Roland Paris
@rolandparis.bsky.social
Professor and director, Graduate School of Public & International Affairs @gspia-esapi.bsky.social, University of Ottawa, Canada. Associate fellow, Chatham House. https://rolandparis.com/
The US–Canada trade war will test not only economic strength but also political will. On the latter, Canada may have an advantage. Read @rolandparis.bsky.social's latest analysis for Chatham House.
Canada's retaliatory tariffs put Trump's trade strategy to the test
US–Canada trade war will test not only economic strength but also political will. On the latter, Canada may have an advantage.
chathamhouse.org
Me, on the escalating Canada-US trade war, written for @chathamhouse.org. www.chathamhouse.org/2026/09/cana...
Canada's retaliatory tariffs put Trump's trade strategy to the test
US–Canada trade war will test not only economic strength but also political will. On the latter, Canada may have an advantage.
chathamhouse.org
Canada's official position per Mark Carney is that all parties to the Iran conflict, including the United States, must respect the international law of armed conflict. If there were ever a good day for Canada and like-minded partners to reiterate this position, it is today.
My comments on the Carney government's cuts to Canada's foreign ministry in this article: www.hilltimes.com/2026/03/18/f...
I enjoyed chatting with @mattgalloway.bsky.social and @bmomani.bsky.social today about Mark Carney's foreign policy and Trump's reckless war in Iran. on.soundcloud.com/Wz6iup0Sx68w...
On Carney's foreign policy & the Iran war - interview on CBC The Current, 16 March 2026
Listen to On Carney's foreign policy & the Iran war - interview on CBC The Current, 16 March 2026 by Roland Paris #np on #SoundCloud
soundcloud.com
I just read this wonderful (and interesting) review of my mother Erna Paris' posthumous memoir: reviewcanada.ca/magazine/202...
This Carney statement is puzzling. If, as he says, we must accept "the world as it is" – including the purported failure of previous diplomatic efforts and of the international order – then why call for a diplomatic solution, de-escalation, and respect for international law?
I was pleased to host foreign minister Anita Anand today at @uottawa.ca on the 4th anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. www.youtube.com/watch?v=T85E...
Anita Anand speaks on fourth anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – February 24, 2026
YouTube video by cpac
youtube.com
The Supreme Court’s decision to invalidate Donald Trump’s emergency tariffs may have removed one instrument from his tariff toolkit — but it has done nothing to make US trade policy more predictable. Read @rolandparis.bsky.social's analysis for Chatham House⤵️
US Supreme Court strikes down Trump’s tariffs: Early analysis from Chatham House experts
Chatham House analysts give their Initial reactions to the Supreme Court’s tariffs ruling, its likely impact on President Donald Trump’s economic agenda, and his angry response to the ruling.
chathamhouse.org
Chatham House asked for my quick assessment of the US Supreme Court tariff decision. Here's what I wrote:
A reminder of the risks of relying exclusively on the F35. Trump will use any available leverage to apply pressure, including on America’s closest allies. Derisking is essential.
Amazing how many international relations "realists" who've spent decades arguing that material power not ideas matter in international affairs, are suddenly recognizing that destroying trust (an idea) and perceptions of the US (more ideas) may be materially damaging to the US.
Fact check: The US trades a lot more with China than Canada does - not just in absolute $ but also relative to each country's total trade. * US trade with China = 10.9% of total US trade * Canada's trade with China = 7.9% of total Canadian trade Data sources: x.com/rolandparis/...
I discussed the Carney speech and what might come next with Matt Galloway on CBC The Current this morning. To listen: on.soundcloud.com/NELsuOsg8awM...
On Mark Carney's Davos speech and what comes next | CBC The Current | January 26, 2026
Listen to On Mark Carney's Davos speech and what comes next | CBC The Current | January 26, 2026 by Roland Paris #np on #SoundCloud
soundcloud.com
To me, this was the most interesting and telling part of Trump's Davos speech. He doesn't even try to hide his imperial ambitions because he doesn't see any real problems with imperialism - now or in the past. Listen to his words.
Roland Paris@rolandparis.bsky.social · 8mo agoTrump says his desire to acquire Greenland fits a long history of US territorial expansion—and likens it to Europe’s imperial expansion, which he frames as normal. He even seems to fault European countries for giving up their empires.
In this post-“rupture” world, the Canadian government must be more publicly transparent about the specific functions being performed by Canadian exchange officers inside the US military.
Canadian soldiers are subject to Donald Trump’s orders
As the American president becomes more aggressive, this is becoming a problem
economist.com
Translation: “Nice country you got there, Canada. Watch yourself.”
Vince D. Monroy@vincedmonroy.bsky.social · 8mo agoTrump on Canada: They should be grateful also, but they’re not. I watched your prime minister yesterday. He wasn’t so grateful. But they should be grateful to us. Canada lives because of the U.S. Remember that, Mark, the next time you make your statements.
Trump says his desire to acquire Greenland fits a long history of US territorial expansion—and likens it to Europe’s imperial expansion, which he frames as normal. He even seems to fault European countries for giving up their empires.
What can “middle powers” actually do? I wrote about this for @chathamhouse.org during the first Trump Admin, when the threats were less severe and the rules-based order more intact, but the same principles apply: hang together or hang separately. www.chathamhouse.org/2019/06/can-...
Can Middle Powers Save the Liberal World Order?
Many middle powers have been warning of the dangers inherent in the decline of the liberal international order. The time has come for these countries to translate their warnings into concerted action.
chathamhouse.org
Bizarre as it seems, Trump may genuinely be unable to grasp that the Nobel Committee is independent - because the very idea of an institution remaining outside political control is alien to him.
This is a good moment for Mark Carney to reconsider cuts to Canada's foreign ministry. He says that we face unprecedented, even existential, challenges and must manage very complex relationships while building new ones. Yet we're *reducing* our diplomatic capacity?
Some thoughts from me on Mark Carney’s important speech in Davos. youtu.be/Xj1VHwVgsAY?...
Analysis of Mark Carney’s Davos speech | CBC | 20 January 2026
YouTube video by rparis001
youtu.be
This is one of the sharpest analyses of international affairs that I've heard from a Canadian leader - or any national leader - in a long time. And I suspect he wrote the main bits himself. paulwells.substack.com/p/the-carney...
The Carney doctrine
Open comment thread on the PM's Davos speech
paulwells.substack.com
History will judge, but this Greenland episode feels like a tipping point for a lot of things.
It makes sense this model would include irregular warfare. Canada couldn’t hold off even a small US invasion conventionally – but it’s a vast country, and occupying and controlling it would be another matter entirely. All hypothetical, of course.
Even by Trump’s standards, this is astonishing petty and childish. The neuroses of the most powerful man in the world are once again on full display to everyone – other than himself, that is. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/19/u...
Read the Texts Between Trump and Norway’s Prime Minister About Greenland
nytimes.com
Reports that the Carney government pulled backbench Liberal MPs from an ongoing visit to Taiwan (ahead of Carney’s trip to China) are not an encouraging signal from the Canadian PM.
