Adam McKay

@ghostpanther.bsky.social

Filmmaker: Hyperobject Industries/Yellow Dot Studios Climate & societal collapse with some sports and movie talk. And yes, the mixture is disorienting.

There are about a dozen white liberal accounts I check in on, sort of like an informal S&P 500, to see what’s going on with the moderate lifestyle types. And… It. Is. Brutal. Just brutal.

This wasn’t how it was supposed to be… The tragic truth is that, as some of us warned a decade ago, mainstream climate science has turned out to be the opposite of alarmist. It has turned out to be complacent and over-optimistic. Truthfulness - and strategic adaptation - are urgent. (Pse repost.)

Dr. Aaron Thierry@thierryaaron.bsky.social · 2d ago

A first year above 2C in the mid-2030s now looks plausible. 0.5C was first passed in 1980, 1.0C in 2010 and 1.5C in 2024. The 15-year trend runs at 0.42C per decade. The 2026 and 2027 points for the current El Nino are estimates. We're not remotely ready!

Line chart titled "A first year above 2 C in the mid-2030s looks increasingly plausible". It shows global mean surface temperature from 1940 to 2050 as the annual anomaly against the 1850 to 1900 baseline, in degrees C. Data is ERA5 from Copernicus, running to 31 July 2026.

A thin gold line shows individual years, wobbling around a thick dark blue smoothed trend. Both sit near 0.2 C through the 1940s to the early 1970s, then climb steadily from the mid-1970s onward.

Three red dots mark the first year each threshold was passed. 0.5 C in 1980, 1.0 C in 2010 and 1.5 C in 2024. Labels beneath note the gap of 30 years between the first two and 14 years between the second and third. Everything above 1.5 C is shaded pink.

Two dashed lines run forward from 2025. A blue line follows the 15-year trend of 0.42 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2037. A fainter grey line follows the 30-year trend of 0.27 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2044.

Two orange circles mark estimates for the developing El Niño, at about 1.5 C for 2026 and about 1.7 C for 2027.

Demonstrators gathered on Reforma Avenue in Mexico City on Saturday to demand that the Mexican government cut relations with Israel. The protest was held against a water management agreement between Mexico’s Chihuahua state and the Israeli agency MASHAV.

Meta tried to build a 200-megawatt data centre on farmland in Zeewolde. Twice the electricity of the entire town. 20 rebels occupied the council. "We want Greta, not Meta." They won, and then the Dutch banned hyperscale centres over 70MW. Direct action works! wagingnonviolence.org/2026/07/the-...

The data center fight is going global

As local communities around the world unite around a shared enemy — AI data centers — a powerful new direction for climate action is emerging.

wagingnonviolence.org

As an aside, this AI-driven marketing account is an abomination. Cheerily riffing on trending topics like A DEVASTATING WILDFIRE to drive traffic to businesses is beyond dystopian. Please help me block it into oblivion.

A post reads “As the Spokane Wildfire rages on, let’s ignite our passion for creativity with Gap Inc’s new creator program! #GapInc #CreatorProgram”

Hungary's new government is tested very early. Paks nuclear plant is about to go offline for the first time in 44 years because the Danube is drying up. That's nearly half the country's electricity. Collapsed supply & gas prices spiking throughout the region. Just brutal. apnews.com/article/hung...

Hungary braces for a full shutdown of the Paks nuclear plant as the Danube River hits record lows

Hungary's only nuclear power plant is shutting down for the first time due to record-low water levels on the Danube River.

apnews.com

Worst we’ve known’: UK turns to imports as drought and heat hit vegetable crops. Food insecurity and higher prices would follow. Poor hit the hardest. Despite warnings, no plan for water shortages. Need reservoirs, water storage, better water management. Companies can't do national planning.

‘Worst we’ve known’: UK turns to imports as drought and heat hit vegetable crops

Growers in dismay after scorching weather and lack of rain affect yields, sending wholesale prices rocketing

theguardian.com

1/Wildfire evacuation level 3 for my former house in Spokane. When I lived there, I had a go bag and had the fire department assess our house. Locally folks were not worried about fire. Concern about wildfire smoke varies but this picture from the news shows kids playing soccer with billowing smoke.

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A dangerous wind shift (visible on radar imagery) has just occurred in #Spokane, WA, where major wildfire disaster is currently unfolding. Three separate major fires (circled) near or within city limits have already caused major structure loss & chaotic, expanding evacs. #WAwx

Here are the daily Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomalies (1991-2020 baseline), from 1982 to present. The latest data from July 31th shows an anomaly just under 2.5°C. It's already the 4th warmest El Nino on record with 3 months of additional heating ahead.

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Breaking News! Code: Bonkers! As of July 31st, Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperatures are now 2.48°C above the 1991-2020 baseline and more than 1.15°C above the previous daily high. The Climate Casino took the "Over" on 2.5°C by August 1st. Stay tuned!

Bild

Your 'moment of doom' for Aug. 1, 2026 ~ Climate hell incoming. "Temperatures above 50°C (122°F), which have been virtually impossible at Mediterranean locations in the pre-industrial world, have seen their likelihood increase by a factor of 10 to 1,000 under human-induced climate change"

Building for 131°F: Europe races to protect its infrastructure from a ‘quiet catastrophe’

A summer of weather extremes and severe infrastructure stress has prompted companies and policymakers across Europe to respond.

cnbc.com

The only way to grasp the risk, time frame, & stakes of the climate crisis is to understand the 12k yr Holocene & how miraculous it’s been/was. When we entered it there were at most 300k humans on the planet. Only 100 centuries later there are 8 billion. Thats what oil companies have broken.