Mike Koontz, PhD

@mikoontz.bsky.social

Plant ecology and geospatial data science to reduce fire and climate change risk to ecosystems and communities. Lead Scientist @ Vibrant Planet Formerly: USGS Fire Ecologist; CU Boulder; UC Davis; Colorado State University; UH Hilo Location: Colorado

There will not always be extreme wildfire outbreaks when exceptional heat and dryness occur, that is true. But such conditions greatly raise the ceiling on what is possible in a warming world--and sometimes, as is happening now, that increased potential will be realized.

Many of these fires, from British Columbia to the South of France, have exhibited extreme behavior even when ambient winds have been modest. This has largely been due to deep pyroconvective development, including full-fledged fire-generated thunderstorms.

As Nahel discusses below, this event was caused by an extreme downslope (foehn) wind event--but that, in turn, was amplified by very warm & moist airmass generating huge snowfalls in high elevation Andes due to record-warm ocean waters in eastern tropical Pacific. #ElNiño

Nahel Belgherze@wxnb.bsky.social · 2w ago

I've never seen anything like it. Salta, Argentina, has just recorded its hottest night on record during the climatologically coldest time of the year. The minimum overnight temperature did not fall below 26°C (78.8°F), pulverizing the previous monthly record by 7°C.

I’m looking to recruit a postdoc to join my research group at University of Iowa to work on disturbance ecology and biodiversity! Start date flexible, lots of opportunity for skill development, collaboration, and mentorship. Will review applicants in mid-August! Link: gavinmjones.com/opportunities/

Opportunities

BIG NEWS! The Jones Lab will be relocating to the School of Earth, Environment, and Sustainability (SEES) at the University of Iowa in Fall 2026. Our work on disturbance ecology and conservation sc…

gavinmjones.com

New paper in Fire Ecology: what actually makes a wildfire "extreme"? Current definitions rely on rigid thresholds that don't hold up across ecosystems. We argue for judging fire behavior, ecological outcomes, and social impacts against historical baselines. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Roadmap for the future of extreme wildfire events - Fire Ecology

Background Extreme wildfire events (EWEs) represent a growing threat globally, posing substantial risks to ecosystems, human communities, and infrastructure. Despite increased recognition of their eco...

link.springer.com

The #AspenAcresFire, still burning quite actively along southern Colorado Front Range & having destroyed ~200 structures thus far, has become an exceptionally complex & challenging event from a firefighting perspective due to a confluence of climate, weather, & geography. [Thread]

Screenshot of current Aspen Acres Fire and active satellite-detected hotspots from Watch Duty.

NOAA has extended the highest-tier "extremely critical" fire weather risk into Saturday, and shifts the maximum risk zone eastward from the Great Basin to Rocky Mountain western slope. Multiple new wildfires, most likely lightning holdovers, are currently popping up in Utah.

Map from NOAA SPC depicting today's (Friday's) fire weather risk across the Western U.S. There is a broad region of elevated risk, and a large bullseye of "extremely critical risk" centered on Utah.Map from NOAA SPC depicting tSaturday's fire weather risk across the Western U.S. There is a broad region of elevated risk, and a large bullseye of "extremely critical risk" centered on eastern Utah and western Colorado.

Mechanisms of coexistence are often unintuitive; Werner et al. explore species interactions across different environmental scenarios to bridge theoretical and empirical approaches to coexistence. 🧪🌍💚 Check out this great press summary of our recent AmNat paper! www.amnat.org/an/newpapers...

Coexistence across time and life histories

<p>Read about &ldquo;Fluctuation-dependent coexistence of stage-structured species&rdquo; by Chhaya M. Werner, Lauren M. Hallett, and Lauren G. Shoemaker (Mar&nbsp;2025)</p><br/><br/><p><b>Mechanisms ...

amnat.org

“decimate” Despite my demographic, I think about the Roman Empire zero (0) times per day. But I do like words. Paul Brians taught me that “decimate” refers to eliminating 10% of people in an “unruly” unit as punishment. ~220k probies/~2.4m total… The Federal Service is being decimated.

Ever wonder what snow in the swamp would look like? This is 5 miles into the Louisiana swamps in the Atchafalaya basin... it's unreal... having lived down there for the first 28 years of my life, we never saw anything like this. Smashed records. Curtesy of Garrett Roberts.