The Group Stage is officially over, and we're into the World Cup Knockouts. From here it's simple: just beat the team in front of you. Five times. Our World Cup Tracker at The Athletic is still the best place to follow the tournament in real time. nytimes.com/athletic/int... 🧵

2026 World Cup: Bracket projection

2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup bracket with chances for each team to make it out of the group stage into the Knockouts.

nytimes.com

🇮🇷 Iran also has realistic paths to finish first to fourth in Group G. Currently in third with a 92% chance to advance, they'd jump to first in the group with a goal, or to third-place and eliminated with an Egypt goal. www.nytimes.com/athletic/int...

There's a lot at stake for 🇺🇾 Uruguay tonight — they can finish anywhere from first to fourth in Group H Follow along live www.nytimes.com/athletic/int...

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland is down, but not out. Here's **one** potential path for them to still make the Round of 32: 🇪🇸 Spain 2 - 🇺🇾 Uruguay 1 🇪🇬 Egypt 2 - 🇮🇷 Iran 1 🇬🇭 Ghana 1 - 🇭🇷 Croatia 0 🇨🇩 D.R. Congo 0 - 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan 0 🇦🇹 Austria 2 - 🇩🇿 Algeria 0 --- (SCREENSHOT IS HYPOTHETICAL)

🇸🇳 Senegal needs to run up the score against 🇮🇶 Iraq if they want to make the knockouts. Their odds of making the Round of 32, by final score: 🇸🇳 1 - 🇮🇶 0: 47% 🇸🇳 2 - 🇮🇶 0: 87% 🇸🇳 3 - 🇮🇶 0: 96% The more goals the merrier for The Lions of Teranga today.

For teams in third sitting on three points, the two most important (realistic) outcomes to root for today are: 🇪🇸 Spain over 🇺🇾 Uruguay 🇪🇬 Egypt over 🇮🇷 Iran With those results, odds of getting thru: 🇰🇷 South Korea: 68% ➡️ 94% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland: 12% ➡️ 31%

I've re-upped my #WNBA forecast ahead of the 2025 season, including the new @wgoldenstate.bsky.social team! This Elo model will learn more about each team as the season goes, so follow along to see your squad's chances of ending the year with some new silverware 🏆🏆 ryanabest.com/2025-wnba-pr...

2025 WNBA Forecast

This WNBA forecast projects each team's chances of winning every game, advancing to the playoffs and winning the WNBA Finals.

ryanabest.com

Some serious blood, sweat and tears (plus countless hours) went into one of the big landmark projects of our @theathletic.bsky.social Graphics team: The Beast, Dane Brugler's NFL draft guide. Check out the thousands of rankings and hundreds of write-ups at www.nytimes.com/athletic/the...

NFL Draft 2025 ‘The Beast’ Guide: Dane Brugler’s scouting reports and player rankings

The 2025 version of The Beast has over 400 player profiles and nearly 2,700 prospects ranked, plus by position and the Top 100. This is the ultimate resource for the 2025 NFL Draft.

nytimes.com

Deeply shameful for ABC News to scrub Fivethirtyeight from the internet

Just a reminder that all the data FiveThirtyEight collected—polls, election results, and much more—is available for download (for now) on our GitHub page. github.com/fivethirtyei...

Such a shame that FiveThirtyEight is no more — what a huge blow to journalism. I was always a fan of the site's herculean work in transparent data reporting and gorgeous data visualizations. I feel really lucky I got to be a part of it and owe my whole career to the site. More weird charts forever!

Walter Hickey@walthickey.bsky.social · last yr.

man ABC completely blew it on this. absolute fumble. it feels like it's been the end of an era for most of an era but this is kind of devastating anyway.

We’ve got some great interactive charts (like this one) in my recently published piece looking at NFL hiring trends … www.nytimes.com/athletic/593...

NFL coaches are getting younger — but what are the dynamics behind this trend? How did we get here, and how have NFL coaches gotten where they are? @sandonfl.bsky.social and I dive into the NFL's youth revolution along with some fun, detailed interactive visuals nytimes.com/athletic/593...