NEW | CTP’s @nicholasacarl.bsky.social and @briancarter.bsky.social assess risks and opportunities for the US in Iran in their latest report, “The State of the Axis of Resistance.” Read the full report: www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/the... Here are their key points: (1/3)

The State of the Axis of Resistance: Assessing Risks and Opportunities for the United States

criticalthreats.org

CTP's @nicholasacarl.bsky.social: "The sudden loss of so many IRGC Command Network members has dislodged the faction from power and created vacuums in the military hierarchy, political landscape, and Khamenei’s inner circle. Read more: www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/a-n...

A New Era of Iranian Military Leadership

criticalthreats.org

An under looked aspect of the Iran-Israel war is that Israel has prompted generational change in Iranian military leadership. It is hard to overstate how significant this turnover is for Iranian decision-making and how the regime works in general. 🧵

The Iranian armed forces have myriad entities that factor into regime security. CTP's @nicholasacarl.bsky.social broke them down for you: criticalthreats.org/analysis/exp... Stay tuned for our latest update on the Israel-Iran conflict.

Explainer: The Iranian Armed Forces

criticalthreats.org

A recently leaked speech by a senior Iranian commander provides a rare and candid look into how Iran is coping with its strategic defeat in Syria and what it will do next. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...

My latest here on the fall of Assad. Iranian leaders must rethink their strategy in the Middle East now that the core assumptions and ideas that underpinned that strategy for over a decade have been upended.

Critical Threats Project@criticalthreats.bsky.social · 2y ago

NEW from @nicholasacarl.bsky.social : “The Reshaping of Iran’s Axis of Resistance” The fall of the Bashar al Assad regime in Syria marks the end of the greater Iranian project in the Levant for the foreseeable future. 🧵

JUST IN: IAEA censures Iran over nuclear activity, 19 voted in favor of the resolution, 12 abstained, while China and Russia voted against the resolution. www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

IAEA censures Iran over nuclear activity

Out of its 35 member countries, 19 voted in favor of the resolution, 12 abstained, while China and Russia voted against the resolution.

al-monitor.com

Beginning my Bluesky journey sharing my latest in the Hudson Institute's Current Trends in Islamist Ideology. The death of Ebrahim Raisi in May upended the political status quo in Tehran and triggered an impromptu reshaping of the Iranian political landscape. www.hudson.org/politics-gov...

Political Transition in Post-Raisi Iran

The death of President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash in May 2024 upended the political status quo in Iran and created new uncertainty about where the country is headed. In many ways, Raisi was a...

hudson.org