #Rekordhitze #Wien /CG kachelmannwetter.com/at/messwerte...
Temperatur 2m, Messwerte Wien vom 04.08.2026, 15:00 Uhr
kachelmannwetter.com
It’s now official: June–July 2026 was the most anomalously warm two-month period ever recorded in France by a staggering margin. France is now virtually certain to record its warmest summer on record.
Der Pegel am Rhein in Köln hat einen historischen Niedrigstand erreicht und liegt aktuell bei 66 cm. Der bisher niedrigste Wert stammte vom 23. Oktober 2018 und lag bei 69 cm. /LD
BREAKING Mit 40,3 Grad in Wieselburg gab es heute in Österreich die höchste Temperatur seit Beginn von Messungen. kachelmannwetter.com/at/messwerte... #Hitze (PS: Andere angebliche Rekorde von früher wurden an Gaga-Stationen mit vollkommen irregulären Bedingungen erreicht)
Max. Temperatur 2m, 12std, Messwerte Niederösterreich vom 31.07.2026, 20:00 Uhr
kachelmannwetter.com
Bordeaux, France, has now recorded more days above 40°C in 2026 alone than during the entire 105-year period from 1920 (when observations began) to 2025. This is deeply shocking.
Gestern gab es wieder einen denkwürdigen Tag. An 6 Stationen wurden mehr als 40 Grad erreicht/überschritten. An zahlreichen Messstationen gab es neue Julihöchstwerte, an einzelnen Stationen sogar Allzeithöchstwerte, wie in Rheinfelden + Ohlsbach, wo erst im Juni neue Höchstwerte erreicht wurden. /V
Another avalanche of records in SWITZERLAND Several stations including both stations of Zurich had their hottest July day in history. See below: Even hotter tomorrow !
Seit Beginn der Aufzeichnungen war der Wasserstand am Rhein noch nie so früh im Jahr so gering. Düsseldorf: 2018 wurden 23 cm erst im Oktober erreicht, 2003 40 cm erst Ende September. Zum Monatsende werden in Düsseldorf um 30 cm erwartet. /FR
The current wildfire smoke event extending from the Great Lakes to the Northeast U.S. represents yet another dead canary in our collective coal mine. We're getting an impressive and exponentially increasing collection of dead canaries! yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/dang...
Dangerous and historic wildfire smoke pollution event engulfs the U.S. and Canada » Yale Climate Connections
Most of the fires grew out of control under extreme heat conditions made up to five times more likely by climate change.
yaleclimateconnections.org
MEDITERRANEAN HEAT WAVE The hell continues on the Coastal plains ALGERIA 49.1 Bouchegouf all time record 48.1 Tizi Ouzou all time record 47.4 Guelma monthly record 45.3 Constantine monthly record TUNISIA 48.7 Jendouba monthly record No end in sight:48/50C until month-end !
🌡️THE HELL IN THE MEDITERRANEAN :50 DEGREES Absolutely crazy heat: Almost 50C on The ALGERIAN coast (next post) 47.2c Ollastra SARDINIA (many stations >45C,even above 500m asl) Monthly records in FRANCE 40.5 Bocognano 39.8 Les Arc 38.1 Quenza 40.0 Draguignan
Der Niederrhein hat aktuell den niedrigsten Juli-Wasserstand seit Messbeginn. Hier die Pegelwerte von Lobith (NED) kurz hinter der Grenze zu NRW.
🫗 Yesterday, the Rhine at Lobith reached its lowest level ever recorded in July. And we’re only halfway through the month.
@bhensonweather.bsky.social does a great explainer on the potential record-strength El Niňo event that is currently building:
Hang on tight: "New results this month from an array of the world’s top climate models have only strengthened the outlook for a potential record-smashing El Niño event, most likely peaking toward year’s end." (h/t to @zekehausfather.com on this news) yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/this...
With all the July model runs now in, it is very likely that 2026 will see the largest El Niño event since records began in the late 1800s – and potentially by a truly mind-blowing margin. The median estimate is now 3.6C, roughly 0.8C hotter than the prior record (2.75C). www.theclimatebrink....
116F IN MONTANA: HISTORIC ALL TIME RECORDS MT 115 Miles City 111 Laurel 112 Sidney 110 Baker 106 Bozeman 105 Livingston tied UT 109 Salt Lake City 106 Brigham City 105 Logan WY 110 Worland 109 Sheridan 106 Cody 104 Riverton tied 102 Lander tied ID 103 Idaho Falls
HISTORY IS BEING MADE today between Montana,North Dakota and parts of Wyoming,Idaho,Colorado and Utah. Follow the updates later about this historic heat wave.
Der Sonnblick auf 3100m Höhe ist mit heute offiziell ausgeapert. Seit Messbeginn 1938 ist das erst zwei Mal so früh im Jahr passiert (2022 & 2025). Vor dem menschengemachten Klimawandel lagen um diese Zeit im Jahresdurchschnitt (!) noch 3 Meter Schnee.
Plotted the average number of yearly 30C days each decade from 1950s to current decade, inclusive of 2020-2026 at London Heathrow. In 1960s London we averaged 0.8 days per calendar year at 30C, we've seen a twelvefold increase in their frequency from that low point. #climate
+2°C Global Warming by Spring? The last NA multi-model ensemble shows just how much of a jolt a Super El Niño like this can give to Global Temps. On top of 1.4-1.5C of human-caused warming, the El Niño may add another .5°C during its reign if NMME is right. That’s much more than typical events. 1/
"Holy Shit" des Tages: Aufnahmen der laufenden Klimakatastrophe in der Schweiz. www.srf.ch/meteo/meteo-...
Dürre in der Schweiz 2026: Satellitenbilder enthüllen Ausmass
Satellitenbilder zeigen: Nach einem trockenen Frühjahr und einem heissen Juni ist die Vegetation ausgetrocknet.
srf.ch
19th day of year above 30C in London this relegates 2018 to 3rd place. Tomorrow will tie with 1976 the record year, not for much longer. Much of next week looks to be 30C+ the way things are going we’re heading for a months worth of 30C - truly an unprecedented summer. Like we jumped climate zones…
10-day forecast sea surface temperatures & anomaly from ECMWF there are SSTs of 20C as far north as Blackpool. Perfectly normal…. All this excess ocean heat amplifies land temperatures especially at night and increases humidity. While also being highly damaging to UK coastal ecosystems. (1/2)
To say El Niño is at record intensity for July is really an understatement. It’s a full .6°C/ 1.1°F ahead of the old record in 2015 in the main ENSO 3.4 region. That’s immense… It’s 1.95°C above the 1990-2020 average already. So just a hair below “Super” (+2C) already… 1/
16th day of year reaching 30C at Heathrow now tied 3rd highest yearly total with 1995. This is treble the recent 30-year average. Next up is 2018 with 18 days that will be surpassed on Friday all before the midpoint of summer. (1/2)
The latest on Super Typhoon #Bavi, still at Cat 5 strength as it heads toward a Friday encounter with northern Taiwan and/or Japan's Ryukyu Islands. yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/cat-...
Cat 5 Super Typhoon Bavi pounds the U.S. Northern Mariana Islands and Guam » Yale Climate Connections
Bavi is expected to gradually weaken this week and threaten northern Taiwan and Japan's Ryukyu Islands as a Category 3 storm on Friday.
yaleclimateconnections.org
Update: Der vorläufige Höchstwert wurde nach Prüfung der Messdaten angepasst. In Möckern-Drewitz lag die Maximaltemperatur am 27. Juni nicht bei 41,5 °C, sondern bei 41,8 °C – verursacht durch eine kurzzeitige Übertragungslücke. Alle Werte bleiben bis zur Abschlussprüfung vorläufig.
HISTORIC ! 42 DEGREES IN HUNGARY Hottest day in history for the country 42.0C at Szécsény Several all time records including 41.0C at Szeged and 39.0C at Eger 100% of the stations broke the June record with up to 4C margins. Insane
HISTORIC HEAT IN THE BALKANS RECORDS EVERYWHERE 41.0 Knin CROATIA HOTTEST JUNE DAY IN HISTORY 41.7 Danilovgrad Min 29.5 Podgorica MONTENEGRO HOTTEST JUNE DAY & NIGHT EVER Records everywhere including all time records at Split,Kikinda,Palic and Sombor (see below)👇
This is possibly the CRAZIEST RECORD in EUROPE 40.4 Pinsk BELARUS HOTTEST DAY IN HISTORY Also: 38.7 Brest 36.4 Mozyr 36.3 Baranovichi 35.2 Lida Just think this: All time record at Pinsk was 36.3C in August 1905 ‼️It took 121 years but it got smashed by 4.1C INSANE
EXTRAORDINARY HEAT IN EUROPE Thousands and thousands of stations are brutalizing their records with margins never seen in climatic history. Every single country in the Eastern half is pulvering record. Here we got an unbelievable mind blowing 40.4C even in BELARUS Updates coming
HISTORIC HEAT IN SLOVAKIA 40.5 Muzla HOTTEST DAY IN HISTORY Records were smashed allover the country, from The Southern lowlands to the Mountains 40.5 Muzla 40.3 Mochovce 39.8 Prievidza 39.7 Nitra 39.1 Kamenica Nad Kirochou 38.9 Piestany 34.3 Liesec 31.1 Telgart etc Meteo .sk 👇