Here is my brief take on the new president of South Korea. ➡️ What factors determined Lee Jae-myung's election? ➡️Who is the new president? ➡️What can the election results mean for South Korea’s domestic politics and its foreign policy? 👉 pism.pl/publications...
Oskar Pietrewicz
@opietrewicz.bsky.social
Senior Analyst at the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM) Korean Peninsula, East Asia Private opinions
Many challenges and uncertainties lie ahead for 🇺🇸🇰🇵 relations. ➡️ unclear vision of 🇺🇸 policy towards the DPRK ➡️ 🇰🇵 has been strengthened by its alliance with Russia ➡️ the global and regional situation is much more complicated than in 2018 Find out more in my recent analysis 👇 pism.pl/publications...
My short take on the decision made by South Korea’s Constitutional Court, which upheld the parliament’s decision to impeach President Yoon Suk-yeol for illegally declaring martial law last December. pism.pl/publications...
If we take opposition to Yoon's impeachment as a measure of authoritarian political attitudes, there are some observations we can make and hypotheses, some competing, that we can consider. 👇
With Yoon's impeachment ruling due this Friday, here's Gallup Korea polling data from the 4th week of March. Support/oppose impeachment-ALL: 60/34 (+26) -progressives: 93/5 (+88) -conservatives: 27/69 (-42) -18-29: 62/26 (+36) -70+: 35/58 (-23) -18-29 males: 52/36 (+16) -18-29 females: 72/15 (+57)
S. Korea and US should initiate concrete, practical — and largely nonexternal — discussions on the intractable, long-avoided question of their alliance’s role in a Taiwan contingency, moving beyond rhetorical alignment on peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. www.koreaherald.com/article/1045...
South Korea, US should go beyond rhetoric, get real on Taiwan contingency: report
Allies should clarify expectations for role of alliance in event of US-China conflict South Korea and the United States should initiate concrete, practical — and largely nonexternal — discussions on t...
koreaherald.com
Spring issue of Global Asia has just dropped, with a cover package on Martial Law in South Korea-- a topic that should get more global attention IMHO www.globalasia.org/latest-issue...
South Koreans and Europeans agree that Russia is a threat, Ukraine needs support and that the new US administration is trouble, writes @alexlipke.bsky.social @ecfrasia.bsky.social Read his new commentary:
Polls, peril and partnership: Why South Korea and the EU are natural allies
South Koreans and Europeans agree that Russia is a threat, Ukraine needs support and that the new US administration is trouble. As Trump shakes the global security order, their shared concerns could…
buff.ly
North Korea is playing a bigger role in Russia’s war on Ukraine than one might think. And it may turn out to be one of the pieces in the larger puzzle of U.S.-Russian talks on a ceasefire in the war in Ukraine. I would consider several possibilities 🧵🇰🇵🇷🇺🇺🇸
In my recent analysis for the Polish Institute of International Affairs, I argue that the evolution of 🇰🇷 domestic situation, the definition of the terms of the alliance, 🇰🇷 stance on 🇺🇸🇨🇳 rivalry, and the coordination of policies towards 🇰🇵 will be crucial for South Korea’s alliance with the U.S. 👇
Ishiba’s first meeting with Trump is over, and, at first glance, it appears that Ishiba returns to Tokyo with what he needed. Some initial thoughts here: open.substack.com/pub/observin...
When Ishiba met Trump
Some initial thoughts on their first summit
open.substack.com
1/ I've obtained the 101-page indictment against President Yoon Suk Yeol detailing the December 3, 2024 martial law incident. He's charged with leading an insurrection (내란우두머리). Here's a breakdown of the allegations:
According to 101-page indictment obtained by lawmakers, orders were given at the presidential office just before martial law declaration on Dec 3. Lee then called police chief at 11:34pm and fire agency chief at 11:37pm to coordinate planned media shutdown. www.yna.co.kr/view/AKR2025...
US SecState Rubio’s call with his ROK counterpart does not mention denuclearization of Korean Peninsula. A signal to Kim Jong Un? www.state.gov/secretary-ru...
New SWP policy paper analyzing the motives driving South Korea's ever-closer relations with NATO. 👇 www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...
South Korea’s Ever-Closer Relations with NATO
Intersecting and Varying Motives of South Korea’s Moon Jae-in and Yoon Suk-yeol Administrations
swp-berlin.org
Democratic Regression and Resilience in South Korea: Lessons from the Martial Law Crisis globalasia.org/forum/democr...
Democratic Regression and Resilience in South Korea: Lessons from the Martial Law Crisis
globalasia.org
1/ Breaking: South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has been formally detained after a Seoul court approved full detention warrant, marking an unprecedented moment in the country's history. The decision came at 3am after a 5-hour court hearing. www.news1.kr/society/cour...
'내란 우두머리' 혐의 尹 대통령 구속…헌정사상 처음(종합2보)
尹 직접 출석해 입장 밝혔지만…법원 "증거인멸 우려" 서울구치소 수용동 이동…수형복 입고 머그샷·지문 채취 12·3 비상계엄을 선포해 내란 우두머리 혐의를 받는 윤석열 대통령이 19일 구속됐다. 현직 대통령 구속은 헌정사상 처음이다. 비상계엄 선포 47일만,
news1.kr
Incredible scene in Seoul tonight as President Yoon Suk Yeol’s supporters are storming the Seoul courthouse in response to his arrest. They are smashing the windows and vandalising the offices.
"Several Trump 2.0 senior officials are on the record demanding South Korea’s greater implication in cooperating with the U.S. to contain China. This is arguably the area with the greatest potential for a Washington-Seoul clash."
Rust on the ironclad alliance?
The U.S.-South Korea relationship is about to enter a period of uncertainty. On Jan. 20, Donald Trump will be inaugurated - for a second time - as the 47th president of the United States. Judging by h...
koreatimes.co.kr
My big picture piece on US-South Korea relations following Yoon's martial law decree: I look at why the Biden admin seemed to overlook obvious red flags about Yoon, how Trump may handle the relationship, and whether things can return to normal anytime soon.
How Yoon's martial law bid complicates US-South Korea ties
Fallout could impact ties under Trump administration, analysts warn
voanews.com
Mason Richey assesses #SouthKorea's martial law declaration and its aftermath through the lens of political science. bit.ly/4gKPYy4
K-Coup and its Limits: Popular Sovereignty, Civic Virtue, and Political Science Blind Spots - 38 North: Informed Analysis of North Korea
When abrupt, consequential political events happen, we tend to have recourse to the general to ...
bit.ly
What has happened today in Seoul, and what will happen from now on? Let me address a few questions:
1/ South Korea's acting president Choi Sang-mok appointed two of three Constitutional Court nominees today, allowing the court to properly proceed with suspended president Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment trial. But the selective appointment has drawn criticism from all sides.
Support for DP declining for two consecutive weeks to 45.8% PPP up at 30.6%. 60.4% of poll respondents want a transition of power to the opposition, 32.3% want to continue with the ruling party
In this short reflection article for the Asia-Pacific Journal: Japan Focus, I focus on the impact of the New Right and election conspiracies among the Korean far right on Yoon's decision to declare martial law. 1/ apjjf.org/2024/12/engel
Making Sense of South Korea’s Senseless Martial Law Declaration - The Asia-Pacific Journal: Japan Focus
apjjf.org
1/ Major Korean papers this morning analyse the second impeachment in two weeks. "Acting president of acting president" (권한 대행의 대행) creates what editorials describe as a triple crisis in politics, economy, and security.
State Council meetings require a quorum of more than half the members and a two-thirds majority to pass resolutions. If the DP impeaches five additional cabinet members beyond Han duck-soo, it will be impossible to convene the cabinet due to the lack of quorum n.news.naver.com/mnews/hotiss...
[뉴스 즉설]이재명 구하러 가는 '무한 탄핵 열차', 다음 탑승자는 누구?
여야가 헌법재판관 임명을 둘러싼 위험한 승부를 이어가고 있습니다. 국민의힘은 국회 몫 대통령 권한대행의 헌법재판관 임명을 반대하고 있고, 민주당은 국무위원 '연쇄 탄핵' 카드를 만지작거리고 있습니다. 국민들은 안중에
n.news.naver.com
1/ Latest from S. Korea: - Opposition files impeachment motion against Acting President Han Duck-soo after he refuses to appoint 3 new Constitutional Court justices - CC to begin Yoon impeachment hearing tomorrow Yoon is still silent, hasn't submitted documents, and isn't cooperating
It's Friday and that means new report from Gallup Korea. As usual, I'm going to go through the report and put together a small thread on the survey findings.
In this quick take, Senior Fellow Rachel Minyoung Lee examines why #NorthKorea is taking a low-key approach to #SouthKorea’s political upheaval and martial law. bit.ly/41Pr2Ay
Quick Take: Pyongyang’s Subdued Coverage of South Korea’s Post-Martial Law Situation - 38 North: Informed Analysis of North Korea
How does North Korea feel about South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol’s enactment of martial law ...
bit.ly