1/ MS-Sen, Nov 9 snapshot: Colom leads Hyde-Smith by 2,696 on DDHQ and 2,536 on AP. Affidavit review is still underway; Hinds expects to finish curing tonight or Tuesday morning. Here is what the reported figures and our conditional scenarios can tell us.
A Rankin County family kept returning to the courthouse after an affidavit ballot was rejected over a missing signature. His wife suspects a poll worker’s signature was missing. Democracy Docket follows their effort to get an answer. www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/...
Mississippi voters frustrated by surge in ‘inactive’ registrations before Election Day
The surge has put Mississippi’s highly decentralized voting system under the national microscope and has left voters discontented.
democracydocket.com
To be absolutely clear: This was another Y2K situation. Lots and lots of people worked diligently for months and years, at great cost, taking hours away from their friends & family, to make our elections a bit more free and fair. Voting was still threatened! It still took record-breaking turnout!
Norm Eisen@normeisen.bsky.social · 6d agoThis is so wrong The reason “Trump didn’t steal the elections” is because we & the pro-voter coalition stopped him EIGHT times over the past 21 months Here’s how: a thread (1/x)
New: Ballot monitors in Mississippi say they’re being shut out while thousands of ballots remain uncounted in the close Senate race. They describe wrong locations, conflicting counting times and being physically blocked from observing. capitalbnews.org/mississippi-...
Saturday in DeSoto: commissioners read out affidavit decisions precinct by precinct. 409: 19 of 25 accepted. 207: 23 of 45. 209: 28 of 60, with 13 rejected for a missing poll-worker signature. About 2,100 envelopes countywide. Via Indivisible DeSoto MS: www.facebook.com/IndivisibleD...
Mississippi Senate, Friday night: AP has Scott Colom ahead by 2,574 votes, 467,930 to 465,356 (AP's last update 6:02 PM ET; unchanged at 7:40 PM ET). Today's key lesson: votes counted, ballots still under review, and estimates of what's left are three different things. (1/7)
I’m referring to DDHQ and NYT: the former who is much more bullish and has more accurately gathered reports remaining MS votes than AP (h/t @professorsquurrel.bsky.social) and NYT who quite literally released yesterday a breakdown on why Peltola is going to win potentially w/o RCV
Mississippi Senate: the first hard signal on affidavit ballots in two days. Lafayette County broke out its count by ballot type. Its 207 affidavits went Colom 142, Hyde-Smith 60, Pinkins 5. That exactly matches the batch AP added at 4:38 PM ET, so that batch was affidavits.
Mississippi Senate: what the late-reporting batches show so far. Since 3:48 AM ET Wednesday, AP has posted updates in 15 counties. Colom's lead grew by 1,770 votes, to 1,813 as of 5:16 PM ET today. About 91% of that came from 3 counties: Clay +713, Lauderdale +511, Warren +391.
I found my first piece for Salon, it was in 2012. In a way Salon is why you're at this website. Salon's Table Talk was a proto-social media site. One of the first liberal blogs, Media Whores Online, grew out of a Table Talk forum. The blogosphere can be traced to Salon. Media ain't the same anymore.
Phil Lewis@phillewis.bsky.social · 7d ago"Today, after 31 years, we are saddened to announce that Salon is ceasing publication."
Hyde-Smith's campaign said at 3:46 PM ET that thousands of votes are still out in dozens of Republican counties. Enough to catch Colom, up 1,822 on AP? I checked it against AP's own county estimates. Short answer: only if Colom's side has almost nothing left. 1/
Frank Corder (@frankcorder) on X
New statement from Mississippi U.S. Senator @cindyhydesmith’s campaign: “Cindy Hyde-Smith is going to represent Mississippi in the United States Senate for the next six years. We believe thousands of...
x.com
Insane that none of DDHQ, Kornacki, etc will cause the race for Colom This with Alaska Survey Research calling the race for Peltola….Dems officially have 56 Senate seats!!!
Squirrel@professorsquurrel.bsky.social · last wk.Our read: if that turnout claim holds, this race isn't really close. ~20,000+ Hinds ballots at Colom's margin there could add 8,000-12,000 to his lead (now 1,852 DDHQ, 1,138 AP). Even cautious math adds a few thousand. It may take into next week, but Hinds decides it.
Mississippi Senate: a roundup of local news out of Hinds County, and it's telling us something huge if true. Colom's best county may still have 20,000+ votes out, and they'll come in all at once. Links and our read below. #MSSen #Mississippi
Mississippi Senate: AP has Colom up 65, DDHQ up 1,864. Which is right? We checked county reports: AP is missing batches counties already released. Local figures match DDHQ in Warren, Clay and Lowndes, putting Colom's floor near +1,240 before affidavits. #MSSen #Mississippi
Mississippi Senate, county by county: where the last votes are, and why it leans Colom. Thread below. #MSSen #Mississippi #Election2026 #Midterms2026 bsky.app/profile/prof...
Squirrel@professorsquurrel.bsky.social · last wk.Mississippi Senate: where are the last votes? Counted lead is Colom +65 in AP, +1,864 in DDHQ (DDHQ has newer counts in Clay, Lauderdale, Warren). Several counties still sit near 90% in AP. Chart: what's left if AP's county estimates hold, at each county's current split.
Mississippi Senate: where are the last votes? Counted lead is Colom +65 in AP, +1,864 in DDHQ (DDHQ has newer counts in Clay, Lauderdale, Warren). Several counties still sit near 90% in AP. Chart: what's left if AP's county estimates hold, at each county's current split.
Nobody, really nobody, was repudiated more in this midterm election than Elon Musk. He was the centerpiece of the closing argument in the state that went bluer than anywhere else! @ryanlcooper.com breaks it down. prospect.org/2026/11/04/e...
Let’s All Point and Laugh at Elon Musk - The American Prospect
Turns out you can’t just buy Texas, even for a quarter billion dollars.
prospect.org
Was the 2026 wave just a turnout map? We checked every county in 29 Senate races against Trump-Harris 2024 (AP counts, adjusted to AP's expected vote). 2,151 of 2,179 counties moved toward Democrats. In the median state, ~92% of the swing happened inside counties.
Mississippi Senate, AP as of 3:50 AM ET (96% counted, still uncalled): Colom (D) 462,821 Hyde-Smith (R) 462,778 Pinkins (I) 19,935 Colom by 43 votes out of ~945K. A thread on where the remaining ballots are:
You know who won big tonight? @janefonda.com who has been running a climate PAC and flipping seat after seat in state after state. Truly the best of us! janefondaclimatepac.substack.com
JanePAC’s Substack | Substack
🌎🌱 JanePAC is a political action committee founded by Jane Fonda to end the stranglehold the fossil fuel industry has on our lives and our planet. We elect climate champions at the state and local lev...
janefondaclimatepac.substack.com
Wow. Democrats have flipped four seats on the Texas Supreme Court. Four! They defeated four Republican justices. 🤯🤯🤯
Mississippi may come down to provisional ballots. In 2024, provisionals ran bluer than the overall vote in all four counties with a breakdown: Lauderdale R+21 overall vs D+7 provisional, Hinds D+46 vs D+48 (via Zachary Donnini). Colom leads by 28 votes tonight.
Iowa looks set to flip: Josh Turek (D) leads Ashley Hinson (R) 402,639 to 354,450 (NYT, 10:52 PM ET), and NYT gives Turek 94%. Trump won Iowa by 13 in 2024. How does a Trump +13 state flip? Three pieces of evidence:
Tonight's surprise: deep-red states going down to the wire. Mississippi (Trump +23 in 2024) and Nebraska (Trump +21) are coin flips at 10:18 PM ET. The county data points to one group of voters more than any other. Thread:
Iowa is the closest of the three: Josh Turek (D) vs Ashley Hinson (R). Iowa went Trump +13 in 2024, so Turek needs about a 13-pt swing. The official state count is still thin (20 of 99 counties), but the best evidence points just past that line:
Kansas: Adam Hamilton (D) leads Sen. Roger Marshall 418,201 to 295,949 in NYT's 10:01 PM ET count. Kansas went Trump +16 in 2024, so Hamilton needs roughly a 16-pt swing statewide. The big counties are running well past that:
Ohio: why the Senate race keeps moving toward Sherrod Brown. In the state's 10:00 PM ET count, Brown leads Jon Husted by 47,518 votes (D+1.5) with 5,470 of 8,834 precincts in. What matters is not the current lead but where the uncounted votes are.
This is like avenging the Red Wedding levels rn huh
