Paul Young

@pjyng.bsky.social

Climate and risk | Head of Science, JBA Risk Management | Visiting Prof, Newcastle Uni | Ex full time Academic Views my own | Hot takes are probably someone else's

A circumzenithal arc? Anyway, nice clear skies on the Costa del Morecambe, but bracing for some “this is not normal, the world is on fire” weather this weekend

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Coming soon: a website showing exactly how much warmer or cooler than usual the UK is right now. If you live in the north-west of England it is currently a lot warmer than usual for the time of year and time of day.

Map showing hot much warmer than usual it is right now

Great to have extended the climate stripes up and down and to have documented their genesis! Interested the stratosphere signal? See Box 5-1 of the 2018 WMO Ozone Assessment: 👉🏼 csl.noaa.gov/assessments/... Thanks to NCAR's Bill Randel & John Starr for the extended stratospheric temperature data.

Ed Hawkins@edhawkins.org · last yr.

The Warming Stripes have now been extended downwards into the ocean and upwards into the stratosphere! Collaborative paper which tells the story of how the stripes were developed, and discusses their extension across the Earth system, is now available in BAMS: journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...

Warming stripes for deep ocean to upper stratosphere

Just heard that staff are being told this morning that EPA Office of Research and Development (ORD) will be completely shut down by the end of April.... because who needs research or development on environmental issues?

"Global warming has accelerated: Are the United Nations and public well informed?" New from from Jim Hansen et al, covering sci, policy, justice, and railing against GCM underestimates of change. If you're in climate, I expect you'll be asked about it! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Global Warming Has Accelerated: Are the United Nations and the Public Well-Informed?

Global temperature leaped more than 0.4°C (0.7°F) during the past two years, the 12-month average peaking in August 2024 at +1.6°C relative to the temperature at the beginning of last century (the ...

tandfonline.com

The jet stream that helped dump a foot of snow on the Gulf Coast is now accelerating over the Atlantic, helping fuel the strongest storm on record over Ireland with 100 mph gusts and 50 ft waves! It is so strong NOAA sent a hurricane hunter to Ireland to collect data! #Eowyn

CA Wildfires: GallagerRe have completed an "event response", giving an overview and insurance angle regarding these horrific events. For those unfamiliar, event response reports are often produced by the industry during/just after events with big $$ losses. 🔗 www.linkedin.com/posts/gallag...

Gallagher Re on LinkedIn: Gallagher Re Event Response - Southern CA Wildfires

Please see below for event commentary relating to the ongoing devastation from the Southern California / Los Angles #wildfires including financial loss…

linkedin.com

Interested in how we can get academia/industry collaborations working? I'll be drawing on experiences at JBA and my old academic life at this workshop in Reading tomorrow, while also learning from others. If you're there too, let's introduce ourselves. www.rmets.org/event/advanc...

Advancing Collaboration between the Insurance Sector and Academia

This workshop offers a platform for researchers in the insurance and catastrophe modelling industries to share their ongoing research and associated challenges with other natural catastrophe researche...

rmets.org

With all the news about the latest data showing that temperatures in 2024 were 1.6°C warmer than pre-industrial levels, many have asked what this means for the 1.5°C of the UN Paris Agreement. A short 🧵that aims to distinguish the signal from the noise (1)

NEW: 2024 has just been confirmed as the warmest year on record, and the first to breach the 1.5C threshold. We used a ridgeline (Joy Division inspired) chart to visualise daily temperature anomalies since 1940. 2024 clearly stands out with 100% of its days above 1.3C and 75% above 1.5C.

Ridgeline chart showing the distribution of global daily air temperature differences from the pre-industrial reference period (1850-1900), for every year between 1940 and 2024. Each individual year resembles a hill, shaded in a darker shade of red and further to the right for warmer years. The trend is clearly towards warmer years, with 2024 standing out as first year above 1.5C.

Who knew there are (or were) more shipping forecast areas than the standard ones? This old map has also got some different names (e.g., Finisterre for Fitzroy). Source: Royal Museums Greenwich FB page (c) Crown Copyright. Photo: National Maritime Museum, Greenwich

Shipping forecast areas ("Great Britain Fleet Forecast Areas") for the Northwest Atlantic. Map from the Admiralty List of Radio Signals, Vol III. Dated 27th April 1956.