The regional security landscape in the Gulf is shifting - and the consequences of the Iran war on Iraq are still unfolding in unpredictable ways. In the latest issue of Strategic South you will find a preview of my Gulf Strategic Trend on the destabilising consequences of the Gulf war in Iraq. /1

The new Gulf war is hitting the petromonarchies where it hurts most: their future Attacks against critical infrastructure - such as energy facilities, oil and gas fields, and refineries - are not only plunging the global economy into an energy shock reminiscent of the oil crisis of the 70s. /1

Iraq is caught between a rock and a hard place With the partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Baghdad isn't just feeling the heat of the new Gulf war. It is facing a fundamental threat to its economic lifeline. /1

Minacce ibride e instabilità: cosa sta succedendo in Africa e Medio Oriente? 🌍 La pubblicazione dell'ultimo report del The European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats (Hybrid CoE) è stata l'occasione per un'intervista approfondita su AfricaOggi. /1

As the Gulf conflict destabilises global energy, a second, invisible war has emerged in the Mediterranean Sea. Above and beneath the water surface, Ukrainian drones are now hunting Russian vessels. /1

A shadow war in the Mediterranean

As the Gulf conflict destabilises global energy, a second, invisible war has emerged in the Mediterranean Sea. Above and beneath the water surface, Ukrainian drones are now hunting Russian vessels bel...

linkedin.com

'In 2011, foreign powers intervened to overthrow Gaddafi. This is what they built. As bombs fall on Iran and the architects of yet another intervention promise that force will deliver freedom, Libya stands as the parable they refuse to read.' @theguardian.com

Power without a throne: how Khalifa Haftar controls Libya

The long read: When Nato helped overthrow Gaddafi in 2011, there were hopes of a new beginning. More than a decade later, this former CIA asset runs the country – and Libya has become yet another less...

theguardian.com

Un uomo solo al comando 🌍 Gibuti è un piccolo Stato, ma situato in un quadrante strategico come il Mar Rosso. /1

L'Iran e la nuova corsa all'Africa Per l'ultimo episodio di Africa Oggi (il podcast di #Nigrizia), ho analizzato come lo scontro tra Israele, Stati Uniti e Iran stia ridisegnando gli equilibri del continente africano. /1

Regional instability creates the perfect vacuum for hybrid threats. 🛡️ I am really glad to have contributed again to The European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats (Hybrid CoE), providing expert insights for the Trend Report 11 on the Middle East and North Africa. /1

Challenging times ahead. Macron's update to France's nuclear doctrine marks a historic shift - increasing warheads and deepening forward deterrence with close partners, especially the EU and UK. It is in line with the turbulent international landscape of today. @lemonde.fr #France

La dissuasion nucléaire française fait un grand pas vers l’Europe

Dans son discours à la base navale de l’île Longue, lundi, Emmanuel Macron a mis l’accent sur la coopération et la solidarité avec des alliés de la France sur le Vieux Continent, dévoilé un nouveau co...

lemonde.fr

Segnali di apertura. L'intervista esclusiva concessa a Tel Quel dall'ambasciatore d'Italia a Rabat Pasquale Salzano rappresenta un passaggio importante nelle relazioni tra Italia e Marocco. /1

In un contesto particolarmente complesso e complicato come quello libico, occorre fare particolarmente attenzione a come si presenta una notizia. Nonostante il merito di portare alla luce un episodio importante, passato quasi inosservato, la ricostruzione dell'ANSA è alquanto lacunosa. /1

In Libia uomini armati irrompono in sedi giudiziarie a Tripoli - Cronaca - Ansa.it

Consiglio supremo trasferisce a Bengasi funzioni chiave dopo l'assalto (ANSA)

ansa.it

'Israel has barred international media from independently entering Gaza since the war started in October 2023. This has not changed since the signing of the Gaza ceasefire, which came into effect last October.' @middleeasteye-rss.bsky.social #Gaza www.middleeasteye.net/news/israel-...

Israel killed most journalists worldwide in 2025

Committee to Protect Journalists reports a record number of journalists killed last year, with 86 dying in Israeli attacks

middleeasteye.net

'In aging authoritarian systems, blows from outside often consolidate the security apparatus, sharpen nationalist rhetoric and justify further centralization. Hardship can intensify anger, but it can also reinforce risk aversion in a population already wary of chaos.' @newlinesmag.bsky.social #Iran

Iran Is Not on the Brink of Revolution, It Has Entered a Long Decline

Those who view current events in the Islamic republic through the lens of 1979 fail to understand the circumstances that lead to political rupture

newlinesmag.com

'Italy – the birthplace of fascism – especially shows how once-marginal ideas can gain traction.' @theguardian.com #remigration www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Look to Italy to see how the dangerous idea of ‘remigration’ is taking root in Europe | David Broder

To even be talking about this drastic deportation policy is a sign the far right is winning, says author David Broder

theguardian.com

'They added that authorities in Turkey, which already hosts nearly 3 million Syrian refugees, believe that further arrivals from Iran could weigh heavily on the country’s struggling economy.' @bloomberg.com #Turkey www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

NATO Said to Step Up Iran Surveillance as Tensions With US Mount

The focus of NATO’s air surveillance in Turkey has shifted from Russia to Iran as the risk of a US-led military campaign against Tehran mounts, people familiar with the matter said.

bloomberg.com

'Regarding constitutional sources, Doueik noted that the drafting committee relied on the existing Basic Laws in addition to reviewing previous drafts and other constitutions, such as the 2014 Tunisian constitution and those of South Africa, Brazil, and Colombia.' @thenewarab.bsky.social #Palestine

The PA’s new constitution: A roadmap to Palestinian statehood?

With Israel treating annexation of the West Bank as a fait accompli, what role will a new constitution play in bolstering Palestine’s bid for statehood?

newarab.com

'This dual structure has become an operational reality: investors sign contracts with Tripoli for legal validity while relying on dubious security arrangements with eastern authorities to ensure uninterrupted operations.' #Libya oilprice.com/Energy/Energ...

Libya’s Oil Licensing Round Fails to Deliver Promised Comeback | OilPrice.com

Libya’s 2025 licensing round offered 22 onshore and offshore blocks, attracted 44 applicants, with 37 companies pre-qualified – yet only 5 blocks were ultimately awarded in February 2026.

oilprice.com

'Le Niger compte-t-il se poser en médiateur pour résoudre le conflit entre l’Algérie et le Mali ou au contraire prendre ses distances avec son allié au sein de l’AES ? La question demeure pour l’heure en suspens.' @france24.com #Algérie #France #Niger

Visites de Nunez et de Tiani en Algérie : un incongru ballet diplomatique à Alger

Alors que le ministre français de l'Intérieur Laurent Nunez arrivait lundi à Alger pour une visite de deux jours à l’invitation de son homologue algérien, le président Abdelmadjid Tebboune recevait qu...

france24.com

'She said that Libya’s judiciary, historically viewed as one of the country’s few unified institutions, is now fragmenting, with parallel courts in Tripoli and Benghazi issuing contradictory rulings.' @thenationalnews.com #Libya www.thenationalnews.com/news/us/2026...

Libya is deteriorating on many fronts, says UN | The National

UN official urges Libyan leaders to refrain from 'escalatory measures'

thenationalnews.com

'[..] while #Spain is an outlier on a continent closing its doors, its warm welcome doesn’t extend to many Africans. It finances, equips and trains #Morocco and other countries to stop migrants before they reach Europe via the Canary Islands, and has heavily fortified crossings in Ceuta and Melilla'

Il mare d'inverno Il clamore mediatico e la relativa ondata di indignazione sui tragici fatti di Crans-Montana continua ancora oggi, a più di un mese e mezzo di distanza dall'avvenimento. /1

'Au-delà de ces chiffres, Rome cherche à donner une profondeur stratégique à son engagement sur le continent africain.' @tv5monde.bsky.social #Italie #Afrique information.tv5monde.com/afrique/plan...

'Le gaz, qui doit également alimenter le Sahel, pourra être exporté à partir de l’Algérie vers l’Union européenne via le gazoduc Transmed qui relie l’Afrique du nord à l’Italie, ou sous forme de gaz naturel liquéfié (GNL) transporté dans des méthaniers.' www.jeuneafrique.com/1766381/econ...

Algérie-Niger : après le dégel des relations, le gazoduc transsaharien relancé

Le chef du régime militaire du Niger, le général Abdourahamane Tiani, et le président algérien, Abdelmadjid Tebboune, ont affiché lundi 16 février un dégel de leurs relations bilatérales crispées depu...

jeuneafrique.com

'Le fait que Carthage, le palais présidentiel, soit contrainte de museler ses propres soutiens est la conséquence d’un triple échec : idéologique, moral et social.' @lepoint.fr #Tunisie www.lepoint.fr/monde/tunisi...

En Tunisie, la dictature dévore ses enfants

LETTRE DU MAGHREB. Après avoir mis l’opposition en prison, le régime du président Saïed s’attaque à ses propres fidèles. Le député Saidani a été placé sous mandat de dépôts pour des propos critiques.

lepoint.fr

'This structure highlights how, in the absence of sufficient internal financial resources, #Italy has resorted to regional and international partnerships.' /1

'Adoption by the military is seen as a key boost for AI companies that are competing for legitimacy and seeking to live up to their enormous valuations from investors.' @wsj.com www.wsj.com/politics/nat...

Exclusive | Pentagon Used Anthropic’s Claude in Maduro Venezuela Raid

The use of the model through a contract with Palantir highlights the growing role of AI in the Pentagon.

wsj.com

'To be fair, no group, inside or outside Iran, can bring about a transition by itself. To succeed, this diverse opposition ecosystem will need to form a coalition—a process that would begin with the adoption of a narrow common platform.' @foreignaffairs.com www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/irans-d...

Iran’s Divided Opposition

Only a unified movement can threaten the regime.

foreignaffairs.com

'« Les efforts italiens en Afrique sont d’abord une question d’image, une perception que l’on doit entretenir jusqu’à ce qu’elle devienne réalité », analyse ainsi une habituée des cercles diplomatiques romains.' @lemonde.fr #Afrique #PianoMattei www.lemonde.fr/afrique/arti...

Georgia Meloni se rend en Ethiopie et confirme les ambitions italiennes en Afrique

Deux ans après le premier sommet Italie-Afrique à Rome, la présidente du conseil italien participe à une nouvelle rencontre en Ethiopie. Objectif : renforcer la présence italienne sur le continent via...

lemonde.fr

'A geopolitical anomaly'. That is how @lemonde.fr describes the military presence of #Italy in #Niger, where it is sitting side by side with #Russia 's Africa Corps at the Niamey International Airport, targeted by a terrorist attack just a few weeks ago. A must-read. www.lemonde.fr/afrique/arti...

Au Niger, l’étonnante cohabitation des militaires italiens et des Russes d’Africa Corps

Quelque 300 soldats italiens restent stationnés à Niamey, à côté des militaires nigériens et des Russes d’Africa Corps, alors que Français et Américains ont dû quitter le pays. Une présence révélatric...

lemonde.fr