How can 🇪🇺stop the accelerating deindustrialisation? Domestic reforms & more active defence against the export of 🇨🇳overcapacities and 🇺🇸 tariffs. For this, new instruments are unnecessary, but we have to sharpen existing ones. How? Read my new @gppi.bsky.social Brief: sl1nk.com/a4hounb
Tim Rühlig
@ruehlig.bsky.social
Senior Analyst, European Union Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social, Paris/Brussels. Formerly European Commission, DGAP, UI. China, digital technology, EU-China relations. More at www.timruhlig.eu
Europe doesn't need new trade defence weapons against China or the US. It just needs to use those it already has, argues @ruehlig.bsky.social. shorturl.at/f8bwK
Europe does not need new trade weapons – it needs to pull the trigger
Europe does not need new trade defence measures to respond to China's export surge. It needs to use its existing powers more decisively to deter coercion, strengthen its negotiating position and resto...
iss.europa.eu
Europe doesn't need new trade defence weapons to respond to China's export surge. It needs to use its existing powers more decisively to deter coercion, strengthen its negotiating position & restore competitiveness before it's too late, writes @ruehlig.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
Europe can no longer afford inaction on China. As #EUCO discusses China today, @ruehlig.bsky.social & @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social call for a tougher stance. The EU should use access to its single market as leverage to push back against unfair Chinese practices. ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC
As Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič met China's Commerce Minister to address overcapacity, @ruehlig.bsky.social argues Europe must use its economic strengths to push back. Condition access to the single market on concrete concessions, like licences for rare earth mineral imports ➡️ ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC
China - A fragile power? How Europe can use its economic leverage over Beijing
China is powerful - but increasingly fragile. Beijing's economic vulnerabilities create both risks and leverage for Europe. How the EU can use its economic strengths to pursue a strategy of leverage-b...
ow.ly
⚠️ Europe doesn't lack trade weapons. It lacks the will to use them. @ruehlig.bsky.social argues the EU doesn't need new trade defence instruments. It needs to close the structural gaps that weaken the effectiveness of its existing ones and undermine its deterrence. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
📊 @ruehlig.bsky.social's scrollytelling analysis on how the dependence gap in Russia-China relations gives Beijing asymmetric strategic flexibility has been cited by @newsweek.com. ⬇️ 🔗 Explore the full analysis on our website: www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
Perspective: The Iran crisis is revealing about Russia's global status under Putin.
🗓️ Webinar | China - A fragile power? Join us on Thursday to discuss Beijing's economic weaknesses, & how the EU can approach China with greater confidence and resolve. With @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social & @ruehlig.bsky.social. 🔗 youtube.com/live/0_-YwGV...
In a new online article with @MartinCatarata and David Francas, we discuss dependencies from medical supplies from 🇨🇳. The deeper we look into supply chains the more concerned we are. Find out more 👇👇👇 www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
The weak point: Why pharmaceutical security belongs at the heart of European defence
Europe’s reliance on Chinese pharmaceutical products leaves it dangerously exposed. To reduce risk, the EU must protect domestic production, diversify supply chains, and invest in innovation to strengthen resilience and strategic autonomy.
iss.europa.eu
'Beijing needs us as much as we need Beijing' China is facing a deep economic crisis & needs access to the European single market more than ever. This gives Europe leverage - if it is willing to use it. @ruehlig.bsky.social explains ⤵️ 🔗 Read the report: ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC
Nicht nur Europa ist von China abhängig, sondern auch umgekehrt. Das sollten wir strategischer nutzen als bisher. Wie? Lesen Sie mein großes Interview in der ZEIT: www.zeit.de/2026/12/chin...
Chinas Exportabhängigkeit: "China ist auch von Europa abhängig"
Europa sollte von China Gegenleistungen für den Marktzugang verlangen, sagt der China-Experte Tim Rühlig. Er hat erforscht, mit welchen Maßnahmen es Druck ausüben kann.
zeit.de
Die EU sollte Chinas wirtschaftliche Schwachstellen gezielt nutzen, um sich gegen dessen Einschüchterungspolitik und Deindustrialisierung zu wehren, argumentieren @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social und @ruehlig.bsky.social in einer neuen Analyse des @euiss.bsky.social. www.diepresse.com/20648110/so-...
So kann die EU China wehtun
Die Europäer können den Spieß umdrehen und Chinas wachsende ökonomische Verletzlichkeit ausnutzen, argumentiert das Institut der Europäischen Union für Sicherheitsstudien in Paris in einer neuen...
diepresse.com
Big big day has come. We launch my major co-authored paper with @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social today. Why China is more fragile than you might think and Europe could do more 👇👇👇
#China is often seen as an unstoppable economic power. But Beijing is also increasingly fragile. New Chaillot Paper by @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social & @ruehlig.bsky.social argues the EU has more leverage than it thinks - and should use it strategically ➡️ ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC
In January, we brought 20 leading next generation China scholars and experts from throughout Europe to Washington, DC for a full week of intensive dialogues with U.S. policymakers. In Friday's webinar, five of those experts will share their general take-aways from the DC meetings
💬 @ruehlig.bsky.social tells @apnews.com that Trump's Greenland ambitions and China's October 2025 rare earth export controls "have substantially contributed to a European understanding that we face two major powers that are not shy to bully the EU". apnews.com/article/chin...
Pushed by Trump, US allies are resetting relations with China
Leaders from Canada, the United Kingdom, Finland and other countries have recently visited China, while more are planning to go.
apnews.com
Europas Abhängigkeit von Generika aus China ist immens. In einem neuen Stresstest zeigen wir die massiven Risiken für die Gesundheitsversorgung 👇👇👇
Europe depends heavily on China for basic medicines like antibiotics, painkillers & antidiabetics. Generics are particularly affected. A crisis could threaten essential medical care, warn @ruehlig.bsky.social, Martin Catarata, David Francas & Jasmina Kirchhoff. www.iwkoeln.de/presse/press...
Looking for the Full Text of von der Leyen‘s State of the European Union speech? Here you go 👇👇👇
This is Europe as one community. This is the Europe that I love. This is the Europe that we must protect at all costs. And we must do that together. Read the full #SOTEU speech delivered by President @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu here → europa.eu/!NNWdhF
Poland is also not the only country where this happens with some regularity. Lithuania also has seen some drone incursions. (The number of drones this time seems higher though.) www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
Ukraine war briefing: Call for Nato action after Russian drone intrudes on Lithuania
Russia talking down Medvedev’s influence after nuclear threats; oligarch’s superyacht goes on sale with proceeds to Ukraine. What we know on day 1,260
theguardian.com
Now asked about China and de-risking: "Europe has been very open for foreign investment and tech, open for business. Covid was a wake-up call that in certain sectors we became very dependent on certain countries..." Names medicines and chips.
Very good summary of @kajakallas.bsky.social points on 🇨🇳 at the #EUISS2025 annual conference @euiss.bsky.social 👇👇👇
🚨Kallas on Beijing parade: Xi, Putin and Kim are an "autocratic alliance" seeking a "new world order" "While Western leaders gather in diplomacy, an autocratic alliance is seeking a fast track to a new world order"
A full house today for the HR/VP @kajakallas.bsky.social at our @euiss.bsky.social annual conference. "Whether we like it or not, Europe is engaged in a global competition for democracy and freedom"
Priyanka Chaturvedi, member of the Indian parliament, tells the #EUISS2025 annual conference that 🇮🇳🇨🇳 will pursue more economic cooperation, but 🇮🇳 will avoid dependence due to colonial history.
🔴 NOW LIVE: High Representative @kajakallas.bsky.social takes the stage at #EUISS2025. 🎥 Watch the livestream: www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AKx...
EUISS 2025 annual conference: Kaja Kallas keynote speech
YouTube video by EU Institute for Security Studies
youtube.com
JR/VP @kajakallas.bsky.social voices concern that the EU is not following up with action on the message 🇪🇺 delivers to 🇨🇳. Calls on the EU becoming geostrategic. #EUISS2025
Now on: HR/VP @kajakallas.bsky.social delivering her Keynote at our @euiss.bsky.social annual conference. Tune in: linkedin.com/redir/redirect… #EUISS2025
Great to have you here, dear President Zelenskyy. We continue our cooperation to achieve a just peace that respects Ukraine & Europe's vital security interests. With the Coalition of the Willing in Brussels today, and in the White House with President Trump tomorrow ↓ europa.eu/!VwFhwJ
DeepSeek R1's efficiency & its disruption of US tech dominance paved the way for a pluralisation of AI development. @clotildebomont.bsky.social & @ruehlig.bsky.social argue that for the EU, this will either be a security risk if ignored, or a strategic opportunity. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
🇪🇺-🇨🇳 leaders often adopt maximalist positions and end up concluding agreements in not-so-key areas, says @ruehlig.bsky.social to @sz-dossier.de. To achieve progress in strategically important issues, the EU must set clear minimum conditions for deeper cooperation. www.sz-dossier.de/tiefgaenge/c...
What to make of the hype around Chinese AI start-up #DeepSeek? Double have been raised of the technological revolution it represents. But its political impact is enormous, I argue with @clotildebomont.bsky.social in our new piece 👇👇👇
🆕 DeepSeek's R1 marked a disruptive shift, proving credible alternatives to US #AI & fostering a more pluralistic landscape. For the EU, this is either a security risk if ignored, or a strategic opportunity, write @clotildebomont.bsky.social & @ruehlig.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
Quick take on EU-China (or China-EU) climate joint statement: We'll do more of the same and we'll commit to make some commitments later. vs. last joint statement back in 2021 - in which China stated that it was going to 'strictly control coal consumption (it didn't)