Rebecca Florisson

@rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social

Principal Analyst at the Work Foundation and part- time PhD at Queen Mary Uni of London. Insecure work, labour markets, data. Opinions my own.

This month’s labour market data shows a jobs market losing momentum. Unemployment has risen to 5.0%, the highest since the pandemic, with 1.79 million people now looking for work. But what’s most concerning isn’t inflow — it’s outflow. People are finding it harder to get back into work. 🧵

Unemployment rate between 2020 and 2015

It's good to see the Commons have rejected the Lords' amendments that would seek to water down the one day rights provision and guaranteed hours for zero hour contract workers. Expected impact 📊 Decrease severely insecure work by an estimated 1.2m workers.

This graph shows that if one day rights and guaranteed hours had been in place in 2023, an estimated 1.2 million fewer workers would have experienced severely insecure work. An estimated 3.85 million workers would have obtained secure employment

Comment from our Principal Analyst @rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social on the latest CPI inflation release from the ONS ⬇️ “Cost of living pressures are persisting for workers and their families across the UK as inflation is at its joint highest level since January 2024 at 3.8%. (1/6)

Cost of living pressures persist for workers as inflation at its joint highest level since January 2024 - Lancaster University

The Work Foundation at Lancaster University respond to the CPI inflation statistics (October 2025) released by the Office for National Statistics.

lancaster.ac.uk

We are still at near zero real earnings growth since Sept 2024, 11th month in row. We had a very small rise in earnings in August 2025 on previous month, leaving earnings up just 0.2% on Sept 2024.

A chart showing how regular wages are growing after taking account of inflation.  The first few months of the period starting September 2023 showed relatively slow growth, but there was consistent growth between February 2024 and September 2024, meaning wages grew by 2.4% over the year.  This latter period is in contrast to the period starting September 2024, where growth has hovered around zero.  Between September 2023 and August 2024, wages grew 2.1%, but in the same period a year later, they grew just 0.2%.

Such a great piece from @tbij.bsky.social that highlights how difficult it is for workers to access and enforce their rights - it shows truly staggering figures of non-payment of tribunal awards by employers, and that's not even counting the personal cost to workers.

The Bureau of Investigative Journalism @tbij.bsky.social · 10mo ago

Last year, Nadine made headlines after she was awarded £65,000 for unfair dismissal by Peckham Levels Preparing for the tribunal cost Nadine her health – but she has yet to see the money

Ahead of a crucial vote on cuts to disability benefits, our new evidence casts doubt on whether jobs are even available for disabled people facing cuts 📢 The analysis found that the parts of the country among the hardest hit by the cuts have fewer job opportunities 1/3

"Cutting disabled people's benefits won't magically create suitable jobs, particularly in those parts of the country that have long had weaker jobs markets. It's little wonder so many disable people are fearful of the impact of the government's cuts" - Abby Jitendra, Principal Policy Adviser

Today’s stats paint a picture of a weakening labour market. Unemployment is rising (4.6%), vacancies are falling, and more people are returning to the labour market—often out of necessity, not opportunity. This should be a red flag ahead of tomorrow’s Spending Review. 🧵(1/6)

🔎 The UK labour market appears steady — but beneath the surface, pressure is building. This month’s ONS figures show employment holding at 75%, but early indicators suggest we may be heading for turbulence. Let’s unpack what’s happening. 🧵

Spot on, @jonburton.bsky.social! Workers can remain stuck in insecurity for many years, with detrimental impacts on earnings, health and future opportunities - and ultimately the economy. Read the blog here: blog.ukdataservice.ac.uk/no-progress-...

No progress: breaking the cycle of long-term insecure work – Data Impact blog @ 10

blog.ukdataservice.ac.uk

Jonathan Burton@jonburton.bsky.social · last yr.

BLOG: @usociety.bsky.social No progress: breaking the cycle of long-term insecure work By @rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social For millions of workers in the UK, employment in the 21st century is characterised by insecurity. For too many workers, this is not a short-term issue.

The Health and Disability Green paper will deliver tiny income gains at the cost of major losses for those with health problems or a disability. Restricting PIP qualification to save £5bn would mean between 800,000 & 1.2 million people losing support of between £4,200 & £6,300 per year by 2029-30.

Quote: Louise Murphy, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: 
“The package of measures announced in today’s Green Paper should encourage more people into work. But any living standards gains risk being completely over-shadowed by the scale of income losses faced by those who will receive reduced or no support at all – irrespective of whether they’re able to work.
Around one million people are potentially at risk of losing support from tighter restrictions on PIP, while young people and those who fall ill in the future will lose support from a huge scaling back of incapacity benefits.
The irony of this Health and Disability Green Paper is that the main beneficiaries are those without health problems or a disability. And while it includes some sensible reforms, too many of the proposals have been driven by the need for short-term savings to meet fiscal rules, rather than long-term reform. The result risks being a major income shock for millions of low-income households.”