Robin Blythe

@rbly.bsky.social

Health economist dabbling in biostats and clinical informatics. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3643-4332

If you're the type to eschew epistemic humility and present yourself as a "superstar" academic, or scientist-hero, you are probably also the type to have a relaxed attitude to good scientific practices like avoiding plagiarism. #academia

The worst part is that, as you increasingly prove yourself as a capable investigator, you spend less and less time doing any actual analysis. By the time you reach a/prof, it's all grants and speaking engagements. Meat for the academic machine.

Robin Blythe@rbly.bsky.social · 2w ago

When I made research faculty, I naively assumed I'd get to mostly do fun stuff - learning, exploring and analysing my own projects. Instead it's 95% project managing other people's grants: chasing data & IRBs, and dealing with angry primary investigators. Word of warning to any #postdoc out there!

When I made research faculty, I naively assumed I'd get to mostly do fun stuff - learning, exploring and analysing my own projects. Instead it's 95% project managing other people's grants: chasing data & IRBs, and dealing with angry primary investigators. Word of warning to any #postdoc out there!

Intense exercise in the tropics is an ongoing battle between your stomach and your heart as you try to cram as much liquid in as possible to stop your blood turning into an underseasoned ragu. At this point I should become a shareholder in Pocari Sweat with how much I've paid them

#Statsky I need your help. If you have a consulting gig or been involved in building a (stat. modeling) consulting center, would you be willing to share your business model, sample contracts/terms/conditions, your approach to recruiting clients... esp. in an academic setting, I'd appreciate it!

This is baby's first steps into the prediction-causality blood wars, but the more work I do in both, the less convinced I am there are real diffs. The last predictive model I built had a cross-val AUC = 0.96, and it was from a DAG + long discussion with clinicians about which Xs causally influence Y

Anyone have papers that they regret publishing? They might not be bad science, they could just be trite or useless (though some certainly might be bad). For the sake of the public record, it's good they're out there, but how do you handle no longer supporting your own work?

IMO the only thing holding people back from posting nuclear takes on LinkedIn is fear of getting filtered out for future jobs. Nobody in academia (afaik) is getting headhunted on LinkedIn though, so maybe we should just go for it. Mostly I'd probably just bitch about the state of science, really.

Nearly all research is, to some extent, exploratory. I don't buy that there is a clean line of separation between exploration and confirmation/hypothesis testing.

🥰 Always get warm fuzzies* when I see someone has cited my work, failing to read past the title and not realising it is directly contradicting the point they've casually tossed in the paper like a fart in a bubble bath 🥰

IMO prereg is usually more useful heading off biased co-authors on straightforward analysis, rather than as an external quality signal. Rarely do I find myself with a clear analysis plan I can simply apply to data, making the main purpose of prereg weak to me. Lots of research is highly iterative.

Ingo Rohlfing@ingorohlfing.bsky.social · 4w ago

Arguing with economists: the case for preregistration #MetaScience kdoroc.substack.com/p/arguing-wi... Assuming this represents a broader picture in econ: I would have assumed that econ was more open to preregistration than other disciplines. This post suggests differently. 1/

#Bayes #statsky thought of the day: It actually seems kind of reasonable to ask an LLM about suggestions for your priors as starting values. It's probably pulling from *somewhere* which, while weak, is a lot better than peeking at your data first. Anything inherently wrong here?

#machinelearning people: What's the current best practice for predicting w/ longitudinal data when you've prior evidence of multilevel effects like random slopes and intercepts? An R implementation would be ideal! I dislike having to trade off testing possible interactions with ignoring slopes 🤔

As a half-Kiwi, half-Iranian native of Los Angeles, this WC match was made for me in an almost painfully poignant way. There was even a watch party at my local chelow kabab joint. Maybe the only time I've ever had FOMO from living overseas?

There's weirdly common debate in #NZ whenever policy's announced that deficit spending = bad. No consideration of whether it generates net economic value - see Labour's proposed fare cap for #publictransport. Where does this view come from? Investment in transport generates tons of societal value.

I have seen my research with both lay and technical styles misinterpreted in citations and press releases. The main difference is that the technical pieces are just cited less overall, so I guess this kind of works? I think most people just read the title. Bad for the h-index grindset 😤 though.

William B. Fuckley@opinionhaver.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Academics could definitely write better overall, but I actually have kind of come around a little on dense technical jargon, because it serves as a useful pair of lead gloves in preventing normative preferences from irradiating your analytical clarity. Not foolproof, but some insulation.