Mark Hibbs
@mark88.bsky.social
Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. They are in Washington, D.C. I'm in Berlin.
Oh good grief. This is paranoia wrapped up in fantasy. Canada’s nuclear industry, including plans for new reactors, do not give any reasons that Canada may break or exit the Non-Proliferation Treaty. Aside from it being politically suicidal for the government, it remains practically impossible. 1/
Vanelle 🦋🇨🇦 🎹🎤 & Buy Canadian Warrior@vanellemusic.bsky.social · last wk.I think certain articles are floated for a reason. www.cbc.ca/news/politic...
Reupping this, in light of the news that Iran has agreed to let IAEA inspectors back into the country. If true it's a good start, but as @mark88.bsky.social explained, the IAEA lost continuity of knowledge and an accurate baseline for safeguards after June 2025, and it's gotten worse since then.
Iran’s Nuclear Program Took a Real Hit. So Did IAEA Oversight of It
The U.S. attack on Fordow did real damage to the site. But it also set back the IAEA’s oversight of Iran’s nuclear program.
worldpoliticsreview.com
Turkey, Russia, Ethiopia, Egypt, UAE, Iran: All these states are profiteering from the civil war in Sudan. Both sides are getting their help in continuing the bloodshed. The Franco-German ARTE site summarizes it: www.arte.tv/de/videos/12...
Mit offenen Karten - Im Fokus - Krieg im Sudan: Die Konfliktparteien - Die ganze Doku | ARTE
Den Sudan nicht vergessen: Das Land befindet sich seit mehr als drei Jahren im Krieg. 15 Millionen Menschen wurden vertrieben, zehntausende getötet – laut UN eine der größten humanitären Krisen der We...
arte.tv
How many people in Washington this week will tell their funders that they succeeded behind the scenes in convincing Rubio and Trump that the U.S. should "cooperate" with China?
The New York Times@nytimes.com · 3mo agoNews Analysis: President Trump called a delayed arms sale to Taiwan a “negotiating chip” with China, raising doubts about U.S. support for the island.
Chancelier Merz ne cesse de dire des choses qui vont lui attirer des ennuis...
Le Figaro@lefigaro.fr · 3mo agoLe chancelier Friedrich Merz a déconseillé aux jeunes Allemands d'aller étudier et travailler aux États-Unis, en pleine passe d'armes avec le président américain Donald Trump. →https://l.lefigaro.fr/Xikn
@chriswinedoctor.bsky.social Imbibed the first of 6 bottles of Pierre Menard's 2022 dry Anjou cuvées: Quarts de Gastines. If the rest are this good, wow. White chocolate, anise, coconut, lemon.
@rosabalfour.bsky.social Hungarian election commission says Magyar has a 2/3 majority: Bad news for nuclear industry friends of @rosatom.bsky.social in Brussels, France, Germany, Hungary, and Slovakia
www.lemonde.fr/sport/live/2... Paris-Roubaix 2026. And in the field today is a team managed by George Hincapie, with years of experience in the doping network of former team member Lance Armstrong.
EN DIRECT, Paris-Roubaix : « l’enfer du Nord » a débuté, le peloton approche des secteurs pavés
Vainqueur des deux premiers « monuments » de la saison, Tadej Pogacar vise un premier succès sur Paris-Roubaix, dimanche. Mais d’autres prétendants peuvent également envisager un succès, à l’instar de...
lemonde.fr
..and the ultimate challenge to the revolving-door career culture of Washington's permanent meritocracy. It could still take effective action.
Ross O'Connor@oconnor.bsky.social · 4mo agoTrump's message is the greatest motivation for countries to acquire nuclear weapons.
Subversive interference by a foreign government in another country's democratic election process
The New York Times@nytimes.com · 4mo agoVice President JD Vance landed in Hungary for a trip to boost the country’s conservative prime minister, Viktor Orban, ahead of general elections on Sunday. Follow live updates.
The EU wants to reestablish the nuclear power supply it once had, when nuclear provided about a 1/3 of the bloc’s electricity supply. But Europe's industrial capacity, financial challenges, & politics are major obstacles to a "nuclear renaissance."
Why politics, money, and construction capacity will limit any European turn toward nuclear power generation
The EU wants to reestablish the nuclear power supply it once had, when nuclear provided about a third of the bloc’s electricity supply. But Europe's industrial capacity, financial challenges, and…
thebulletin.org
Beyond happy talk and tweaking bureaucratic rules, Europe has a very long road ahead if it aims to renew its nuclear industry capacity enough to make a difference. In this piece I and Miles Pomper of MIIS identify the big picture obstacles.
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists@thebulletin.org · 4mo agoThe EU wants to reestablish the nuclear power supply it once had, when nuclear provided about a 1/3 of the bloc’s electricity supply. But Europe's industrial capacity, financial challenges, & politics are major obstacles to a "nuclear renaissance."
It was Rembrandt who changed the complexion of European art by painting real Jews in biblical scenes. That was beginning in the 1630s. Here, in 1909, Mary looks extremely Ukrainian!
Yaroslava@strategywoman.bsky.social · 4mo agoToday is Annunciation in Ukraine. In Christian tradition, this is the moment when the angel tells Mary she will give birth to Jesus. In Ukrainian culture, it is also seen as the beginning of spring, the day when the earth awakens. Oleksandr Murashko, Annunciation, 1909
Not convinced that greater defenses in Ukraine would have "ended" Putin's war. But there is no doubt that both US and Europe have failed to do specific things that would isolate, penalize, and defund Moscow's war machine.
MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦@maks23.bsky.social · 5mo ago🇺🇦🇫🇮 Russia’s war in Ukraine could have ended by now if Kyiv had received the level of air defense deployed in the Persian Gulf countries during the week of the war, — Finnish President Stubb
I also said that Moscow's demonstrative non-interference in Rosatom clients' politics was separate from Russia's efforts to access and influence these states' internal strategic decision making. www.dw.com/en/russia-oi...
Beyond oil and gas: Russia's nuclear leverage explained
Russian oil and gas face sanctions, but nuclear energy is another story. DW shows how far Russia's influence extends, and why countries continue to turn to it for nuclear energy.
dw.com
Global Entry should be terminated. At Islamabad airport, personnel request baksheesh to let you jump the queue. At US airports, it's the federal government that asks you to grease their palm for that 'service.' DHS should staff up and put an end to this form of institutionalized corruption.
NBC News@nbcnews.com · 5mo agoBREAKING: DHS is pausing TSA PreCheck and Global Entry programs amid its funding lapse.
How will Leafs receive Austin Matthews when he returns to Toronto ice? editorinleaf.com/auston-matth...
If Canada wins in Milan this afternoon, Trump will say: 1.) Canada stole the game from the US, and/or 2.) The referees were disloyal and unpatriotic.
As a frame, worth recalling that yesterday at MSC German Chancellor Friedrich Merz quoted the philosopher Peter Sloterdijk: The 5-decade "holiday from world history is over."
François Diaz-Maurin@francoisdm.bsky.social · 6mo agoAnd we are live from the Munich Security Conference. I will be covering declarations on nuclear risk as they come, as well as on multilateralism, transatlantic relations, strategic stability, and energy security. #MSC2026 @munsecconf.bsky.social #nuclearrisk #nuclearweapons #nukesky
No information here on who supplied the turbine generator equipment for A-2. France shipped it to Rosatom in a deal with Erdogan and Trump to brush off U.S. trade sanctions imposed after Putin's invasion of Ukraine? world-nuclear-news.org/articles/akk...
Akkuyu 2's turbine generator stator installed
The 437-tonne turbine generator stator was moved on a special track before being lifted into place in the turbine hall of unit 2 at Turkey's Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant. ;
world-nuclear-news.org
Perhaps this incident will prompt Sánchez and his Socialist Party base to take seriously from now on what NATO is facing on its eastern border.
The Kyiv Independent@kyivindependent.com · 11mo ago⚡️ Spanish defense minister's plane hit by GPS disturbance near Russia's Kaliningrad exclave. The A330 aircraft was traveling to Lithuania's Siauliai air base, reportedly also carrying relatives of Spanish air force personnel deployed as part of a NATO policing mission.
@chriswinedoctor.bsky.social U were generous in rating Ch. Plaisance Grand Lopin '21 at 87/100 but yr points still held in '25: Little sweetness, dense but opaque profile en bouche, thin, flat palette, sour finish. Nose improved since yr '22 tasting Their whites are better than this on average.
The IAEA contributed to what little is known about the impact of the June attacks on Iran's nuclear installations. But the challenges to the IAEA going forward in and with Iran will be mammoth. www.worldpoliticsreview.com/us-iran-nucl...
Iran’s Nuclear Program Took a Real Hit. So Did IAEA Oversight of It
The U.S. attack on Fordow did real damage to the site. But it also set back the IAEA’s oversight of Iran’s nuclear program.
worldpoliticsreview.com
Here in Germany if extreme polarization prompted justices of the Constitutional Court to make such accusations, the country's leadership & everyone else would engage on how to avoid/prepare for a national state of emergency (Innerer Notstand/Notstandsgesetze)
The New York Times@nytimes.com · last yr.In solo dissents this term, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson accused the conservative majority of the Supreme Court of lawless bias. On the term’s last day, Justice Amy Coney Barrett fired back.
Louis-Ferdinand Céline à Eugène Dabit, 1933: "La vie ne passe plus par la littérature. C'est une ville ancienne capitale comme Dijon abandonnée aux chats amputés...''
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/04/w... For the IAEA for 3 weeks management of this issue wasn't trivial. When the 12-day bombing got underway, I heard then, there were personnel in Israel, also in Tehran and in a location between Natanz and Fordo.
Nuclear Inspectors Leave Iran After Cooperation Halted With U.N. Watchdog
nytimes.com
Read Nicole's thread on Iran timelines. What she was maybe too polite or politic to say is that many op-ed estimates are ultimately less driven by analytical assumptions and more by DC-routine binary myopia: Trump loyalists claim all was destroyed. Trump's foes say Iran can get the bomb in months.
Ankit Panda@nktpnd.bsky.social · last yr.That's the thing about truth-seeking and evidence-based policy.
Grossi isn't guessing. The IAEA in fact has some quantitative evidence permitting the conclusion that the centrifuges at Fordo are broken.
The New York Times@nytimes.com · last yr.Centrifuges at the Fordo uranium enrichment plant in Iran are "no longer operational" after the U.S. attacked the facility with bunker-busting bombs, Rafael Grossi, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said on French radio Thursday.
"Expert X says Iran could have nuclear weapons in a year." "Expert Y says Iran's nuclear weapons quest was set back between 2 and 5 years." "Expert Z says Iran's nuclear weapons program was virtually destroyed."
IAEA board on Monday could request Secretariat & Iran to re-verify, report on safeguards status of Iran's HEU inventory: All material accounted for? Safeguards continuity? Prerequisites: Iran's cooperation, halt to Israeli warfare in Iran.