Philippe Legrain

@plegrain.bsky.social

Senior visiting fellow at LSE's European Institute; Founder, Open Political Economy Network (OPEN) think tank. Author of 5 books, commentator, researcher, dog owner I write a Substack at https://philippelegrain.substack.com/

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#Brexit was not just stupid, it was spectacularly badly timed. Stupid, cos disrupting trade with your main trading partner is inevitably costly. Badly timed, cos Brexiteers envisaged the UK embracing the US & a free-trading (and peaceful) global future. 🧵 www.brusselstimes.com/eu-affairs/2...

Ten years on from the Brexit referendum, is Trump pushing the UK back into the arms of the EU?

British economist Philippe Legrain explains the shifting sands in the UK's relationship with the EU.

brusselstimes.com

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Will the #IranWar plunge Europe into recession? Amid unprecedented disruption to global oil and gas supplies, it now faces a triple blow of higher energy costs, inflated borrowing costs and increased uncertainty. 🧵 #econsky www.brusselstimes.com/eu-affairs/2...

Will the Iran war plunge Europe into recession?

In the 1970s, two big oil shocks sent inflation soaring and depressed Europe’s economy. Could history be about to repeat itself?

brusselstimes.com

Employment rates for non-EU born are now *above* those for the UK born. Gap used be nearly 10 percentage points. A tribute to the success of UK immigration/immigrants and labour market integration, especially in recent years. Something government should celebrate..

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The price of #gold has plunged over the past week, but is still up more than 10% this year and has nearly doubled since the start of 2025. Is it just a #bubble? Or are there sound reasons for gold's safe-haven appeal? www.brusselstimes.com/1949906/the-...

The new gold rush: Why investors are suddenly flocking to buy gold

The price of gold recently hit a record high, before falling back. Is it a bubble, or are there valid reasons for this rally?

brusselstimes.com

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After the #Greenland crisis, Europeans need to face facts: they can't rely on #Trump to protect them from #Russia; indeed, he too poses a threat. It's time to accelerate plans to reduce Europe’s military, economic & tech dependence on Trump’s America. www.brusselstimes.com/belgium/1937...

Europe needs independence from Trump’s America

"The storm over Greenland may have abated for now, but Europe’s relations with Donald Trump remain grim."

brusselstimes.com

Ukraine’s ‘fortress belt’ that Donald Trump wants to trade for peace Known as the Donbas, the region has become the fulcrum of fraught US-led diplomacy to end Russia’s full-scale invasion. A bit of history, the recent past & present in my @financialtimes.com piece today www.ft.com/content/ec49...

Ukraine’s ‘fortress belt’ that Donald Trump wants to trade for peace

Known as the Donbas, the region has become the fulcrum of fraught US-led diplomacy to end Russia’s full-scale invasion

ft.com

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I ran an experiment, simultaneously posting articles on Bluesky and X, and then testing to see how many people actually clicked and read them. The numbers on Bluesky are higher, both because the X algorithm downranks journalism, and because Bluesky attracts readers, not just shitposters.

Trump on Ukraine's attack on russian airbases and russia’s attack on Ukrainian cities: “They gave Putin a reason to go and bomb the hell out of them… When I saw it, I said, here we go, now it’s going to be a strike…” (Russia has been bombing Ukraine nonstop for over 3 years.)

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Later this month, #NATO is set to agree targets for higher #defence spending, by some future date. But Europe needs to rearm massively, right now. The threat from Putin is imminent, as is the risk that Trump abandons #Europe, or betrays it. 🧵 philippelegrain.substack.com/p/europe-nee...

Europe needs to rearm much faster

How to overcome the three constraints: fiscal rules, financial borrowing power and political feasibility

philippelegrain.substack.com

The EU has an extensive sanctions regime against Russia - but it is constantly under threat of a veto from Hungary and Slovakia as it requires unanimity to be extended .In my latest piece I argue that the EU can overcome this by accusing Russia of economic coercion 1/n) www.cer.eu/insights/cas...

The case for using the Anti-Coercion Instrument against Russia

The EU sanctions regime against Russia is threatened by a Hungarian veto. The Anti-Coercion Instrument would allow the EU to bypass Budapest.

cer.eu

Yes, this was very powerful. This woman facing deportation after living 20 years in a Missouri town told me about cleaning an older man's house for free when his wife was sick. She spoke powerfully about her relationships with Trump voters. Now she's in jail and facing removal:

Charles Herold@cherold.bsky.social · last yr.

While monsters like Mike Johnson cosplay Christian prayer while gleefully destroying lives, this lady, who Trump is deporting, cleaned a stranger's house for free because he was melting down. She apparently didn't get the memo that Christianity is now the religion of hate. #DeportMikeJohnson