RESEARCH ARTICLE Prioritizing Conservation of Trailing‐Edge Populations for Future Climate‐Resilient Forests 🔗 buff.ly/40D8kO4

I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.

Really interesting take on the future of ecology in an AI world. The take home: experiments and long-term studies will have increasing value. @jdrakephd.bsky.social onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

AI, Comparative Advantage, and the Next Decade of Ecological Research

Click on the article title to read more.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Excited to share our new paper in @methodsinecoevol.bsky.social on data and code archiving at @britishecologicalsociety.org journals. TL;DR: Data archiving rates are high, code archiving rates are low, documentation needs to be improved! besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.....

Data‐ and code‐archiving in the British Ecological Society journals: Present status and recommendations for future improvements

Data- and code-archiving are important components of open science, as both make research more transparent, reproducible, accountable and credible, allowing future researchers to build on previous ...

besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Announcing #RStats package ggcube, now on CRAN -- make 3D #ggplot2 figures using `coord_3d()` matthewkling.github.io/ggcube/

Spatial+: a relatively easy way to address spatial confounding doi.org/10.1111/biom... Comparison with other methods: doi.org/10.1007/s131... #statistics #rspatial

Spatial+: A Novel Approach to Spatial Confounding

Abstract. In spatial regression models, collinearity between covariates and spatial effects can lead to significant bias in effect estimates. This problem,

doi.org

I think a lot about how mountain species are responding to warming temperatures so it was great to team up with @suzetteflantua.bsky.social @kjfeeley.bsky.social Christi McCain & Jenny McGuire to write a review of sp responses to both modern AND Quaternary warming www.nature.com/articles/doi...

Interesting work by van der Meersch et al. out in Ecology Letters, nicely illustrating that process-based models are more robust than correlative models for predicting species distributions under novel climatic conditions doi.org/10.1111/ele....

Paleorecords Reveal Biological Mechanisms Crucial for Reliable Species Range Shift Projections Amid Rapid Climate Change

Climate change has created an urgent need for reliable projections of species distributions. By hindcasting forest tree range shifts across Europe over the last 12,000 years, we show that process-exp...

doi.org

Disequilibrium in plant distributions: Challenges and approaches for species distribution models - check our new review in @journalofecology.bsky.social doi.org/10.1111/1365... 🍃🌦️♨️🌿 #SDM #plants #speciesdistributions #ranges

Disequilibrium in plant distributions: Challenges and approaches for species distribution models

Plant distributions are often in disequilibrium with climate, not occupying all suitable habitat and present in conditions that no longer support long-term population persistence. This proves a chall...

doi.org

Our paper on "Hydroclimate volatility on a Warming Earth" is out in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment. We assess existing scientific literature & conduct new analysis--concluding that "#HydroclimateWhiplash" is increasing due to #ClimateChange. [Thread] www.nature.com/artic...

Hydroclimate volatility on a warming Earth

Nature Reviews Earth & Environment - Rapid transitions between extreme wet and extreme dry conditions — ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ — have marked environmental and societal...

nature.com

Cool new paper br Katherine Nigro and colleagues. 🧪🌎 Key finding: The climatic differences between adults and seedlings are the result of widespread regeneration failures in the hottest portions of species’ ranges #Forests #ClimateChange

Trailing edge contractions common in interior western US trees under varying disturbances - Nature Climate Change

Climate change and disturbances are changing forest tree composition, but it is not clear if disturbances assist trees in tracking their climate ranges. This study shows that the impact of disturbance...

nature.com

Cannot stop thinking about how Octavia Butler wrote a book in 1993 about climate change. It opens with deadly fires in LA in 2025. In the story, a fascist President has just won office with the campaign slogan "Make America Great Again." She was a modern day Nostradamus. If only we'd listened.

This is so cool - this study used Chinese poetry to reconstruct 1400 years of range change for the Yangtze finless porpoise, and showed that most of the range loss happened in the last century papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Looking for a simple way to do #deeplearning in #Rstats? Check out cito, available on #CRAN via cran.r-project.org/web/packages... and presented in this recent Ecography paper nsojournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... Cito is an interface to torch for R and supports building and training

An important review - The ecology of plant extinctions - "Recent warm-edge extirpations demonstrate the growing impact of anthropogenic climate change & show that predictions of massive climate-driven extinctions later this century are plausible" www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... 🌾🌎🧪🌐