Meanwhile, the United States has already seen more than 4 million acres burn in 2026, with over 42,000 wildfires reported nationwide. #SaveUSFS
Marcus C Sarofim
@marcusmarcusrc.bsky.social
Climate scientist, ex-EPA. Writing climate science & policy at The Saraph Report. Saraph, my name's root, means fire, which is appropriate for climate work. Interested in books, food, and contra dancing when not obsessing over carbon.
I’ve never been to Climate Week NYC: please tell me why I should or shouldn’t go this year
Fires depend on: ♨️ Weather ⚡ Ignition 🍂 Fuel 🧯 Suppression In North America: ♨️ Climate change = hotter and drier ⚡Ignition = no real change 🍂 Fire deficit = more fuel 🧯Warmer nights = suppression is hard What should we do? 📉 Cut emissions ✅ 🔥 Controlled burns ✅ 🍁 Rake more? ❌ 🇨🇦 Be mean to Canada ❌
The Associated Press@apnews.com · last wk.Experts say the world is experiencing two opposing fire trends because of human impact.
Trump’s cut rate contractors apparently drove over and broke the recently renovated German American friendship memorial
Today's post looks at Trump's push for coal in the context of OMB good governance guidance. open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
A Lump of Coal in America's Stocking
Owning the liberals with a side of grift
open.substack.com
I'm in the "comment on everything!" phase of my career - see my post for counts of comments on the last four proposed regulations, and five more regs waiting for new comments: open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
Comment like the planet depends on it
The public is stepping up, but we have more to do
open.substack.com
Good job everyone! Keep writing those comments!
Jeremy Yoder says no war@jbyoder.org · 3w agoHoly COW. Text analysis of comments on the OMB rule: overwhelming opposition, overwhelmingly not form letters. (But 9 in 10 comments supporting the rule ARE form responses, LOL) Whatever happens next, folks have stepped up.
My latest post is about feedbacks. The first half is a primer, then second half is new results from adding additional feedbacks to the FaIR model. open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
FaIR-Weather Feedbacks
Permafrost, Methane, and Dieback, Oh My — Implications of Adding New Feedbacks to Simple Climate Models
open.substack.com
What *actually* works — right here, right now — to address climate change? Here you go. This is the result of thousands of hours of painstaking research and analysis from the Project Drawdown team.
Reminder that the deadline is tomorrow to comment on the OPM proposal to require NDAs from all government employees (substack.com/home/post/p-...) (along with the Post Office comment deadline of July 2nd, and the OMB politicizing science deadline on July 13th).
As a former EPA scientist, I found this interview very on point e360.yale.edu/features/tho...
An EPA Researcher Details the Agency's Assault on Science
In January 2025, the Trump administration began shutting down projects within the EPA’s independent science division that touched on climate change and environmental justice. Air quality researcher Th...
e360.yale.edu
The Trump Swamp - I decided to see this symbol of corruption and incompetence for myself.
Another opportunity for comment: the administration is trying to sell leases in Ohio's Wayne National Forest for fracking. See substack.com/home/post/p-... for details. Also, remember that the Trump Arch comment deadline is tonight. substack.com/home/post/p-...
Comment Today to Save Ohio’s Only National Forest from Fracking
The Wayne grew back from a century of clear-cuts and furnace fires. Now Doug Burgum’s BLM wants to lease it to drillers, and a federal judge already blocked this exact plan once. We can win again.
substack.com
See my latest post on comments you can make opposing proposed regulations from this administration on science funding, NDAs for civil servants, post office regulations on mail-in ballots, and the Trump Triumphal Arch. open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
Four public comments to file in the next month (one due Monday)
Please fight back against Trump Administration overreach
open.substack.com
Now all done but the synthesis! Thanks to the ~110 scientists and practitioners, not to mention @agu.org and our local volunteers, for a great three days in Montreal!
Bob Kopp@bobkopp.net · 2mo agoArriving in Montreal for the @agu.org Chapman Conference on Updating Usable Projections of Future Sea Level — already ran into about half a dozen colleagues before getting to my hotel!
That's a wrap! - 50 hours of science + calling Congress - 300 letters given to Congress after a 250-mile walk We provided the templates and our viewers and supporters injected their voices. And like last year, we feel so uplifted by our community. Thank you for spending your time with us
Haley Crim@haleycrim.bsky.social · 2mo agoThe @wclivestream.bsky.social is on hour 49 of livestreaming 100+ talks on climate and weather science! Tune in for the last hour to hear from @kimcobb.bsky.social and the group of scientists who walked from NYC to DC to hand off letters from around the country to Congresspeople!
I will be presenting on the Weather & Climate Livestream tomorrow (Wednesday) at 7:40 am (EST). My talk is about Certainties & Uncertainties, like my substack, but there will be new content! (see figure for an example) (some new content has not even finished being generated yet!) wclivestream.com
My new post updates my previous analysis, and also includes a grad school anecdote. open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
Simulations Revisited
This is what doing science looks like
open.substack.com
The Death Star under construction by the Empire
Some challenges I encountered while using Claude (and some solutions) open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
The Sea Level That Dropped (and Other Claude Stories)
Why You Need to Know Your Stuff (and have good collaborators!)
open.substack.com
My latest post has been weeks in the making, but is particularly timely because RCP8.5 has been in the news this week: open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
Certainties and Uncertainties
Revisiting and extending Sarofim et al. 2024. Also, I talk about RCP8.5
open.substack.com
I wrote some more about COVID, but also about the value of per-capita adjustments when making maps: open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
COVID Part 2, or "More evidence for MAGA lethality"
Also Part 2 of my new series, "Context matters for data"
open.substack.com
My second post on my Hill Visit, this one about specific bills supporting science in Congress. open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
Four Bills and a Hill Visit
Modest efforts to protect science
open.substack.com
Today I learned that UK grid operators need to plan for everyone turning on their electric tea kettles during halftime of major soccer matches…
Yesterday I was introduced to www.britannica.com/games/loop - it now ranks up there with www.nytimes.com/games/connec... and www.theatlantic.com/games/bracke... as my favorite of the daily games.
The Loop, a daily picture puzzle game | Britannica
Everything is connected: Arrange the pictures in a circle so that all links make sense. You have five tries to get it right.
britannica.com
From www.nytimes.com/2026/04/30/c...: ""These places should not be penalized “due to foreign sources of emissions,” Lee Zeldin, the E.P.A. administrator, said on X." By that logic, California builders shouldn't be penalized with stricter building standards because of living in an earthquake zone.
Smog in Phoenix and Salt Lake City? The E.P.A. Is Blaming Asia.
nytimes.com
🌍 This #EarthDay, AGU scientists gathered on Capitol Hill to advocate for science workforce policies that drive progress. Their voices help shape stronger communities, innovation, and our planet’s future. Get involved: spklr.io/63324EKgSG @aguscipolicy.bsky.social
The President's FY27 budget proposes the lowest funding for NASA, NSF, NOAA, and USGS in decades. If you have a Republican representative, or one on the House or Senate Appropriations Committee, please contact them to ask them to support science funding. open.substack.com/pub/thesarap...
An Assault on Science
The Lowest Budgets in 30+ years… But it’s Actually Worse than That
open.substack.com