Ryan McGhoul 👻💀🎃

@ryanmcgreal.bsky.social

Solvitur ambulando. Off course but constantly correcting. One of Penny’s favourite scent clouds. (he/him)

For the first time in the postwar era, countries that have been invested in the international system now regard the US not as the pillar that holds the system up but rather as a strategic risk to hedge against. A fundamental shift has been set in motion that will play out over the coming decades.

Dipn asserts that it is rationally self-serving for other countries to rush to recognize sovereignty. But his analysis doesn’t apply to the current US president, who would regard the absolute chaos that would ensue from him recognizing a secession in Alberta or Québec as a feature, not a bug.

Ryan McGhoul 👻💀🎃@ryanmcgreal.bsky.social · 4w ago

This is a bracing and informative read from Stéphane Dion on the legal hurdles ahead of any potential secession from Canada. www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/arti...

“Under current global policies, Canada warms five degrees above preindustrial levels by century’s end. Under a scenario with no climate policies, warming reaches 6.9 degrees and the area burned by wildfire climbs 287 per cent. Under net zero, warming stabilizes after 2050 and reaches 3.5 degrees.”

Ottawa issues comprehensive climate report that reflects country’s physical transformation

From retreating glaciers to wildfires and marine heat waves, climate change will likely become even more pronounced, assessment finds

theglobeandmail.com

With senior Trump administration officials openly calling for the breakup of Canada, a couple of thoughts: 1) This may well have the effect of suppressing sovereigntist sentiment in Quebec; and 2) It supports my contention that most Alberta separatists are just wannabe Americans in drag.

I’m not sure Democrats really appreciate just how fundamental this rupture is for Canadians. We know in our guts that we’re never more than 60,000 voters in a handful of swing states away from becoming the next President’s punching bag. I don’t think we’re ever going back to the way things were.

From time to time I like to read The Second Coming by Yeats to cheer me up. It comforts me somehow to know that the state of affairs felt just as disjointed and irreparable in 1919 as they do in 2026. They were able to persist through it, and we can too.

“Canada’s area burned has surged, and it has surged in step with warming: hot, dry fire seasons burn far more forest, with area burned rises roughly 80% for each 1C increase in fire-season temp.This relationship is robust to a variety of statistical tests and controlling for confounding variables.”

Canada's boreal wildfires aren't just bad forest management

Higher fire season temperatures are strongly correlated with increased area burned

theclimatebrink.com

For everyone hyping up Trump’s speech tonight like it’s going to be some kind of revolutionary proof of election fraud: Why is he saying it on national television and not to a grand jury? Why has nobody been charged with anything? Should be a slam dunk case, right?

The sky is greige and the air pollution index is almost as high as the scale goes. We are breathing smoke from massive wildfires hundreds of km away, damaging our cardiovascular systems and lungs. Are we going to allow this to become normalized, something to shrug off as an expected part of summer?

Ontario Air Quality Index for downtown Hamilton at 11:00 AM on July 15, 2026. Current index is 10, meaning very high air pollution.

I’m reminded of the British navy discovering what causes scurvy and how to prevent it, then implementing a health policy, then forgetting the policy and letting scurvy come back. Except it took them decades to forget what they knew and it only took America about a year.

Ryan Marino, MD@ryanmarino.bsky.social · last yr.

CDC is no longer surveilling outbreaks caused by campylobacter, cyclospora, listeria, shigella, vibrio and Yersinia. What could go wrong?