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Michel den Elzen

@micheldenelzen.bsky.social

5 Posts48 Follower23 Folgt
Michel den Elzen@micheldenelzen.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Our open-access paper “Climate ambition explained: key indicators and net-zero target projections using machine learning” is now on-line: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Climate ambition explained: key indicators and net-zero target projections using machine learning - Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change

This study uses advanced machine learning algorithms to analyze the indicators influencing national climate ambition in 2030 emissions targets and net-zero pledges. By focusing on technical and social...

link.springer.com

Michel den Elzen@micheldenelzen.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Over 100 countries have adopted net-zero targets, but uncertainties in factors affect emissions projections, showing that 2050 global emissions could range from 40 to 75 of 2015 emissions, with variability for countries like China and India. Our open access article doi.org/10.1111/nyas...

NYAS Publications

Over 100 countries have adopted net-zero targets to limit global warming. However, uncertainties in gas coverage, sinks, and socio-economic baselines impact emissions projections. This study examines...

doi.org

Kees van der Leun@sustainable2050.bsky.social · 9mo ago

2. Announced Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) imply an emissions gap of more than 20 GtCO₂ per year by 2035 relative to a 1.5°C pathway. Efforts to address this shortfall can build on rapid market developments and new innovations, including for renewable energy and battery technologies

Joeri Rogelj@joerirogelj.bsky.social · 9mo ago

What is the current state of climate action? What do latest country pledges add up to? And how much global warming are we in for? 🌍🌡️ 🔥 For the 16th year in a row, we publish the @unep.org #emissionsgap report. As usual, I looked the assessment of the global gap and its global warming implications.

Grantham Institute - Climate Change and the Environment@granthamicl.bsky.social · 9mo ago

NEW: The latest climate pledges under the Paris Agreement have driven only a slight fall in predicted global temperature rise over the course of this century. The UN Emissions Gap Report finds that implementing current policies would lead to up to 2.8°C of warming, down from 3.1°C. 🧵

Joeri Rogelj@joerirogelj.bsky.social · 9mo ago

Today is the official launch of this year's @unep.org #EmissionsGap report. It's title says it all OFF TARGET that's true for progress, NDCs and implementation

UN Environment Programme@unep.org · 9mo ago

New national climate plans have barely moved the needle on limiting global warming. Yet there is hope. According to UNEP's latest #EmissionsGap Report, accelerated adoption of renewable energy and falling costs mean we have the tools to cut emissions now: www.unep.org/news-and-sto...

Illustration of a dart missing the bullseye on a colorful target, symbolizing global temperature goals at risk due to inaction.